BillT Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, tnweathernut said: Hey, Bill. That's what the pattern threads are for. Banter is for all things non-weather related even though some of them touch on weather. Even the pattern threads can get a little dicey at times when the weather isn't particularly exciting. the pattern thread is full of negative banter and cliff jumping, that is the point for me the models are discussed into the ground and the real weather is almost never mentioned...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, BillT said: the pattern thread is full of negative banter and cliff jumping, that is the point for me the models are discussed into the ground and the real weather is almost never mentioned...... define "real weather"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Blue Ridge said: define "real weather"... what is happening outside, the radar showing where precip is falling, the front lines showing where fronts are the animations showing where stuff is moving.......honestly asking what is the real weather is part of my points,you seriously needed to ask that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, BillT said: the pattern thread is full of negative banter and cliff jumping, that is the point for me the models are discussed into the ground and the real weather is almost never mentioned...... My guess is everyone is just tired of chasing unicorns. Virtually every expert is being proven wrong at every step of the way. We have discussed the pattern at length in the last month, in addition to following the models every day for the entire winter. We have very little (board wide) to show for it. I think we are at the point where looking back will likely end up the most fascinating thing to do to see where everyone went wrong. For snow lovers though, it pretty much just sucks. I think the cliff dives are appropriate, and when the weather is boring there's usually a lot more banter, just the way it goes. This is still the best forum on American Weather and the best platform for weather, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, BillT said: what is happening outside, the radar showing where precip is falling, the front lines showing where fronts are the animations showing where stuff is moving.......honestly asking what is the real weather is part of my points,you seriously needed to ask that? We have an observation thread. Real weather is posted there on a regular basis. Everything else is just educated guesses as to where we will be come observation time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 how is anybody proven "wrong" BEFORE the storm even arrives???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, BillT said: what is happening outside, the radar showing where precip is falling, the front lines showing where fronts are the animations showing where stuff is moving.......honestly asking what is the real weather is part of my points,you seriously needed to ask that? Ah yes, 41 and sunny is positively riveting content for a banter thread. Discussing short-range, hi-res forecast model trends (and comparing/contrasting to mid- and long-range trends) is part of the process. That is "real weather," and our crew discusses it at as high a level as you'll find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 are observations limited to my own back yard? or can observations made about low location and movement ok?....we will have to agree to disagree with the concept that models are REAL weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Speaking of fantasy storms, go check out the 12z GFS from 300 to 336. It dumps 2ft of snow from 300 to 312 in west TN, blanks middle TN then lays down a foot from the FL panhandle to Pennsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, BillT said: how is anybody proven "wrong" BEFORE the storm even arrives???? They aren't. Maybe this ends up being better than advertised. That said, the trends we have all been following have been poor the last 48-72 hours. When you get inside 36 hours and the NAM (a pretty good short range model) blanks the state outside the mountains and the RGEM cuts meager totals in half, it might be time to liquidate your interest. Doing that, you can at least set yourself up for the potential (albeit small) for a pleasant surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just my 2 cents, but this place is a lot better when there are no cliffdivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Runman292 said: Just my 2 cents, but this place is a lot better when there are no cliffdivers. Can't say I disagree, but that's because when there are no cliff divers there is optimism and the weather is much more exciting to follow. That said, some of the GIFS are pretty funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Sigh, honestly I just find it as a matter of throwing a laugh in a relatively disappointing trend. Maybe some would disagree but I like having some comic relief in every thread to different degrees depending on the topic of course. I'm not an educated hobbyist and I'm certainly far from being a met but I could probably contribute more than I do. I leave a lot of the analysis and critical thinking to Carver and Jeff etc. There is plenty of valuable information in the threads if you look for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I see it like this, if one wishes to see certain content, they should work on posting it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 not trying to tell anybody how or what to post, i do enjoy humor, and enjoy very much watching storms as they evolve which is easy to do in todays world...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, BillT said: not trying to tell anybody how or what to post, i do enjoy humor, and enjoy very much watching storms as they evolve which is easy to do in todays world...... No doubt. I think if this upcoming system was looking better instead of worse we'd ALL be checking satellite and radar, along with everything else one looks at when a system is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 LOL washer disintegration is right up there with taking a baseball bat to the fax machine printer in Office Space. Yup, definitely this event! 2 hours ago, Stovepipe said: This event as it has unfolded over the past several days in video form: UPDATE regarding Wednesday: Is it the Denial or Bargaining stage of grief. It's over! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Did the apocalypse arrive this AM? lol I need to find the CRAS output and blend it with the HREF and maybe the French model If you don't believe me, wait until I have time to make a bigger post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Look, a happy little fantasy storm on the GFS. It seems like it's been a while for even these: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Looks like central/Southern Miss into Alabama will do better than most or all of us. Crazy that two January's in a row they've smashed almost the entire Tennessee Valley as far as snow totals go. You probably wouldn't find that in back to back years if you went back 200 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Did our storm thread die? What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Just now, Holston_River_Rambler said: Did our storm thread die? What happened? I wondered the same thing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 30 pages for a dusting to 1 inch must have broken the weather boards lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 It can't be gone. We chased the strat. for a month, watched the weeklies for weeks, and weathered epic ups and downs over 7 days of NWP for this dusting to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 someone got upset and deleted it I bet lol. Measuring 2-3” at my house still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Wow thread gone?Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 someone got upset and deleted it I bet lol. Measuring 2-3” at my house still snowing I'm jealous Blount county is going to be a big winner!Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 Can a regular member delete it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 #bringmyrainthreadback #rebisthesnowwinner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 29, 2019 Share Posted January 29, 2019 My parents say it has changed over in west Kingsport, so maybe JC will soon too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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