clskinsfan Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, AU74 said: I thought 50 and 66 crossed each other. Nope. 50 is about 10 miles north of 66 west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I know most of you know this ... but as most of the recent plots show composite reflectivity Keep in mind that composite reflectivity shows the maximum reflectivity in the vertical column (i.e., the extent of virga). It should not be confused with base reflectivity, which is a truer representation of where it may snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 12 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Nope. 50 is about 10 miles north of 66 west of the city. They do cross near Fair Oaks Mall. To the east 50 is south of 66 like in Arlington. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Nope. 50 is about 10 miles north of 66 west of the city. Okay, but Google agrees with my memory from when I worked in Chantilly 40 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 You guys are right of course. But I am 50 miles west of there 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 43 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Lol https://mobile.twitter.com/TonyPannWBAL/status/1071515068372840450 He's an idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: He's an idiot. He posts about the deep thunder for heaven sakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Amazing watching that huge slug of moisture look like it's already hitting a brick wall across the south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 18Z FV3 gives a half an inch to 1 inch of snow to DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Amazing watching that huge slug of moisture look like it's already hitting a brick wall across the south. We need the brick wall origin north of NY versus right overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, WesternFringe said: 18Z FV3 gives a half an inch to 1 inch of snow to DC No it doesn't. That's a 10:1 snowfall map. Fv3 doesn't provide the depth charts yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: He's an idiot. Just checked - he still has me blocked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: No it doesn't. That's a 10:1 snowfall map. Fv3 doesn't provide the depth charts yet. You’re strange 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: No it doesn't. That's a 10:1 snowfall map. Fv3 doesn't provide the depth charts yet. You can use both. Obviously change in snow depth is more conservative but you can use snowfall to measure accumulation too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: No it doesn't. That's a 10:1 snowfall map. Fv3 doesn't provide the depth charts yet. I know it is 10:1, but kuchera says expect better than that. I wasn't aware of a rule that says we all go by depth charts. Are the surfaces not cold enough up there? It is 33 degrees down here right now and last night was 26, so there won't be much difference between snowfall and snow depth imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Amazing watching that huge slug of moisture look like it's already hitting a brick wall across the south. We will get ours. I’m not worried. Well unless I’m saying this in mid March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: You can use both. Obviously change in snow depth is more conservative but you can use snowfall to measure accumulation too More realistic too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Scraff said: We will get ours. I’m not worried. Well unless I’m saying this in mid March. Not all that worried, though hate wasting opportunities. More just in awe of how a storm, especially this early in the year, loaded with moisture doesn't want to climb at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Not all that worried, though hate wasting opportunities. More just in awe of how a storm, especially this early in the year, loaded with moisture doesn't want to climb at all. Yes. I get it. I’m definitely not happy either, but if you look ahead (especially the LR thread), the look doesn’t get much better for weeks and weeks on end. We’ll probably be sick of snow by end of January. LOLz. Eta: Who I am kidding. Never can be sick of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 16 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Amazing watching that huge slug of moisture look like it's already hitting a brick wall across the south. Indeed - been like that all day. TN is barely 100 miles thick N-S. All those reds and oranges across the middle of TN and nada just N of Nashville. Brutal E/W cutoff along a 1300+ mile front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Did you all see this? DT must think it’s going a bit further north if I’m reading it right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: More realistic too. Those words are synonymous brother lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 DT strategically put RIC right on the 4-8 and 8-12 lines so if RIC gets anywhere between 4-12" he'll claim victory. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: DT strategically put RIC right on the 4-8 and 8-12 lines so if RIC gets anywhere between 4-12" he'll claim victory. That’s just smart lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 11 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: That’s just smart lol I can’t beleive I am in the 2-4 range. Not sure I see that. .2-.4 perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 We are in like the 0-4 range. 25% 0 50% 1-2 25% 3+ I mean we are just far enough south of the city we could squeeze out .25 qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: We are in like the 0-4 range. 25% 0 50% 1-2 25% 3+ I mean we are just far enough south of the city we could squeeze out .25 qpf Maybe you. Every mile will matter and I’m about 15 from you. But I expect some solid obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Was there an output for the 18z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 31 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: DT strategically put RIC right on the 4-8 and 8-12 lines so if RIC gets anywhere between 4-12" he'll claim victory. He does that on almost every map with bigger cities. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 I think most of us south of DCA but north of EZF know around an inch is what we should be looking for at best. If we get more, so be it. If it's a dusting or just flurries, oh well, its snowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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