Poimen Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Poimen said: That's not good right? If it's in Asheville it does not bode well for other areas, correct? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Cornsnow said: That's not good right? If it's in Asheville it does not bode well for other areas, correct? It's fine that's just the column cooling down. Has nothing to do with the warm nose that may/will push in later. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 hour ago, FallsLake said: ^^and that's why we see jumps every few hour. As the models change their depictions the values are then pasted on to your respective grids. Interesting. Also explains why the grid forecast for accumulations are sometimes different than the accumulations mentioned in the text of Winter Storm Warnings. I always figured it was because one was updated before the other, and it would take awhile for both to reflect the same forecast. The more you learn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 19 minutes ago, Cornsnow said: That's not good right? If it's in Asheville it does not bode well for other areas, correct? Don’t look at the 00Z NAM then. Wicked warm nose at 700mb crosses the entire state from west to east. Dang. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Won’t take much of a shift to get the DC metro in the game. Roanoke looks to cash in as usual! The 00z NAM has a brutal warm nose, on first glance. It’s had this all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 NAM looks to be on it's own right now compared to the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Ugly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 WebberWeather’s final call, FWIW: https://mobile.twitter.com/webberweather/status/1071584244286308353/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: It has been all over the place today, though. How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: One NAM run One NAM run to rule them all, One NAM run to find them, One NAM run to bring them all, and in the darkness bind them 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drake423 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Ive lurked for years. I see snow accumulations over evensville tn on the model runs but its 38 and rain now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: One NAM run Every NAM run for the last three days has been showing a problematic mid-level warm nose. Maybe it’ll be wrong (I don’t think so since it is usually good at sniffing those out), but it’s been pretty consistent. At least the NAM has a lot of QPF to work with. NW NC/SW VA are going to get rocked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Tonight's 0z GSO sounding. Very dry. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Brad P doing a storm update now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drummer Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 8 minutes ago, BFF said: Brad P doing a storm update now He's making some good points, specifically about how we're seeing temps trend colder than what was expected. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 important point. Temperatures get above freezing around lunch time tomorrow and never go below freezing Sunday night. Lots of melting to be had. Monday morning may not be all that bad on the roads. Tuesday morning could be worse with refreeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: important point. Temperatures get above freezing around lunch time tomorrow and never go below freezing Sunday night. Lots of melting to be had. Monday morning may not be all that bad on the roads. Tuesday morning could be worse with refreeze. If thats true, then why is he expecting so much ice throughout the day tomorrow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 16 minutes ago, BFF said: Brad P doing a storm update now Fantastic analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Okayyyy 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 9 minutes ago, Drummer said: He's making some good points, specifically about how we're seeing temps trend colder than what was expected. The heavy showers that we have been getting are perhaps cooling the column down faster than the models are expecting. FWIW, 1z HRRR initialized about 3-4 degrees too warm for CLT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, wake4est said: Okayyyy That is certainly faulty in SE VA. 1-4 in norfolk and vab? no snow there at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: important point. Temperatures get above freezing around lunch time tomorrow and never go below freezing Sunday night. Lots of melting to be had. Monday morning may not be all that bad on the roads. Tuesday morning could be worse with refreeze. Err. Where?? You didn't specify a location of where this would take place. Also, didn't you say RAH wouldn't issue WSW's for Wake the other day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, JoshWeather said: If thats true, then why is he expecting so much ice throughout the day tomorrow? I was referring to Raleigh. Temperatures in Charlotte may actually stay at 32 for much longer which causes the ice accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Already 5 inches on ground in Hendersonville. You get a heavy thump or 2 and youll end up with big accums even with the warrm nose coming in sunday after lunch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Just now, YetAnotherRDUGuy said: Err. Where?? You didn't specify a location of where this would take place. Also, didn't you say RAH wouldn't issue WSW's for Wake the other day? Apologies, I meant Raleigh. And yea they ended up issuing WSW, but I'm still not convinced it was necessary. I could see some snow/sleet accumulations in the morning that will be washed away by a cold rain later in the day. I think a lot of children (mine included) are going to be disappointed. We need to get up early and go outside because playing in the snow in a cold rain later will be miserable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 12 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Apologies, I meant Raleigh. And yea they ended up issuing WSW, but I'm still not convinced it was necessary. I could see some snow/sleet accumulations in the morning that will be washed away by a cold rain later in the day. I think a lot of children (mine included) are going to be disappointed. We need to get up early and go outside because playing in the snow in a cold rain later will be miserable. I guess we'll know if the WSW was necessary within the next 18 hours or so.. On another note, I told my little one just now the same thing about getting out in the snow early tomorrow. But instead of cold rain, I warned her about how sleet feels when pinging off your face. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Sitting in lenoir.. cold but no snow so far :/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 GSP updated maps very similar to last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now