IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 11 minutes ago, Dan76 said: A snow fix for weenies With more on the way this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 orographic snow is cheating 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Cue the fake cold comments as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Wooo, here comes a lousy Nina SWFE on Tue in a semi-Nino that'll maybe give me a slop 2-3" which will be gone 2-3 hours later in the inevitable washout. The favored NW areas and New England though will get a solid 6" dump followed by sleet to lock it in. Not to mention, SWFEs almost to a T trend warm at the very end. I guess except our rogue November 15th SWFE this year which was the last time I had an inch of snow in an event, where south, north and west have all seen plenty. Count me among those rooting on spring and an end to this disaster. The 55-60 a few days ago felt great. I couldn't care less about a tease to another cold washout like this Tuesday's becoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 On 2/7/2019 at 4:30 PM, hooralph said: I just wanted to jump into this thread to say: this winter sucks, so hard. So very, very hard. I would take the wall-to-wall warmth of 2011-2012 over this. Even with the cold snaps, it ranks up there with the banal dullness of 1991-1992. The sidewalks are disgusting with grime and salt from last week's Squallpocalpyse and Polar Vortex Death Freeze. We need an Old Testament-style flooding rain to cleanse the city like the filthy hellhole it is. Can we just hurry up and get to the inevitable cool, damp spring? Carry on. It really just is that sucktastic. The 0.10" or so of rain today washed off maybe half the salt left on my car from said cold couple of days followed by torch and rain. We're due for an awful winter down here, it's just how it is, but this one really does suck. To have DC and Richmond leap over us? And now probably Seattle? Curious to see if there's ever been a winter where DC, Richmond, and Seattle all finished higher in seasonal snow than NYC. DC/Richmond may in a suppressed Nino, Seattle may in some Ninas. This "winter" may do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 SnoSki14 Posted November 13, 2018 I'm going to enjoy my 20 minutes of sleet before it turns to a cold rain. Honestly I'm just happy the pattern is so active. November will be well AN Precip wise , it already is. qg_omega Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 10:15 AM, Snowlover11 said: while im not expecting anything great seeing flakes in the air will be nice to see. I think we can pull off a coating to 2 inches at the start before going to sleet/rain Merry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 10 hours ago, jm1220 said: It really just is that sucktastic. The 0.10" or so of rain today washed off maybe half the salt left on my car from said cold couple of days followed by torch and rain. We're due for an awful winter down here, it's just how it is, but this one really does suck. To have DC and Richmond leap over us? And now probably Seattle? Curious to see if there's ever been a winter where DC, Richmond, and Seattle all finished higher in seasonal snow than NYC. DC/Richmond may in a suppressed Nino, Seattle may in some Ninas. This "winter" may do it. Everything that could go wrong has gone wrong. The SSW was a joke, no Atl blocking to speak of and a Pac Jet from hell. 2 impressive arctic outbreaks but nothing to lock in the cold airmass... Now the upcoming -PNA will just seal the deal. Bring on spring. (agree with the 01-02 and 11-12 comment-just give me wall to wall warmth instead of this garbage) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 8 hours ago, NYCweatherNOW said: SnoSki14 Posted November 13, 2018 I'm going to enjoy my 20 minutes of sleet before it turns to a cold rain. Honestly I'm just happy the pattern is so active. November will be well AN Precip wise , it already is. qg_omega Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 10:15 AM, Snowlover11 said: while im not expecting anything great seeing flakes in the air will be nice to see. I think we can pull off a coating to 2 inches at the start before going to sleet/rain Merry I don’t get the point of calling out people for missed forecasts. If we pointed out all the calls for straight snow a week out, we’d be well over average with snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Everything that could go wrong has gone wrong. The SSW was a joke, no Atl blocking to speak of and a Pac Jet from hell. 2 impressive arctic outbreaks but nothing to lock in the cold airmass... Now the upcoming -PNA will just seal the deal. Bring on spring. (agree with the 01-02 and 11-12 comment-just give me wall to wall warmth instead of this garbage) Well if this winter wasn’t proof that the largest body of water on the planet runs show I do not know what is. And you know we are getting snow in April and a cold wet early spring when ATL side blocking finally does materialize 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: I don’t get the point of calling out people for missed forecasts. If we pointed out all the calls for straight snow a week out, we’d be well over average with snowfall. Especially after all his busts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 GFS long range still keeping my hopes up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 3 hours ago, CIK62 said: Keeping track of winter to date and what we need to get to Normal by winter's end. Hopefully the last column goes positive quickly. However, projecting to day 40, we could be at +4.6, -3.7---worst case. Day # Degs. +/- Winter td . ToNormal 32. +097 +3.0 -1.7 33. +102 +3.1 -1.8 34. +108 +3.2 -1.9 35. +116 +3.3 -2.1 36. +127 +3.5 -2.4 37. +134 +3.6 -2.5 CFS is 16AN 14BN on the next 30 days. 38. +131 +3.4 -2.5 CFS is 20AN 10BN on the next 30 days. 39. +138 +3.5 -2.7 40. +146 +3.7 -2.9 41. +145 +3.5 -3.0 CFS is 20BN 10AN on the next 30 days. Nice improvement. 42 +139 +3.3 -2.9 Estimating a +2.8 for the first half of the winter ie. by Day 46. 43. +135 +3.1 -2 8 44. +132 +3.0 -2.9 45. +127 +2.8 -2.8 46. +126 +2.7 -2.9 47. +129 +2.7 -3.0 48. +126 +2.6 -3.0 49. +128 +2.6 -3.1 50. +131 +2.6 -3.3 CFS is 20BN 10AN on the next 30 days. Snow to date is 7.1", probably should be 11.5" by Jan. 19th. 51. +127 +2.5 -3.3 52. +104 +2.0. -2.7 53. +094 +1.8 -2.5 54. +104 +1.9 -2.9 55. +119 +2.2 -3.4 56. +121 +2.2 -3.6 57. +118 +2.1 -3.6 58. +126 +2.2 -3.9 59. +125 +2.1 -4.0 60. +126 +2.1 -4.2 61. +114 +1.9 -3.9 Feb. has its work cut out for it (a little easier after today is assimilated here) to get us to Normal T/Snow. We are at 7.5" snow as Jan. ends----already 7.5" BN and now add 9" for Feb. itself and we need to see 16"/17" during Feb. 62. +090 +1.5 -3.2 63. +073 +1.2 -2.7 64. +065 +1.0 -2.5 65. +075 +1.2. -3.0 66. +092. +1.4. -3.8 67. +109 +1.6 -4.7 68. +116 +1.7 -5.3 69. +128 +1.9 -6.1 70. +138 +2.0 -6.9 Next 3 weeks need to be about 7degs. BN to get us to Normal for DJF. Normal isn’t happening without a massive reversal. A pattern that dumps snow on Seattle will always be horrendous here. Maybe the MJO can finally settle into phase 8-1, but time is running short to make something happen. This winter has been much harder into Nina type patterns than the last few actual Nina’s that were actually good here, and this is actually a Nino, which shows since DC and Richmond into the Carolinas had some good winter storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 A cold west warms my heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 What a crap winter this has been. Even the terrible 80's years had offered up more snow to date than this year has over here. After 3" on Nov. 15th, I have a grand total of 3.5" for the season to date. Totally overdue though, after the run of years over the last decade plus. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, EasternLI said: What a crap winter this has been. Even the terrible 80's years had offered up more snow to date than this year has over here. After 3" on Nov. 15th, I have a grand total of 3.5" for the season to date. Totally overdue though, after the run of years over the last decade plus. True. But this is they type of storm we used to get in the 80’s on LI. 1, maybe 2 inches before it gets washed away. Counts in the total but hard to enjoy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: True. But this is they type of storm we used to get in the 80’s on LI. 1, maybe 2 inches before it gets washed away. Counts in the total but hard to enjoy Oh yeah, I remember it all too well. Those were the days of doing backflips for a 3-6" event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 32 minutes ago, EasternLI said: What a crap winter this has been. Even the terrible 80's years had offered up more snow to date than this year has over here. After 3" on Nov. 15th, I have a grand total of 3.5" for the season to date. Totally overdue though, after the run of years over the last decade plus. Worst winter I've ever experienced, it's been an abomination. Everything that could go wrong did, and I can't wait till it's over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, EasternLI said: Oh yeah, I remember it all too well. Those were the days of doing backflips for a 3-6" event. How rare those days were!!! the frequency of these monster storms is really unbelievable—something we never could have dreamed of in the 80’s. Storms always had their jackpots “north and west” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Worst winter I've ever experienced, it's been an abomination. Everything that could go wrong did, and I can't wait till it's over. it's the first time in awhile we've had above normal temps for the winter and below normal snow.....we lucked out with some well timed storms the last few years (which have been even warmer) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Worst winter I've ever experienced, it's been an abomination. Everything that could go wrong did, and I can't wait till it's over. Have to agree especially in our backyard. At least this year you can look to our north, west, and to some extent south and see wintry weather. We've had some years where it feels like winter is on hiatus nationally, that hasnt really been the case this year. Bad luck in a sense.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Had the early Dec and Jan storms worked out, we'd be closing in on average snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Worst winter I've ever experienced, it's been an abomination. Everything that could go wrong did, and I can't wait till it's over. Maybe the real winter was the friends we made along the way... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 What made it stink even more was the hype given the potential we had going in, according to the likes of JB, who is still praying for a big one and along with the single digit readings---will hail his forecast to be right. Overall, his forecast is a shambles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 6 minutes ago, CIK62 said: What made it stink even more was the hype given the potential we had going in, according to the likes of JB, who is still praying for a big one and along with the single digit readings---will hail his forecast to be right. Overall, his forecast is a shambles. he'll bust on temps here no matter what. (Dec +3, Jan average, Feb is +3.5 so far) Snowfall could still workout since it's first flake to last flake. He says it's coming by the way...just 10 more days of waiting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: he'll bust on temps here no matter what. (Dec +3, Jan average, Feb is +3.5 so far) Snowfall could still workout since it's first flake to last flake. He says it's coming by the way...just 10 more days of waiting.... I'm still waiting for the global cooling that he's been promising for years. Oh and our 1938 hurricane redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 I love when new posters accuse the board of having a pro-snow bias, as though they've uncovered the scoop of the century. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 11 hours ago, Juliancolton said: I love when new posters accuse the board of having a pro-snow bias, as though they've uncovered the scoop of the century. I’ve yet to see a board that doesn’t have a pro-snow bias. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 On 2/11/2019 at 7:26 AM, SnoSki14 said: Worst winter I've ever experienced, it's been an abomination. Everything that could go wrong did, and I can't wait till it's over. I assume you're young, because that's melodramatic. It's not fun, wait until there's four or five of these in succession. That's when it wears on you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 On 2/11/2019 at 7:15 AM, EasternLI said: Oh yeah, I remember it all too well. Those were the days of doing backflips for a 3-6" event. Going back through the records, a 12+ inch event was supposed to be a once in a decade anomaly before the 2000s Getting all snow events on the south shore and east end of 6"+ has historically also been rare- before the 2000s lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 On 2/11/2019 at 11:50 AM, Brian5671 said: Had the early Dec and Jan storms worked out, we'd be closing in on average snowfall... They were never going to work out though, just like they didn't in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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