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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm


Orangeburgwx
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1 hour ago, Queencitywx said:

ICON looks like at least another 2-3” on Monday 

That setup would make sense. I believe Goose said something about this happening all the time in OK and was never picked up by models. Also has it in that Feb of 14 storm which is where the bulk of snow came from in a setup a little like this one as well I believe.

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Man after all the snow we're getting this storm is not over (ICE):

As this occurs, the forecast low level partial thicknesses in the 1295 to 1305m range indicate more icing can be expected SE of the heavy snow zone in the NW add N Piedmont. That would place areas from portions of Stanly and southern Davidson ENE in an arc through portions of Randolph, northern Moore, Lee, Chatham, Wake, Durham, Franklin, Vance, Granville, and Warren at risk for 0.25+ of icing later this morning into the afternoon. Surface wet bulbs support the area from near Troy and Asheboro to NW of Sanford to near RDU and Henderson in the 32 or below through the event. This will have to be watched closely as Raleigh will be right on the 31-32 line with 33 degrees just 10-20 miles east and south.

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2 hours ago, FallsLake said:

Man after all the snow we're getting this storm is not over (ICE):

As this occurs, the forecast low level partial thicknesses in the 1295 to 1305m range indicate more icing can be expected SE of the heavy snow zone in the NW add N Piedmont. That would place areas from portions of Stanly and southern Davidson ENE in an arc through portions of Randolph, northern Moore, Lee, Chatham, Wake, Durham, Franklin, Vance, Granville, and Warren at risk for 0.25+ of icing later this morning into the afternoon. Surface wet bulbs support the area from near Troy and Asheboro to NW of Sanford to near RDU and Henderson in the 32 or below through the event. This will have to be watched closely as Raleigh will be right on the 31-32 line with 33 degrees just 10-20 miles east and south.

Have you seen how much freezing rain Raleigh is forecast to get?

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45 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

GFS 24 hr snowfall for the second system.....this shouldnt include anything from today

gfs_asnow24_seus_6.thumb.png.7b556201d516aa8d4d1122df0a49bc06.png

As impressed as I have been thus far, this would really take the cake.  For those out east that got blanked today to walk away with 2-4" tomorrow would be incredible.  

Any other HiRes models on board with this much additional? I think I saw the HRRR may be bullish over in the Obs thread.

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17 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

As impressed as I have been thus far, this would really take the cake.  For those out east that got blanked today to walk away with 2-4" tomorrow would be incredible.  

Any other HiRes models on board with this much additional? I think I saw the HRRR may be bullish over in the Obs thread.

The FV3, ICON and HRRR all have something similar to lesser degrees....temps will be a problem and overall it probably wont be a big deal but some models do put down a few inches....

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2 hours ago, downeastnc said:

   The FV3, ICON and HRRR all have something similar to lesser degrees....temps will be a problem and overall it probably wont be a big deal but some models do put down a few inches....

Our Local NWS has this too say..

I think as this Storm   overperformed the UUL will also?

Quote

Highs Monday should only reach the upper 30s
west of I-95 with 42-45 expected along the coast. Gradual and
nearly continuous cold advection should eventually make the
atmospheric column cold enough for a little light snow or sleet
to mix in with the rain along the back edge of the precipitation
shield Monday night as the warm nose aloft between 2000-6000
feet above ground level finally erodes away. No accumulations are expected,
but I wouldn't be surprised along the I-95 corridor or across
interior southeast North Carolina to see light mixed precipitation for
the final hour or two of the event.

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So, I'm sitting at my table looking out at 14 inches of snowfall, and then I just see this updated WSW for my area:

Quote

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION INTO
MONDAY...

.Cold high pressure along the East Coast is interacting with a
moist low pressure system transitioning to the southeast coast
today. Precipitation rates will steadily diminish from the
southwest today, but with many locations receiving additional
mixed, wintry precipitation. While a brief lull is expected
through late afternoon into the evening hours, precipitation will
break out once again overnight. Additional snow will redevelop
from the northwest, and freezing rain and sleet may mix in once
again into Monday morning. Temperatures will be near or below
freezing in many areas.

NCZ033-035>037-049-050-056-501>506-100000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-181210T1700Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Yancey-Mitchell-Catawba-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem,
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point,
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville,
Advance, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Patterson,
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge,
Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill,
Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero,
and Glenwood
1113 AM EST Sun Dec 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Snow and sleet will continue
  through late day. After an early evening lull, snow showers will
  redevelop overnight. Some freezing rain or freezing drizzle,
  could mix in at times. Additional snow and sleet accumulations
  of 3 to 6 inches, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of
  an inch, are expected. Winds may gust to 30 mph at times.

* WHERE...The northern mountains and foothills, and the northwest
  Piedmont of North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy wet snow and gusty winds will result
  in numerous power outages. Travel could be nearly impossible.
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute on
  Monday.

We're getting more tonight?!  And amounts that would normally be a fantastic storm for this area are just massive icing on the cake!  I'm totally geeking out here.

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8 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

So, I'm sitting at my table looking out at 14 inches of snowfall, and then I just see this updated WSW for my area:

We're getting more tonight?!  And amounts that would normally be a fantastic storm for this area are just massive icing on the cake!  I'm totally geeking out here.

Same here - minus the 14" and 3-6'. But looking out at 6" plus sleet and maybe 1-3" more :)

Awesome!

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1 minute ago, NCSNOW said:

This stuff is pure concrete now. Itll be days before it melts. Gonna be nice getting 2 to 3 fresh on top latter tonight.

I got about 14 still coming down mod. looks to taper off in a couple hours. Then looks like it may skip the foothills tonight per RGEM been a great storm no doubt!!

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