Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: 12z FV3 GFS is north Dumps a ton of snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 36 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Yeah, those counties and western upstate and NEGA seem to always have heartbreak with these CAD setups. By the time the cold gets this far SW the precip has passed and everybody to our north and east gets the big snows. It's really hard to take in the Ellicott rock area. for someone who has spent my entire life in Upstate, SC....it's all about that H. Is it going to be strong enough to funnel cold air on the East side of the mountains to our area? It is impossible for people who have never lived here...to understand how much those mountains affect our weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I find it hard to believe on FV3 the HP is in a perfect spot for All the CAD areas to score here. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 GFSv3, not the best of models! We hug when it’s good, toss when it’s warm! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Anybody got a snowfall map of the new FV3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, lilj4425 said: Anybody got a snowfall map of the new FV3? It’s all rain here, no maps you need to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, lilj4425 said: Anybody got a snowfall map of the new FV3? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: It’s all rain here, no maps you need to see Yay. The map above shows over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Anybody got a snowfall map of the new FV3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 ICON is now almost all snow here, looking at my extracted data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Looks to me that I will be getting rained on, unless its comes further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, CADEffect said: I find it hard to believe on FV3 the HP is in a perfect spot for All the CAD areas to score here. What am I missing? The one thing you can argue is the High itself is rather weak. Although it can change, if if was up into the 1040's or so, there would be a noticeable difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrown85 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Why is the FV3 showing so much more snow for Upstate SC? Is it seeing something in the CAD that other models aren't seeing or is it just that far off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It’s all rain here, no maps you need to see I know everyone is focused on snow but even the fv3 has surface temps near or below freezing for a lot of the storm in the northern upstate. And that is not taking into consideration it's warm bias with cad. I think the icing potential in the upstate is quite high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: .75" I will gladly take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 FWIW, the 12z GEFS snowfall mean went down from the 06z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Lookout said: I know everyone is focused on snow but even the fv3 has surface temps near or below freezing for a lot of the storm in the northern upstate. And that is not taking into consideration it's warm bias with cad. I think the icing potential in the upstate is quite high. I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 My word this western triangle cutoff is brutal right now. Glad I'm not home in Raleigh for winter break yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Anyone got the UK snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, wncsnow said: 12Z FV3 hammers most of Virginia all the way up into DC and MD... Much like 6Z Bastardi has been saying that for days...even though he does that on every storm. I think he's right this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Cold Rain said: Anyone got the UK snow map? It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, wncsnow said: It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle Thanks. It'll be interesting to see how far east it gets with the snow line. I expect the precip will be farther north than that. I'm much more concerned about the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle Looks great to me!!! I can use another 3.2” of rain! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Finished total of UK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Anyone got the UK snow map? Believe me, you don't want to see it. The track was further South but it's trip up the coast after that is not a good track for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Although max snow totals went down on GEFS, the snow coverage expanded quite a bit in all directions. A number of GEFS members have nudged south and west with snow totals. At 6z there were only around 6-7 members showing snow of at least an inch getting into most of N GA, and at 12z there are now 11-12. And the mean shows that with mean snowfall going up a bit across all of N GA and deeper into SC and nudging east towards the coast in NC. Yet another sign of models maybe starting to see stronger cold air transport. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, mrdaddyman said: Believe me, you don't want to see it. The track was further South but it's trip up the coast after that is not a good track for us. Awesome. Thanks! Yep, sucks for us. But pretty typical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: Although max snow totals went down on GEFS, the snow coverage expanded quite a bit in all directions. A number of GEFS members have nudged south and west with snow totals. At 6z there were only around 6-7 members showing snow of at least an inch getting into most of N GA, and at 12z there are now 11-12. And the mean shows that with mean snowfall going up a bit across all of N GA and deeper into SC and nudging east towards the coast in NC. Yet another sign of models maybe starting to see stronger cold air transport. Maybe picking up on damming better? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Awesome. Thanks! Yep, sucks for us. But pretty typical. I approve this map 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 It was a pretty tantalizing run on the UKMet...stout STJ wave tracking west to east with a late phase from the northern stream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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