WidreMann Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 12z FV3 is warmer midday tomorrow than the 06z, at least for central NC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, WidreMann said: Not exactly encouraging... Temperature should drop throughout the evening aloft as dynamic cooling taking place on the northern side of the low. 4 minutes ago, neilpappas75 said: Great info. Does it show for how many feet/meters that it is above freezing? Yes. UNC-A is 658 m above sea level. The 851 mb level is 883.4 m above UNC-A and 789 mb level is 1488.8 m above UNC-a. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ontherocks Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Lookout said: fv3 still showing a changeover to very heavy snow for a few hours down to gainesville. Nam still says no and only shows a change to freezing rain toward sunrise. Hrrr still showing a changeover to heavy sleet. Going to be fascinating to see which model, the fv3 or nam, wins this one. If the NAM wins, it seems that the freezing rain could produce some significant damage. It’s interesting as it seems the level of uncertainty with this storm could create a decent amount of impact, and not sure if people are prepared cause everyone confused about what it’s gonna do..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 GSP just expanded the winter storm warnings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: GSP just expanded the winter storm warnings. It always makes me feel a little better when I’m situated north of the southernmost warned and advised areas. Wouldn’t be the first time the wheels have come off, though. (Im)Patiently waiting on that wedge to settle in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 31 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Taken verbatim, southern wake gets about 4-5 hours of snow while northern wake could get another 2-3 hours... The subsequent rain will wash away any snow that accumulated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 12z fv3 wrecks Sanford NC with .7” zr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 hour ago, PackWxMan said: yes. The warm nose will almost always win out. That’s some fine science you’re doing right there 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Latest HRRR much better, nearly all snow for clt to rdu thru the end of the run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: Latest HRRR much better, nearly all snow for clt to rdu thru the end of the run QPF inceased as well! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 hour ago, PackWxMan said: yes. The warm nose will almost always win out. The mods have already said if you can't back up your statements with valid facts then it's probably best to keep quiet and keep this kind of baseless blabbering to yourself. Yet... here you still are. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: QPF inceased as well! Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 16Z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 At 24 on euro, 850s colder everywhere. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Well at least west of 77, appears a tick warmer east of there as the LP is a touch north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Businessjan Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, SENC said: 16Z HRRR Sweet Jesus that blankets pretty 90% of NC with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 17Z HRRR running.. I'll post as it comes in.. (If it's ok with the crew).. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 17Z hour 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Upstate should be smiling from first frame of euro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2M temps & Precip panels(next frame) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 8 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Well at least west of 77, appears a tick warmer east of there as the LP is a touch north. Yeah Euro bumped north with precip and temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, SENC said: 2M temps & Precip panels(next frame) Just something that would make it so we don't have to scroll through a bunch of images, COD allows a GIF to be made so you can post the whole run in one post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Grit & Mods skip panel 8 and wait a few frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Disc said: Just something that would make it so we don't have to scroll through a bunch of images, COD allows a GIF to be made so you can post the whole run in one post. ok I'll give it a shot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Disc said: Just something that would make it so we don't have to scroll through a bunch of images, COD allows a GIF to be made so you can post the whole run in one post. ok like this? trying to figure out the timing part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheronNC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 12z Euro was a devastating run for RDU. Almost no snow. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, blueheronNC said: 12z Euro was a devastating run for RDU. Almost no snow. Surprised given how good 850s looked at 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 While the GFS likes central NC. The EURO had a strong shift north. Im guessing the EuroENS will follow the op run. NAM did so well last winter, now that we see Euro adjusting towards NAM it worries me that it is simply getting a better track on the L and the warm air aloft that comes with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Who will be the first to say you can’t trust the Euro at this range and instead rely on the HRRR and other short range non-warming-showing models? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, blueheronNC said: 12z Euro was a devastating run for RDU. Almost no snow. Warm nose really entered the equation for just about everyone along and south of I-40 in NC. Even mountain snowfall numbers get slashed due to mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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