Jenkins Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Not a bad sounding right there for CLT at H42. Fully saturated in the DGZ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 10 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: RDU - 4inches / .25 FRZ Rain / dusting CLT - 1 inch / .25inch sleet GSO - 8inch / .15 FRZ rain count it NICE! Loving that for RDU! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I will generate a second call map today. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Small correction north on the 12z gfs compared to 6z which was the furthest south of the globals. Looks to be a pretty good consensus. Interested to see how the Hi-Res models correct over the next 2 model suites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Definitely colder 850's on the GFS. Looking for what you are seeing... I dont see any change at 850 or surface really..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GFS takes a torch to everything at hr 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 a conservative map and a tough call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: Looking for what you are seeing... I dont see any change at 850 or surface really..... I was comparing the 850 temps. It was colder than the 6z up through hr 27. It went the other way after that I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 GA, SC, NC tristate sleetfest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, BFF said: Not a bad sounding right there for CLT at H42. Fully saturated in the DGZ. Thanks! I have my fingers crossed for the Belmont and Charlotte area(s). Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, localyokelweather said: a conservative map and a tough call. Nice man. Good to see you posting with this event coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: RDU - 4inches / .25 FRZ Rain / dusting CLT - 1 inch / .25inch sleet GSO - 8inch / .15 FRZ rain count it Where is the other 1.5 in of QPF? Plain rain? It's not a ridiculous guess given climo and potential late north adjustments, but this seems very off base, given recent model trends. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The GFS did improve a little for Triad areas up to near where I am in extreme S VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Should put more stock into FV3 then old version of GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The old GFS continues to have the least qpf in the triad, southern VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 RGEM looks much different at 48 than GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, CADEffect said: Should put more stock into FV3 then old version of GFS Well I'm sure NOAA NCEP put a lot of work into trying to make the GFS better, so yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: The old GFS continues to have the least qpf in the triad, southern VA Total precip trend on the last 3 runs of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The FV3 is still relatively beefy with the qpf amounts, but tempered a bit perhaps from previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 CMC actually went back north with snow field -- would take I-85 corridor from CLT to GSP pretty much out of the game -- sleet/zra, it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 12z nam with a mized bag. total snow increased a good bit each run since the 12z runs yesterday which is a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 This is a classic case of the CAD winning out--it helps us NC peeps achieve more snow/frozen precip, but also puts a dent in the overall qpf totals. I'll gladly take that trade, however. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 12Z Canadian Kuchera output: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: 12z nam with a mized bag. total snow increased a good bit each run since the 12z runs yesterday which is a good trend. compared to RDU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: 12Z Canadian Kuchera output: Too far north IMO. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I think the transition boundaries are already setting up. I heard snow in Pickens earlier. I was just on Woodruff road and it was sleeting. I am now back in the Golden Strip and it’s raining. The upper atmosphere has spoken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, PackWxMan said: compared to RDU Man, that RDU sounding -- ugly ... almost a half inch of freezing rain glaze on top of 5 inches of snow on top of a layer of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, eyewall said: Too far north IMO. Way too far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ozmaea Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Seems like GSP is in model wars CMC vs new GFSSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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