BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 SREF Plumes have 3.63 as a mean in Raleigh tomorrow. 1 minute ago, RTPGiants said: 3K looks much more reasonable You’re living dangerously if you use 3k NAM QPF IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 What times does the snow start for piedmont? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 01z RAP loves the upstate of SC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 If there was ever a year an ULL could swing through and squeeze out an impressive QPF field, well, Wilmington is almost at 100” on the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Where are you seeing SREF plumes like that? I see <1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Wow, now that would be a huge surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 At 5:30 p.m., the National Weather Service said the preliminary total at Richmond International Airport was at 9 inches. Even with the final total from RIC outstanding, that still made it the biggest snowstorm so early in the season. In Richmond weather records dating to 1897, the heaviest snow total that occurred earlier than Dec. 10 was 7.3 inches on Nov. 6-7, 1953. The record December snowstorm for Richmond was 17.2 inches on Dec. 22-23, 1908, according to the National Weather Service in Wakefield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, RTPGiants said: Where are you seeing SREF plumes like that? I see <1? The NCEP SREF plume viewer page 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 18 minutes ago, SouthCentralWakeCo said: True, but it is interesting. Didn't the NAM verify the best for the last nights/today's band of snow/sleet/freezing rain? And didn't it nail the warm nose? Don't know for sure, but I think it did better than any other model. HRRR did better with placement of transition zone and timing for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: The NCEP SREF plume viewer page NVM, I was looking at wrong location apparently...Well that would be something if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWakeCo Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 1 minute ago, Jet Stream Rider said: HRRR did better with placement of transition zone and timing for my area. Good to know. Checking in on the HRRR for tomorrow, this is the 01z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Can anyone post RGEM accumulation maps? RAP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Remember Jan 17/18 event this year? I was laughing at NAM and RAP consistently dumping 10" over OBX...and then OBX got crushed. I wouldn't be so quick to disregard the NAM in this instance, although that event had more cold air to work with 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Have a hard time believing we will get more than about 2' in Wake but like was posted earlier ULL's can do some odd things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 HRRR 9z-15z Monday depiction - Thats tomorrow morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, RTPGiants said: NVM, I was looking at wrong location apparently...Well that would be something if it verified. Man, I’ve seen crazier things kinda like 10” in Durham before December 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 So, looks like the models have anywhere from 2 to 16 inches here. Just a bit of a spread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said: Can anyone post RGEM accumulation maps? RAP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, Dunkman said: Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 14.3 inches for Roanoke makes Dec. 9, 2018, the 4th snowiest calendar day on record, going back to 1912. Ahead are 1/10/1921 (20), 2/13/1960 (15.4) & 12/25/1969 (14.6). Please note: Many bigger storms like 1993, 1996, 2009 or 2014 had snow totals divided over 2 calendar days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 There's actually a pretty substantial stripe of ZR on the RGEM from the Triad and points ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hickory Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Dunkman said: There's actually a pretty substantial stripe of ZR on the RGEM from the Triad and points ENE. Anyway you can post? Am NE of Greensboro already sitting at .10 of ice and it's still heavy drizzle. Most forecast were calling for .10 max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 I'm afraid the RGEM could be right as we have steady ZR in Colfax as we speak. Temp right at 32 and trees are getting weighted. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CamelCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 A bit of sleet starting to fall about 3 miles south of Winston Salem. Edit: it appears to be zr now. Sitting dead on 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 1 minute ago, hickory said: Anyway you can post? Am NE of Greensboro already sitting at .10 of ice and it's still heavy drizzle. Most forecast were calling for .10 max Sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWakeCo Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 If this ULL overperforms, it is going to shock a lot of people. Not many local mets talking about it... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Where is the ULL currently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 If this ULL overperforms, it is going to shock a lot of people. Not many local mets talking about it...I would love to see this ULL over perform, waking up to literally know snow was such a major disappointment. But that’s Mother Nature, I suppose.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now