NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 13 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: You coming up for the historic storm and help him out? Was and still might have to. Lights went out on the ole 9ft frazier fir in LR tonight. So wifey has a new agenda for me this weekend. Sorry for banter. Time for gfs. Your sitting in a sweet spot for this one. Good luck, you where the last poster to make a run at 20 when you hit 19 a few years back. Dont even think snow joe has hit 20 with one storm at 4000 plus feet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, GunBlade said: Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Places like CLT and just south will be hoping the FV3 is right. I would love to see it verify as well, simply because it gives decent amounts for pretty much everyone on this board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Poimen said: Not to be out done is the 12K NAM: Wow, almost a foot for me. Is this the Kuchera map? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Brick Tamland said: Wow, almost a foot for me. Is this the Kuchera map? It's supposed to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: My county, rutherford, goes from 2” to touching 24”. Wow . It can happen.. Sleet is going to be a major issue for you as you know all to well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas: Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling) Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling) Palacios: 3.42" 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, donsutherland1 said: For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas: Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling) Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling) Palacios: 3.42" Great post Don! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 While we are in a lull between models, being new to the area, I live in Mooresville. Is that considered NW Piedmont or I85 corridor. Thank you in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 For a hint of what may lie ahead in terms of incredible moisture, as of 9 pm CST, here are a few precipitation totals in Texas: Houston: 2.55" (heavy rain was still falling) Huntsville: 3.79" (heavy rain was still falling) Palacios: 3.42"It has been nothing but wet this year! Thanks for posting. Those are impressive . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, griteater said: Sure seems like it’s NAM and the Canadian models against UKMet / GFS / Euro regarding the southern fringe temps and the northern extent of the precip shield - 2 disparate camps For what it’s worth ICON has been rock steady as well. 0z still has it CHS to MYR. Heavy snows Greensboro, Winston Salem, Mt Airy and on up into ROA. CLT looks to be a rain sounding if the ICON comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 While we are in a lull between models, being new to the area, I live in Mooresville. Is that considered NW Piedmont or I85 corridor. Thank you in advance! Piedmont but not so much NW. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 0z RGEM another northern system. Does a miller b like transfer to CHS and heads up the coast to the outer banks. Heavy heavy snows northernmost NC/mountains and foothills and all of southern VA. Double digit totals throughout that whole region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 NWS reasoning for expanding the Winter Storm Watch in Georgia: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 945 PM EST Fri Dec 7 2018 .UPDATE... Main adjustment this evening was to expand the Winter Storm Watch farther west and south given growing concern for some freezing rain accumulations in a strengthening wedge Saturday night into Sunday. This was based on some higher resolution guidance advecting the subfreezing low level temps/wetbulbs farther into the area, including the local WRF which has resolved past wedges quite well. There is still much uncertainty with temps, timing, and amount of moisture but the fact that models which typically perform better with the local terrain and smaller scale microphysical processes are bringing in some freezing rain mainly north of the I-20 corridor and impinging into the far northeast Atlanta metro was justification enough to expand. Also even higher snow totals could be realized in the NE mountains. The watch area could be upgraded to either a Warning or Advisory in future updates so please watch for any changes. Previous discussion follows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: While we are in a lull between models, being new to the area, I live in Mooresville. Is that considered NW Piedmont or I85 corridor. Thank you in advance! You're NW of the 85 corridor but not "NW piedmont"... that's Taylorsville to Wilkesboro terrain. We are a part of that iffy area... could be 16", could be 3" with slop. We'll find out! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atlweatherman Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Yes. I'll revisit the numbers and possible rankings ahead of the next storm.Where can I view this data plot?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 My son Tommy is checking out this thread...ready to rumble at WCU! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Should the RGEM concern us? It's basically a sleet storm for even the Triad. I seem to recall that it has performed well in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 0z RGEM Buries Southern and SW VA with 12-20" of Snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 But then again...according to the PW site, the RGEM is a sleet storm for the mountains, too. Perhaps that answers my original question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Waynesville tonight was clear and calm, could see stars. Was 40 degrees at 8ish while Cullowhee was overcast and 45 degrees. News trucks were in the Waynesville Lowe's parking lot. They're situated nicely for the next couple days. My son Tommy is checking out this thread...ready to rumble at WCU!Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z RGEM Buries Southern and SW VA with 12-20" of Snow Funny thing is man the track was fairly similar to 18z, just expanded the snow shield and spread the wealth so to speak. If the low traverses near Myrtle and up to Hatteras it’s a perfect track for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Lots of brining happening on the roads as well for anyone who'd be interested to know. Seems like the cars would wear it off the road before the party begins.Waynesville tonight was clear and calm, could see stars. Was 40 degrees at 8ish while Cullowhee was overcast and 45 degrees. News trucks were in the Waynesville Lowe's parking lot. They're situated nicely for the next couple days.Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using TapatalkSent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just caught a few minutes of John and Chris on facebook, pretty much going with what the NAM is showing; 1-4 around 85 (basically mix) all rain a few miles south. A few miles north 4-8, and few more miles north 8-12. Basically if you are NE of a line from Lake Jocassee to Pumpkintown, to Tigerville, to Northern Sptbg you will have a big snow. If you go about 25 miles south you may get nothing but cold rain. Their in house radar also shows Mtn snow starting in the mid morning tomorrow but not until after midnight tomorow for upstate, and then only lasting a few hours. They have all upstate temps rising above freezing by about noon tomorrow, then maybe falling back below for alittle while for northern areas tomorrow night. So quick snow to mix north of 85 going to all rain (take a pic while you can) then maybe some zr sunday night i guess? Huge cutoff with this system, going to be a no show for many, and small even for some and a big even for a few (in the upstate). Must be nice to live in NC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 0z RGEM 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 The RGEM is pure model porn for southern VA back to Northern NC to Boone. 18 inch plus totals everywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 7 minutes ago, atlweatherman said: Where can I view this data plot? . The numbers I posted are below: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, Poimen said: Should the RGEM concern us? It's basically a sleet storm for even the Triad. I seem to recall that it has performed well in the past. Yes we know what the warm nose can do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Icon is largely unchanged but has quite a bit more snow in central NC. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Yes we know what the warm nose can do Without soundings it's hard to know what's going on. Maybe it's an issue with the program indicating sleet when it's actually a snow sounding? I mean it was showing sleet on the maps even over the mountains and we know that's not the case. It still has 8-11" in our neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, wake4est said: Icon is largely unchanged but has quite a bit more snow in NC. Still running. Yes yes.. rain/snow/ice line dancing around ... And will do so on forecast models until it's actually happening. I know how this plays out. The players are set. I'm waiting to nowcast to know my fate. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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