yotaman Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 6 hours ago, JoshM said: Wow, there are some huge cutoffs on the southern fringe there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSchew Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 HRRR removes heat fast this evening. It takes 2m temp in the triad to 32 around 5pm - down to 24 at 7 pm. It bottoms out in the mid teens in NC Piedmont where there’s a nice snowpack. This seems a bit overdone based on forecasts. Hi res NAM is much warmer and slower to radiate. Doesn’t drop to freezing until midnight, bottoming out in the mid 20s in northern NC, tapering to 32 towards SC line. This seems warm even if the clouds are stubborn. RGEM is somewhere in between the two and seems most reasonable. Drops to 32 between 6-7pm, bottoming out pretty close to everyones official forecast low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 WS, Does it bring any moisture back north tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSchew Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 A little, but in the form of high clouds. No precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Kabong Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 This may have already been posted, but quite an amazing job on the FV3 from 8 days out (at least for the deep south and southern apps portion of the map). This was the first forecast map that was posted in this thread back on 12/2. The 12Z GFS wasn't too far off either for its initial depiction for Sunday. The 12Z GFS snowfall map from that same day shows that the models were already zeroing in on on far NE Georgia, the upstate of SC, and central and western NC as the bullseye for winter weather. Those areas remained remarkably consistent as ground zero throughout the evolution of the storm. We'll see if the models show the same consistency when the next threat materializes, but it's encouraging to see the south's first winter storm of the season handled well by most of the major models. I'll leave it to the professional mets and seasoned amateurs to grade the overall performance of each model, but the "new" GFS appears to have received more than a passing grade (is a B+ too high?). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 The FV3's track for the storm was spot on for a week out. Almost unheard of. It did not get the thermals exactly right but hey, for it to be that close at that range is great to see. I would give it a solid A 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 11, 2018 Author Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: The FV3's track for the storm was spot on for a week out. Almost unheard of. It did not get the thermals exactly right but hey, for it to be that close at that range is great to see. I would give it a solid A A for me and we have a new king 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Drove from Boone to Greenville today, coverage was total to around Zebulon. Takes a rare bird to lay down that areal extent in NC, even areas to the east saw cover yesterday before it melted. 40 north, solid A. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted November 18, 2020 Share Posted November 18, 2020 Sorry to bring back an old tread but just saying the one year in my life that move to Charlotte.. Greensboro finally gets a huge snow lol I hope we get something like this in 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Re-visiting this thread because of how insane this storm was in hindsight. 16 inches in my location at the time and haven’t even come close to breaking past half an inch since that point. Time for a redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 I see no way in hell I could ever top this...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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