RT1980 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 32 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: I grew up in Fayetteville. I have seen my share of good snow. I only point out what the models are doing. You know the truth. Sorry if that crushes your dreams. You pick and choose when you post well. Can you enlighten me/us all on your thoughts. Paid METs aren’t jumping one way or the other but you jump to rain as often as possible. If you know what’s going to happen exactly then post a map. If not then switch to the banter or sanitarium posts! Sorry but weeding through the bs posts is getting old. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 We need to pray this model is correct. .....we need to see the NAM come back on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ballnutncwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Ah crap. Jim Cantori is in CLT airport.. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNCwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, ballnutncwx said: Ah crap. Jim Cantori is in CLT airport.. I've heard on social media that he is going to Asheville tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I enjoy using this page for models? Does anybody else use COD? https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, ballnutncwx said: Ah crap. Jim Cantori is in CLT airport.. I just posted this to the mountains thread, he's going to Asheville for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, mckinnonwg said: I enjoy using this page for models? Does anybody else use COD? https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ I've used it for a very long time, has some goof info on the site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: NAM was worse, GFS wasn't as good, and now the Canadian and FV3 are colder and snowier. I guess we get the model wars now. The NAM seems to be playing hard what the main issue is with this event since the beginning. The high timing is 24 hours late for wedging and is generally too far north to ensure a true southern frozen event. If this system was 24 hours slower this is a massive winter storm down to Macon and most of NC is likely snow. If the high is 200 miles south this is all snow for most of northern AL and GA and north 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: I've used it for a very long time, has some goof info on the site. I agree. It does a very good job with the various forms of data and comparisons as well. I also have noticed that various sites have different outcomes with the same models. So it's also interesting to cross compare sites. Interesting stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, WNCwx said: I've heard on social media that he is going to Asheville tomorrow. 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: I just posted this to the mountains thread, he's going to Asheville for this one. Either buried or busted... Either way it is a kiss of death 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Anybody got the FV3 snowfall map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, ballnutncwx said: Ah crap. Jim Cantori is in CLT airport.. Brad P posted that hes not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: Either buried or busted... Either way it is a kiss of death What an awesome job to be paid to head right to the center of these things! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 FV3 singing some Tom Petty, I won't back down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: Anybody got the FV3 snowfall map? Hour 81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Geez... The FV3 looks AWESOME. But the 12z NAM definitely took the air out of the room. #NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, jjwxman said: Geez... The FV3 looks AWESOME. But the 12z NAM definitely took the air out of the room. #NAM'd It is the NAM so you have to pay attention to it, but besides the control GFS with less QPF, the NAM is really on an island at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Seems easier to drive from ATL to AVL than fly through CLT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, FallsLake said: We need to pray this model is correct. .....we need to see the NAM come back on board. which model are you referring to? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, jjwxman said: Geez... The FV3 looks AWESOME. But the 12z NAM definitely took the air out of the room. #NAM'd Brad P.’s video this morning says it all to me. Might not be blockbuster for the weenies but you can’t jump ship model to model. To be honest I’m hoping for minimal effects. I need to work prior to the old man coming down the chimney! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inthepines Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, PGAWx said: Seems easier to drive from ATL to AVL than fly through CLT? It is! Never fly into AVL. The airport closes everytime it rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Poimen said: which model are you referring to? The FV3-GFS... and heck the rest of the op models as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Noticed that no one posted the UKMET.. anyone have some snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, ajr said: Fwiw He just went all in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The NAM seems to be playing hard what the main issue is with this event since the beginning. The high timing is 24 hours late for wedging and is generally too far north to ensure a true southern frozen event. If this system was 24 hours slower this is a massive winter storm down to Macon and most of NC is likely snow. If the high is 200 miles south this is all snow for most of northern AL and GA and north Been saying this since 6z nam and repeated it 12z nam. Nam has center of hp in wisconsin and retrogrades it west as lp approaches. Cant get cold funneled down cad areas properly cause of its location. Think it is having long range hiccup with this feature and causing its outputs at hr 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 You can see the differences at 500 pretty well, between Nam and FV3. Temp profiles don't mean much when the setup is different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Been saying this since 6z nam and repeated it 12z nam. Nam has center of hp in wisconsin and retrogrades it west as lp approaches. Cant get cold funneled down cad areas properly cause of its location. Think it is having long range hiccup with this feature and causing its outputs at hr 84 Think the NAM will correct course or is this the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Orangeburgwx said: Think the NAM will correct course or is this the trend? It’s a trend. Everybody gets rain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Nam is also restricted in its raob spectrum where as globals arent handicapped as much. So this ns energy is not being seen well by nam at the moment and we can see how misplacing it will affect end result Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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