NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: 3k is your best bet in these instances. Which speaking of I was about to post the 34hr 3k has the low just a little further north up in southeastern AL/Panhandle of FL. Great moisture influx streaming up the Appalachians and into NC. Looks like snow for sure most of NC (CLT) included. 1034 HP sitting west of Harrisburg, PA. The exit angle heading, will affect yall as far as qpf and Brick in regards to waa alot. Its a royal back yard snow rumble between the shenandoah crowd and the triangle snow hole crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 While the coming snow is the major story for parts of the Southeast, the storm is also likely to dump a widespread 1"-3" precipitation. As a result, 2018 could rank among the 15 wettest years on record in numerous cities in the region. Already, Wilmington, NC has had its wettest year on record, by far. The 95.83" precipitation that has fallen this year has easily surpassing the previous record of 83.65", which was set way back in 1877. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: The exit angle heading, will affect yall as far as qpf and Brick in regards to waa alot. Its a royal back yard snow rumble between the shenandoah crowd and the triangle snow hole crowd. I can’t even do a pbp for the 3k. That low is jumping around like a darn hot potato. Taken at face value I would def take it for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mstr4j Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Seems to me that GSP and Upstate struggling these past few runs - but it doesn't take but one to turn this babe around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 So Buddy what your suggestion is the 3k should have better handle 5H placements and thermo profiles better than 12k. Is that right. Im clueless with the nam which is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3k nam for Wake has 4-5” on the kuchera and 0.4” of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 The NAMs brought the goods tonight. Gotta love the way the qpf is trending at this time. Here's the 3K Kuchera: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick Esasky Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: While the coming snow is the major story for parts of the Southeast, the storm is also likely to dump a widespread 1"-3" precipitation. As a result, 2018 could rank among the 15 wettest years on record in numerous cities in the region. Already, Wilmington, NC has had its wettest year on record, by far. The 95.83" precipitation that has fallen this year has easily surpassing the previous record of 83.65", which was set way back in 1877. 180 Hrs out - ATL could get 5+ more inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: So Buddy what your suggestion is the 3k should have better handle 5H placements and thermo profiles better than 12k. Is that right Yes that would be my assumption with it. It had a great track once it got going east of Savannah but then played hop scotch over the Atlantic lol! That should promote some form of southeast flow with that track and at least aid in lift for a little. Honestly if I got 8” I’d be tickled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casualbrain Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 It's a thing of beauty... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: The NAMs brought the goods tonight. Gotta love the way the qpf is trending at this time. Here's the 3K Kuchera: Poiman, what service do you use for that map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Can you post that one please? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstatescweather Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Allan Huffman said no reason to change his maps from this afternoon yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbubba Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 11 minutes ago, wake4est said: 3k nam for Wake has 4-5” on the kuchera and 0.4” of freezing rain That's a relief! The last NAM run had me thinking about 2002 when it showed over 1.00" of freezing rain. I hope things continue to trend colder for Wake and surounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Yes that would be my assumption with it. It had a great track once it got going east of Savannah but then played hop scotch over the Atlantic lol! That should promote some form of southeast flow with that track and at least aid in lift for a little. Honestly if I got 8” I’d be tickled. Appreciate. Ill be suprised if yall dont end up with.75+ QPF. We all know when the dust settles from the mtns to the sea whos gonna end up with 20+ and he resides in Surry County NC. Hes been quietly lurking. Busy Getting film in his polaroid 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Poiman, what service do you use for that map? It's at www.weathernerds.org (I just discovered it this week myself). It's a great free site. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 24 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Wow. Geeze that's insanity... currently camped out here in banner elk. Still a few inches of snow on the ground from earlier in the wk. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I noticed the SREF QPF mean at GSO was 2" at 21Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, Poimen said: I noticed the SREF QPF mean at GSO was 2" at 21Z. That's big time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Appreciate. Ill be suprised if yall dont end up with.75+ QPF. We all know when the dust settles from the mtns to the sea whos gonna end up with 20+ and he resides in Surry County NC. Your Father-n-Law!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Your Father-n-Law!! Him to lol. Hes Got alot of cows calfing right now. Gonna be rough on em 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, NCSNOW said: Him to lol. Hes Got alot of cows calfing right now. Gonna be rough on em You coming up for the historic storm and help him out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Not to be out done is the 12K NAM: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 11 minutes ago, Casualbrain said: It's a thing of beauty... Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Places like CLT and just south will be hoping the FV3 is right. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 14 minutes ago, Nick Esasky said: 180 Hrs out - ATL could get 5+ more inches. Yes. I'll revisit the numbers and possible rankings ahead of the next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Not to be out done is the 12K NAM: My county, rutherford, goes from 2” to touching 24”. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 All I know is at this point I’m ready for those NE winds to kick in cause it is just refusing to cool down right now. Still 42 with 38 dewpoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Sure seems like it’s NAM and the Canadian models against UKMet / GFS / Euro regarding the southern fringe temps and the northern extent of the precip shield - 2 disparate camps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: My county, rutherford, goes from 2” to touching 24”. Wow . Do these high res NAMs account for sleet and freezing rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Poimen said: Not to be out done is the 12K NAM: I wonder why these look so much different than the Pivotal Weather ones on the south end around CLT back to Spartanburg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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