griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: 12z GFS looks stronger with the northern stream system coming in late week and weaker with the system over the SW. I suspect we'll see a suppressed track as the model begins to lose the storm. We'll see if I'm right. 1 minute ago, Wow said: 12z GFS so far more separation between the jets at 126. Don't want much interaction between the two while it works east. GFS looks really good this run at 500mb out to 141. Sfc high at 1037 over E Iowa and sfc low in far SE TX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 35 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: As much as I hate to say this, as I’ve lived and gone to school in Columbia, this storm isn’t going to do much for areas south of a line from Clemson to Rock Hill. Now, that could change and we’re way out but it would take seismic changes for anywhere in the midlands to see more than a very slight glaze. This is 100% factual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I will not get sucked in.I will not get sucked in.I will not get sucked in.I will not get sucked in. BUT we are preparing Just in Case... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Big 1037 HP at 150hr sprawling over the low, centered over WI !. Yesterday's runs were over NE or just offshore Cold air is ready and waiting. HP isn't going to slide out on this run. Snow breaking out over NE GA and NW SC. Low over New Orleans. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 It's hard to ask for a much better look at 500mb than what's on the GFS, regardless of the outcome here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Instead of 60s and 70s at the gulf coast, it's in the 50s.. the WAA from the southern s/w is more suppressed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 It's slow. Takes a day longer to get precip into central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 GFS is the kind of storm you draw up for west-central NC into the upstate...southern wave is closing off and crawling, it's a beauty 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: GFS is the kind of storm you draw up for west-central NC into the upstate...southern wave is closing off and crawling, it's a beauty 88 redux!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: It's slow. Takes a day longer to get precip into central NC. Almost 24 hours for it to get from Anderson, SC to the NC/VA border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 It's a winter storm. Classic southern storm for WNC with CAD high and a dying primary/inverted trough over the TN valley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Shit run for central NC. No snow, just rain by the time it gets here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I see 1.75 to 2.50 all snow around Hickory to Lenoir out to 183...clown maps will be monsters 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Wow said: It's a winter storm Thats a beaut Clark! Classic everything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Shit run for central NC. No snow, just rain by the time it gets here. I think it's way too early to draw up the freezing lines - certainly we're not favored here, but it's not a bad look yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gamecock Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Although not scientific, it's always been my belief that the weather almost, always finds a reason NOT to snow, especially in the Columbia, SC area (where I used to live until 2016). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: Shit run for central NC. No snow, just rain by the time it gets here. Welcome to El Nino. Best chance for wintry wx for eastern areas will be at the beginning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 It's a coastal hugger on this run so it's a jackpot track for western areas 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, WidreMann said: Shit run for central NC. No snow, just rain by the time it gets here. I dont know, I kinda like where Sean and I sit in NW Durham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Be careful on the edges here with these amounts, but the GFS had a Miller A / mostly rain/snow look vs. a mixed event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I see 1.75 to 2.50 all snow around Hickory to Lenoir out to 183...clown maps will be monstersJust. Stop. It. Griteater! Six days away...Six days away...Six days away...Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Taken verbatim the GFS drops 6-8 over the Triad before it changes to rain... But I’m not so sure I buy the switch over to rain along and west of the I-85 Corridor. Who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I do like where we are sitting at this range..... Still a long ways to go before we can put the snow totals on the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 If I'm reading this correctly, it appears that everything from Raleigh east is out of the game. Just cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 12 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Thats a beaut Clark! Classic everything! Careful man don’t be unrealistic and get your hopes up or speak truth on what the models are showing around here. Might be taken out of context. Anywho, 12z gfs is a beast of a storm for most the forum. Will leave my analysis short and sweet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, jjwxman said: Taken verbatim the GFS drops 6-8 over the Triad before it changes to rain... But I’m not so sure I buy the switch over to rain along and west of the I-85 Corridor. Who knows... With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85. This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham. We've seen this movie before! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Roxboro gets a foot, no matter what! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Careful man don’t be unrealistic and get your hopes up or speak truth on what the models are showing around here. Might be taken out of context. Anywho, 12z gfs is a beast of a storm for most the forum. Will leave my analysis short and sweet. Lol, only place outside of DC where "truth" has a shorter shelf life is this weather board and my kid's snapchat. We get 6 hour doses of reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85. This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham. We've seen this movie before! You nailed it pal. At least Travelers Rest is a short drive for my little family Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Canadian if no one posted is a classic WNC/VA snowstorm track, pending 850s. Seems to me we are trending more toward a miller a with the models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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