Disc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Another good run for GFS Jr. We'll use one without all the ice. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said: i think he meant January 2017. the infamous bust It was fine for me in Durham. Couple inches of snow and sleet. It looked nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said: i think he meant January 2017. the infamous bust Yes, I meant Jan 2017. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Disc said: We'll use one without all the ice. if this verifies..new king on the block. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 29 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: Brad PanovichVerified account @wxbrad 4m4 minutes ago More I shifted the snow a tad further south due to colder air & a longer duration of snow & sleet, but it still changes to ice Sunday pm. The ice threat keeps going up. #snOMG #cltwx #ncwx #scwx I'm afraid ice will end up being the big story in the big metro areas of Charlotte and GSP including where I am southeast of Spartanburg. Areas just north of these 2 metros will do very well with snow. If we get this setup in Jan or Feb though, more of us would get snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Disc said: We'll use one without all the ice. Well damn, I only get 16”! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Yes, I meant Jan 2017. Sorry. Pretty much every tv met missed that one. I was in the 8+ inch zone within hrs of the event and ended up with rain and some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheapdad00 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 30 minutes ago, cbmclean said: To me, it seemed that he was quite stung by the outcry after the Jan 2016 debacle (much of which was undeserved in my opinion). I half wonder if that experience may have added a bit to his conservatism. It was Dec 2000. In an attempt to not miss out on a Carolina crusher redux, he went all in with huge totals all over the triangle (I think there was a 12-18"+ band on his call map). Woke up the next morning to sunny skies and what there was of the storm had skipped over us and was snowing in the coastal plain (and not nearly that much snow). Ever since then he has been conservative with what he shows on air. Here is a write up on the storm: https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20001203/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 All gonna come down to warm nose. Wouldn’t trust the globals fully. But the euro and FV3 consistency has been impressive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 One th ing about it radar looks like a beast and moving almost due east. Finger moisture out front is crossing into GA and will be in Sw mtns/ upstate by daybreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 22 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: if this verifies..new king on the block. This is really the only model showing me getting more than anything other than some onset stuff before going to all rain. I'm in western pitt county in the 5 inch zone but not far from the 11 inches in Wilson county. In no way do i expect this to be correct but its something that will tarnish the Fv3 when it takes over. Its snowfall outputs will forever be questioned if its wrong. We will no longer be getting nam'd but Fv3'd!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 12 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: One th ing about it radar looks like a beast and moving almost due east. Finger moisture out front is crossing into GA and will be in Sw mtns/ upstate by daybreak Per WYFF radar already snow showing up in AVL area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Per WYFF radar already snow showing up in AVL area. mPING report of sleet at 12:26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I’m just here for Widreman. Best poster in the history of the SE forum, 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I really think the wx offices are gonna need to accelerate their WSWs. RAH has a 1am Sunday morning start for the Triad. Seems much much quicker than that on radar. I'd bet we see winter conditions spread across the area by 6pm tomorrow. GFS hinted at it, radar certainly shows it, maybe it nailed the OTS quicker solution!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 time for the Euro. Who's got the pbp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said: time for the Euro. Who's got the pbp? Out to 24, HP 1mb weaker... Both the HP and low are further east of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 8 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: I really think the wx offices are gonna need to accelerate their WSWs. RAH has a 1am Sunday morning start for the Triad. Seems much much quicker than that on radar. I'd bet we see winter conditions spread across the area by 6pm tomorrow. GFS hinted at it, radar certainly shows it, maybe it nailed the OTS quicker solution Looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: I really think the wx offices are gonna need to accelerate their WSWs. RAH has a 1am Sunday morning start for the Triad. Seems much much quicker than that on radar. I'd bet we see winter conditions spread across the area by 6pm tomorrow. GFS hinted at it, radar certainly shows it, maybe it nailed the OTS quicker solution!? That trough means business. Thats a 1015 surface low pressure south of Houston now. About 6 hrs or so ahead of schedule I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 11 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: I really think the wx offices are gonna need to accelerate their WSWs. RAH has a 1am Sunday morning start for the Triad. Seems much much quicker than that on radar. I'd bet we see winter conditions spread across the area by 6pm tomorrow. GFS hinted at it, radar certainly shows it, maybe it nailed the OTS quicker solution!? There’s a lot of virga out ahead of it and the mid-levels are really dry with the CAD, so it may take awhile for it to reach the ground in the NC Piedmont (which isn’t uncommon with these storms). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neilpappas75 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 So unusual that all the models are not in alignment at this point. Or at least so far apart with some. The precip now is just gonna be virga, but that is a good. CAD will set up quicker. But could also be a problem with the early precip not heavy, and not forcing the temps down quick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Upper level feature still back in the vicinity of southern New Mexico. Wow. The system is really stretched out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Oh sugar honey iced tea... DOUBLE BARREL LOW AT HR48 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Does anyone have a euro snow map? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Euro at 48, the slp already south of Cape Lookout 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanTy Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Euro Snow Maps?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insipidlight Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Haven't changed too much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 0z Euro looks really accelerated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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