wxduncan Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: wow 24 inch bullseye over burke county I like my spot :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I will gladly take my foot. Seriously, even half of that would be awesome. The runs keep getting better and better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 FV3-GFS looks unreal... wow. Still snowing hard at 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, downeastnc said: The jump north with the SLP at 126 on the FV3 is a killer for central and eastern NC, it it just kept ENE from the hr 120 plot the totals from RDU down my way etc would be much higher.... Been seeing a lot of members on ensembles for the last few days showing that swath out toward Greenville nc. I'm guessing an OP will show one sometime overnight or tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Elizabeth, I’m coming to join ya! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The FV3 has this system continuing into Monday night, Tuesday AM with snow showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Good to see the FV3 coming back south closer to yesterday's run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 You guys need to chase up 421 to Boone, west jefferson. Just started snowing there and theyll get s couple inches tonight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Elizabeth, I’m coming to join ya! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, Thor said: Been seeing a lot of members on ensembles for the last few days showing that swath out toward Greenville nc. I'm guessing an OP will show one sometime overnight or tomorrow. The one good thing is this thing cant really bust for me.....I would be sweating bullets if I was in the spots showing 12-24" every run.....we had a similar storm forecast down here a few years back, run after run of the Euro and GFS giving us 12-20" in central and eastern NC on the clown maps.....ended up with 3" of sleet......better to expect rain or a slushy 1-2" and get a foot than think your getting the big dog and ending up with tons of sleet. Seriously though if the cold can trend stronger the track should trend flatter and then snow totals would climb in central and eastern NC.....seeing some signs of that on the NAMS etc but still several days to go to hash it out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 17 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I guess i can live with a foot+in Greensboro but really hoping Boone / Banner Elk jackpots wifh 2 feet But really the size of that green area is absurd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Hey Brick it's nice to see you post man! Lets see if we can get some snow for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrown85 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 If that verified people would be talking about it for years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bamabuilder86 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 I’ll be chasing as well most likely, assuming I can get back home Monday. We usually take the Jeep and ride out a storm in the mountains every year or two. Driving up from Alabama. Would like to stay as close to home as possible so currently thinking about the Waynesville area. Went to Banner Elk last time and although awesome that’s another couple of hours on the drive. Anyone have any other location recommendations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. 16.4"! Bring it on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 58 minutes ago, SENC said: excuse Me @Mods for attempted Humor, I'm feeling good tonight for everyones chances.. That's the most realistic map I've seen yet. I-40 north with best chance, Wake gets some fun, upstate gets blanked. Does Vegas take weather bets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernVAwx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Poimen said: FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. Funny thing is that still doesn’t account for almost 24 hours of light snow afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, Poimen said: FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. Not a foot, but I will gladly take it for the first storm so soon in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Poimen said: FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. I live just west of Hickory in that bright green spot center in burke lord that would be a lifetime total for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrown85 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, Poimen said: FV 3 Kuchera through 0Z Mon. Living in the Greenville SC area I also remember maybe 3 years ago we were super close to a modeled huge storm. Gsp even mentioned 12" possible for Greenville. We ended up with maybe an inch of slush after all the cold rain and mixing. Crossing my fingers that this one gives us something decent! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 20 minutes ago, wxduncan said: wow 24 inch bullseye over burke county I like my spot 24 inch line coming down to HWY 11 in SC there. Burrell, Oconeeman, and me with 20, Lookout getting buried, Mack getting the shaft with 16... man, I LOVE this model! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: That's the most realistic map I've seen yet. I-40 north with best chance, Wake gets some fun, upstate gets blanked. Does Vegas take weather bets? That's a 24hr snow map, initializing Tuesday at 2p (so from Monday 2p to Tuesday 2p). By that time, the storm is leaving WNC/Upstate and heading Northeast. That's why it looks the way it does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Is It ok to use this? for Useful analysis? (Is this page allowed)..?? My sincere Apologies if it isn't.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 00z Nam has our northern supressor vort screaming down at hr 57 looking super healthy. Don't see how this run could get too far north with that feature. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrown85 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, SENC said: Is It ok to use this? for Useful analysis? (Is this page allowed)..?? My sincere Apologies if it isn't.. Man look at that wedge! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernVAwx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Well ladies and gentlemen, after a brief successful revive, it appears the GFSFV3 has flatlined again. Please pray that the defibrillator works again and we can see this run out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 at HR 63 on the NAM, HP over Iowa is 1040 MB. That's the strongest I've seen it modeled. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, bargainmusic said: 16.4"! Bring it on! 8 minutes ago, wxduncan said: I live just west of Hickory in that bright green spot center in burke lord that would be a lifetime total for me. Isn’t the FV3 the new model that took the place of the GFS? supposed to be the best thing out since sliced bread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: at HR 63 on the NAM, HP over Iowa is 1040 MB. That's the strongest I've seen it modeled. Tied for strongest, 18z had it at 1040 as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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