Carvers Gap Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Welp, it is finally December!!!! Here is the banter thread for DJF. Sitting here on a beautiful, sunny day after a cold November. Time to drink some egg nog, watch the college football playoffs, talk some basketball, and prep for the Super Bowl. And of course sprinkle in a bit of weather talk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvskelton Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: Welp, it is finally December!!!! Here is the banter thread for DJF. Sitting here on a beautiful, sunny day after a cold November. Time to drink some egg nog, watch the college football playoffs, talk some basketball, and prep for the Super Bowl. And of course sprinkle in a bit of weather talk! You serious, Carvers? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 In hopes that we can score some decent sledding events this winter.... This is a new non-caloric silicon-based kitchen lubricant my company has been working on. It creates a surface 500 times more slippery than cooking oil. Ahhh! We're really going to fly down the hill with this stuff. ~ Clark Griswold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 If the deep south gets another mega snow event while we get nothing like the Euro spit out, I'm moving to Hawaii and abandoning snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, John1122 said: If the deep south gets another mega snow event while we get nothing like the Euro spit out, I'm moving to Hawaii and abandoning snow. If the snow misses us after I moved to the plateau, I must be cursed, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 December snow is the best, and while ill always take a Christmas snow, I actually enjoy a snow leading up to Christmas as much or more (although Christmas eve might be the pinnacle for a snow event) than Xmas day snow etc. Gets me in the festive mode if we can get a snow between Dec 5 onward 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 I don't care what anyone says last year was a white Christmas! Sure it may have only been a light dusting... but who cares SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 Regarding thread names: I had mentioned in a thread during November (too lazy to go find it) that it would be a good idea to start a new winter thread since the spec thread was begun during July. Last year we rolled the pre-winter thread into the winter thread. In years past prior to that, we have had a stand alone winter thread that was begun in early December in order to discuss the pattern. That is what was done this time. I suggested that we name them by month this year(with the assumption this might be a busy winter) as it makes information easier to find during future searches - basically organizing by month like chapters in a book. We have been doing this for a couple of weeks and had opened it up for discussion sometime before Thanksgiving. @AMZ8990, I might suggest renaming the Winter Speculation December thread to... 2018 December Pattern Discussion Thread or something like that. Also, I think it reasonable to unpin the winter speculation thread that was created on July 2 and retire it. @Mr Bob, your call. If this storm threat is still there tomorrow, someone might want to be brave enough to start a thread. If it turns out to be nothing, nobody will fault you. Up to this point, the December thread has been working pretty well... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 I agree. December name change to Pattern Discussion or even Forecast thread would ease confusion with the other Speculation title thread. Original Winter Speculation from July could either be closed, or continued as Long-Range. I'm thinking Jan/Feb (now) or months 2-3 at any time, based on a current month Forecast thread going. Winter Spec is already rightfully evolving that direction. Finally, my Sunday post with points 1-4 I forgot 5: Thunder now, snow next week. In Illinois and Kansas* it is tornadoes now, snow next week. *Kansas did not have tornadoes this time, but OK did. I can remember past years tornado, snow in KS though. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 I think it might not be a bad idea to get the LR stuff into a new thread. @AMZ8990, you manage the thread titles for both threads so this should be easy. Why not change the original Winter Spec Thread to “Long Range Winter Speculation 18-19” w a subheading of “2-3 Month Long Lead Discussion”. Then change the Winter Spec Dec Thread to “December 2018 Pattern and Forecast Discussion.” That should clear things up and even make the threads a bit easier to follow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 54 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: I think it might not be a bad idea to get the LR stuff into a new thread. @AMZ8990, you manage the thread titles for both threads so this should be easy. Why not change the original Winter Spec Thread to “Long Range Winter Speculation 18-19” w a subheading of “2-3 Month Long Lead Discussion”. Then change the Winter Spec Dec Thread to “December 2018 Pattern and Forecast Discussion.” That should clear things up and even make the threads a bit easier to follow. Sounds like a plan @Carvers Gap, I’ll get them changed up here shortly. I agree that shoulD clear up any uncertainty people are having!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 1 hour ago, AMZ8990 said: Sounds like a plan @Carvers Gap, I’ll get them changed up here shortly. I agree that shoulD clear up any uncertainty people are having!! Just looked. Perfect and thanks for being willing to do that. You're a pro at this! Awesome job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 Somebody get this football team an offensive coordinator...it is taking time away from my wx hobby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drummer230 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Hi, I just moved to Clarksville from DC. What kind of winters can I expect around here? The mid Atlantic is full of heartbreak and despair with a few jackpots now and then. I imagine this area is much the same but with smaller snowfall amounts? Looking forward to following along here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, Drummer230 said: Hi, I just moved to Clarksville from DC. What kind of winters can I expect around here? The mid Atlantic is full of heartbreak and despair with a few jackpots now and then. I imagine this area is much the same but with smaller snowfall amounts? Looking forward to following along here. Welcome aboard!!!! I won't even try to answer for middle TN. Plenty of great posters from that area will probably chime-in. If I tried to name them, I would forget someone. Great to have another poster from middle TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 31 minutes ago, Drummer230 said: Hi, I just moved to Clarksville from DC. What kind of winters can I expect around here? The mid Atlantic is full of heartbreak and despair with a few jackpots now and then. I imagine this area is much the same but with smaller snowfall amounts? Looking forward to following along here. Not from Mid-Tennessee either but welcome to the Tennessee Valley! Here is some climate information for Clarksville, TN. https://www.weather-us.com/en/tennessee-usa/clarksville-climate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Welcome to our Region @Drummer230 hope you like Tennessee! Clarksville is full of Southern Discomfort (snow heart break). Still it is on the better side of our Region. Mid South mauler might drag a warm nose into BNA; however, Clarksville could still eek out snow. If northwest Tennessee and western Kentucky are in a snow band, it can clip Clarksville. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Want weird? 0z NAM says hold my beer: 4 individual vorts part of the Pac wave as it comes on shore . https://imgur.com/a/ERnEPPC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvskelton Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Okay, if anyone is looking for a great Christmas gift for me, I'd like this framed and matted to hang in my office for those days when I come in from working outside in 90+ degree heat! I hope someone hits the jackpot in our forum area from this system, even if this insanity doesn't verify! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I never thought I'd say this, but 3 feet of snow might be too much even for me. I can't imagine the power line wreckage. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 This system will be the first gulf low/slider for me since relocating to Greeneville. Greene Co. is often a battleground for the Valley warm nose; the December 2009 winter storm serves as a prime example. Greeneville proper received 4", while the westernmost portions of Greene Co. recorded nothing more than token flakes mixed with steady rain. The easternmost Greene Co. mountains recorded upwards of one foot. I'm positioned dead center by longitude and slightly south by latitude. Interesting times ahead! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 7 hours ago, John1122 said: I never thought I'd say this, but 3 feet of snow might be too much even for me. I can't imagine the power line wreckage. It takes a yard of snow on the ground to entirely stop my desire for more. And also... ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 5, 2018 Author Share Posted December 5, 2018 23 hours ago, kvskelton said: Okay, if anyone is looking for a great Christmas gift for me, I'd like this framed and matted to hang in my office for those days when I come in from working outside in 90+ degree heat! I hope someone hits the jackpot in our forum area from this system, even if this insanity doesn't verify! 10d total for the 12.5.18 12z map(today). This map includes a second storm around d8-9...but that is this is the 3rd run w crazy numbers. 0z on Dec 3 was huge as well for the Euro. That is basically almost double our seasonal norm with one run. LOL. I know, everyone. That is why I put it in banter. Just for the mantel of digital snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Yep I hadn't even been looking beyond this event. How long has the next one been on models? It seems to give my area another 2-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 5, 2018 Author Share Posted December 5, 2018 32 minutes ago, John1122 said: Yep I hadn't even been looking beyond this event. How long has the next one been on models? It seems to give my area another 2-4 inches. I think just today. Happens maybe around d8. Odd setup where there was a line of rain a few runs ago. But there has been a strong storm after this one on the models...can’t remember if Weeklies or d10-15 EPS. Almost like a bowling ball or cutoff but not quite...the thing went full neg tilt at d9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Does anyone know the resolution of the FV3? I know the CMC is 16k, the GFS is 13k and the Euro is 9k. Basically the Euro is a hi-res long range model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 hours ago, *Flash* said: My mind needs to zoom out a bit. It seems when you plot main hubs along I-40, Memphis/Nashville are the biggest losers when it comes to snow. Gotta think this has something to do with our proximity/placement with respect to the Gulf. I obviously know we slot or nose our way to L's often and can't capitalize on CAD. Just curious as to how much our specific geography is to blame? Crazy to think Little Rock, Charlotte, Raleigh, OKC/Tulsa have far exceeded BNA in snow totals the past decade. We just live in a suck area for good snows.You either get the nose or HP suppresses any moisture and when you think you got moisture here comes convection down south that stops that.Cut through Alabama plain and simple for us,east might not like that but that's what we want not systems that go through N/FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 The valley is more influenced by the GoM than those areas. But that hasn't matter amazingly to place like Louisiana who have also gotten more snow than the 40 corridor in Tennessee lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 Are we getting an offensive coordinator? I have been reading wx model and OC tea leaves all week. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I think Fulmer is going to find a flaw in everyone and eventually name himself OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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