IrishRob17 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 @NorthShoreWx Terrific and its never too late! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 17 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Just for S's and G's, here is a collection of memorable quotes from the January discussion thread. no attempt was made to preserve context: CMC also has the makings of a HECS @ 240. There is no SE ridge Its coming, finally. 00Z Para GFS actually looks great. Euro looks a little better. Why cant we see a storm go west to east at our latitude? A piece of the PV is in Canada. Gefs is pretty nice for the NYC area. Para gfs has about a foot for NYC with over 20 inches for inland areas Good sign considering the ensembles are usually too dry this far out. Weeklies are great moving forward Long Island has a new "snow fighting strategy" they said they expect to deploy when the big surprise snowstorms strike later this winter. The pattern flip started today the MJO, will bite you in the bum Do we need more probes I heard weird musical sounds The substantial snow for nyc doesn’t come until tomorrow night I like the potential moving forward. Let's not get caught up in track details The NAM is on its way to producing a big low offshore It’s getting very hard now yup, going to be big It may be premature Usually the positive depth change map deflates weenies. Still doubt anyone sees over 1 inch I might have to give myself a timeout. Maybe this Sunday the snow will accumulate I hope there’s a way for someone with your skills to get paid Remember a week ago when people were panicking and declaring January over? Hopefully, no one was hurt. A dusting to a coating on all surfaces. I'll take a huge snowstorm over these dusting events any day This is going to be the biggest hit this year Yes, there's lots of potential on the EPS. Too many people staring at RMM plots when we have big time potential in the not too distance future. Next weekend is the real story. could've been a KU with a differently timed northern stream it feels like mid-January outside. I am North and West... but not enough. I've been a heat distribution theory fan for a long time We don't need a met for this discussion Non stop cold and snow NAM and Euro just dropped 12-18" cold powder There is a difference between a pattern that supports a storm and a pattern that doesn't. the 12Z run showed this weekend's storm as a monster. I currently have some snow flurries falling here. Starting to tick NW on guidance, to bad its ticking back from Bermuda. Winter is coming Does it look like the cold pattern will last all the way through February and into March? Anyone have the snowfall amounts from today's event? Is this a trick question? Personally I liked the 1995-96 winter a lot better. I often neglect to keep records because I figure there's no way I'll still be living Too much living and dying by every model run in here. I hope you're recording now at least, its never too late to start recording weather obs. I shouldn't have put gas in that new snowblower. The winter that keeps fooling everyone The question is, do we count Nov 15th I'll take the over. Hysterical 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 ^^ Wow. I've had to drive on interstates and other big roads a bunch of times in the snow and it's always a crap shoot whether or not you make it to where you're headed without a problem or long delay. I'd much rather be on smaller secondary or tertiary roads if I have a choice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, gravitylover said: ^^ Wow. I've had to drive on interstates and other big roads a bunch of times in the snow and it's always a crap shoot whether or not you make it to where you're headed without a problem or long delay. I'd much rather be on smaller secondary or tertiary roads if I have a choice. Going way too fast for those conditions and low visibility. No chance of stopping in time. Hopefully there were only minor injuries 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, gravitylover said: ^^ Wow. I've had to drive on interstates and other big roads a bunch of times in the snow and it's always a crap shoot whether or not you make it to where you're headed without a problem or long delay. I'd much rather be on smaller secondary or tertiary roads if I have a choice. People just can’t slow down these days. Raging snow and ice storm? Hmm I’ll drove ten under the 70 mph limit. People forget 4x4 is great st getting you up to speed but it does nothing for slowing you down in icy conditions. I try to avoid driving in icy conditions because of the idiots. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 These pileup videos give me anxiety. For the life of me I can’t understand why they’d be driving that fast with such poor visibility + snow/ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I have zero interest in the Sunday night/Monday or Wednesday/Thursday storms. The theme this winter has been for storms to have a less wintry look as we move closer to the event and that theme is continuing. We have been chasing fantasy/digital snow all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Snowman19 ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 hours ago, Rtd208 said: I have zero interest in the Sunday night/Monday or Wednesday/Thursday storms. The theme this winter has been for storms to have a less wintry look as we move closer to the event and that theme is continuing. We have been chasing fantasy/digital snow all winter. Last tues was IMHO winter's last hurrah for us. It ain't our year. We're gonna finish well below average. Has to happen some years, and this one is almost in the books. Let's hope it's not several years ( and it can be, believe me ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Winter will be back in March for 2 weeks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Winter will be back in March for 2 weeks When was it here? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 My friend posted on his weather page that a year ago today we also had snow and then a warm-up with the mjo in 8-1. Sounds familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I wonder who SnowFreak2000 is... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Winter 2018-19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Costco has the Tommy Bahama beach chairs out. Summer around the corner. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheticus Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I forgot to tell you all I bought a new snowblower in September. The last time I did that was right before the winter of 11/12. Sorry about that... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 This is quickly becoming my least favorite winter of all time (minus the nov event as it was not winter). BOS has a snow storm now leaving NYC as the sole area from North Carolina north to not have a snow event over 2”. Wednesday could easily be another non event. We have one last shot the last few days of feb into the beginning of March where the PNA could finally go positive and we could see a bench mark type track regime take over. If that does not pan out this will be hands down my least favorite winter of all time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 8 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I wonder who SnowFreak2000 is... Someone with multiple active accounts, multiple IPs and has been banned 7 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 15 minutes ago, Rjay said: Someone with multiple active accounts, multiple IPs and has been banned 7 times. Can you ban people for being Eyeore on steroids? No one thinks this is a good winter but there's a few making the discussion thread unnecessarily painful and particularly useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This is quickly becoming my least favorite winter of all time (minus the nov event as it was not winter). BOS has a snow storm now leaving NYC as the sole area from North Carolina north to not have a snow event over 2”. Wednesday could easily be another non event. We have one last shot the last few days of feb into the beginning of March where the PNA could finally go positive and we could see a bench mark type track regime take over. If that does not pan out this will be hands down my least favorite winter of all time What about 01-02? Or you're only counting meteorological winter? I remember a lot of really crappy winters: 97-98, 98-99, 01-02...middle school winters were brutally warm and snowless. 99-00 wasn't too much better except for the one stretch in late January where we had a 6" storm and some arctic air. The position of the Hawaiian ridge stretching south of AK with a vortex to the north this year is very similar to 98-99 and 99-00, some of our worst Nina winters. A flat Aleutian ridge or ridge north of Hawaii tends to be a very unfavorable Pacific signal, and that's ruled the roost this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 21 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: This is quickly becoming my least favorite winter of all time (minus the nov event as it was not winter). BOS has a snow storm now leaving NYC as the sole area from North Carolina north to not have a snow event over 2”. Wednesday could easily be another non event. We have one last shot the last few days of feb into the beginning of March where the PNA could finally go positive and we could see a bench mark type track regime take over. If that does not pan out this will be hands down my least favorite winter of all time That's probably because your income wasn't adversely affected by 2011-2012. Honestly, to experience a worse winter than 1997-98 you'd have to move to Key West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Can you ban people for being Eyeore on steroids? No one thinks this is a good winter but there's a few making the discussion thread unnecessarily painful and particularly useless. Sure. Who you want gone? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 9 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: I wonder who SnowFreak2000 is... Lol, there's no attempt to even cover it up anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said: That's probably because your income wasn't adversely affected by 2011-2012. Honestly, to experience a worse winter than 1997-98 you'd have to move to Key West. I should clarify that the reason for those winters being better would be the lack of wasted cold. 01-02 had little cold but it snowed when the little cold showed. 97-98 was a super nino furnace and was fully expected. The only winter I can think of (and remember we aren’t counting the November event) is 72-73. That’s the only other winter that has this ones cold and lack of snow. As much as we kept hitting home runs every time we were at bat the last few years we equally struck out this year. The ultimate thread the needle bad. Watch DC score another another one this week and we miss out (entirely possible). I’m still optimistic that we score at least one advisory+ snow event before the end of the season. In order to do that we need to completely reshuffle the pattern. 40/70 baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I should clarify that the reason for those winters being better would be the lack of wasted cold. 01-02 had little cold but it snowed when the little cold showed. 97-98 was a super nino furnace and was fully expected. The only winter I can think of (and remember we aren’t counting the November event) is 72-73. That’s the only other winter that has this ones cold and lack of snow. As much as we kept hitting home runs every time we were at bat the last few years we equally struck out this year. The ultimate thread the needle bad. Watch DC score another another one this week and we miss out (entirely possible). I’m still optimistic that we score at least one advisory+ snow event before the end of the season. In order to do that we need to completely reshuffle the pattern. 40/70 baby A agree with your sentiment of wasting the cold with nothing to show for it, but if you are going to discount November, are you also going to discount any March snows we may potentially get? Last year we got I believe more than half our snowfall in March, even though March is not part of “meteorological” winter. We had a surprise snowstorm this Pastor November, why would we not count it? That being said, we still have about a month to make up for lost time, hoping we can make some lemonade out of this lemon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 42 minutes ago, Jason215 said: A agree with your sentiment of wasting the cold with nothing to show for it, but if you are going to discount November, are you also going to discount any March snows we may potentially get? Last year we got I believe more than half our snowfall in March, even though March is not part of “meteorological” winter. We had a surprise snowstorm this Pastor November, why would we not count it? That being said, we still have about a month to make up for lost time, hoping we can make some lemonade out of this lemon! A mid November storm is akin to a mid April storm if you look at the historical significance. (That’s why that October storm in 2011 was a 1/100 year event just like the May 77 storm) i would consider all of March like all of December snow season. First half and second half especially. It doesn’t really matter anyway even with that event this season has still been awful. The one thing I do not want is some 98 repeat where 5” fell and melted a few hours later and ruined the futility record in the process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 7 hours ago, Rjay said: Sure. Who you want gone? I'm not that mean. Just wanted to passive aggressively vent. Way too many "snow makes my bones ache" banter posts in that thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A mid November storm is akin to a mid April storm if you look at the historical significance. (That’s why that October storm in 2011 was a 1/100 year event just like the May 77 storm) i would consider all of March like all of December snow season. First half and second half especially. It doesn’t really matter anyway even with that event this season has still been awful. The one thing I do not want is some 98 repeat where 5” fell and melted a few hours later and ruined the futility record in the process. That October 2011 event was more rare than May 1977, there is nothing in the entirety of NYC recorded snowfall climatology to match it, unless you go back before official records started being kept and then you do see some 4-5" snowfalls in the last third of October, but that's going all the way back to the early-mid 1800s. We even had an inch or two out here on the south shore of Nassau County. NYC was under a winter storm warning and 6" fell in The Bronx! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A mid November storm is akin to a mid April storm if you look at the historical significance. (That’s why that October storm in 2011 was a 1/100 year event just like the May 77 storm) i would consider all of March like all of December snow season. First half and second half especially. It doesn’t really matter anyway even with that event this season has still been awful. The one thing I do not want is some 98 repeat where 5” fell and melted a few hours later and ruined the futility record in the process. I would also add that the early November storm in the following season, in 2012, was also more rare than May 1977 because we had warning criteria snows here in southwestern Nassau County- 8"! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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