olafminesaw Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: NE GA and far Western Upstate much warmer aloft at 42 yet on the frame before and after we're much colder so who knows what to make of that. Heck of a warm nose though on soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, SnowDawg said: NE GA and far Western Upstate much warmer aloft at 42 yet on the frame before and after we're much colder so who knows what to make of that. I think it shows how the models are struggling with the column cooling. We won't know probably until it's actually falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 14 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: I'd check the counties. Cause my WSW just issued by them covers portions of Western NC, NW upstate, and far NE GA and it has a ridiculously wide range of 2 to 17 inches. I noticed that too - a huge discrepancy in elevation in their cwa. They usually separate out into several different, more specific language though. I have never seen them that combined (at least that I can remember). I do find it odd how their warning language does not really seem to match their accumulation maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Looks like the north trend is still real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GFS is still improving for northern areas in NC and Southside VA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 GFS looks like all snow IMBY through 48. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Talk About perfect timing. Leaving work by GSO airport and the thick milk clouds that hung in all day are vanishing. Should be able to radiate for a brief period next couple hours before cloud deck rolls back in. Havent noticed any ne breeze at all, figured hp would start sending a little breeze down the east side of apps before long 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 18z NAM--- 1" zr for RDU? Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, NEGa said: I noticed that too - a huge discrepancy in elevation in their cwa. They usually separate out into several different, more specific language though. I have never seen them that combined (at least that I can remember). I do find it odd how their warning language does not really seem to match their accumulation maps I think the hard part is that, at least in Rabun county the gradient could be that tight between the far SW portion of the county up to around the Sky Valley/Rabun Bald area. So the warning for the county literally has to have that high of a discrepancy. But definitely the biggest one I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 FV3 is going to be just like previous runs Here's the total qpf from the 18Z run. Nearing 2" in the Triad this time: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 18z NAM--- 1" zr for RDU? Yikes! That would be 2002 all over again Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Solak said: 18z NAM--- 1" zr for RDU? Yikes! At this point I'm hoping we warm up by a degree or two and just get regular rain. I've seen enough ZR to last a lifetime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Poimen said: FV3 is going to be just like previous runs Here's the total qpf from the 18Z run. Nearing 2" in the Triad this time: Driving. How bout 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 NWS GSPVerified account @NWSGSP 4m4 minutes ago 5pm Friday Update: WINTER STORM WARNING expanded! Here's our updated snow/ice totals. We're still 12-24 hours until onset of any wintry precip; we will take another hard look overnight to refine totals. Prepare, prepare, prepare! #ncwx #scwx #gawx #wncwx #cltwx #gspwx #avlwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Reports to the west of warmer mid levels than modeling showed. Nam going north, GFS calming down. All we can hope for is the FV3 and Euro hold. That’s all sleet tho. This is a sleet of r cold rain for majority of us regardless of what models show. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, NCSNOW said: Driving. How bout 850s They looked about the same from what I could tell on the NCEP maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 FV3 looks great still. Widespread 12-18 wallop from Danville SE to Winston to Hickory to AVL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, PackWxMan said: Reports to the west of warmer mid levels than modeling showed. Nam going north, GFS calming down. All we can hope for is the FV3 and Euro hold. That’s all sleet tho. This is a sleet of r cold rain for majority of us regardless of what models show. LOL remember that when western piedmont and foothills get over a foot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 18Z GFS below. I'm out until 0Z. My orphaned family is begging for my attention. lol. See y'all later. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, PackWxMan said: Reports to the west of warmer mid levels than modeling showed. Nam going north, GFS calming down. All we can hope for is the FV3 and Euro hold. That’s all sleet tho. This is a sleet of r cold rain for majority of us regardless of what models show. Just 3 hours ago you were getting upset at RAH for not calling for enough snow. Now you're back to cold rain? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: FV3 looks great still. Widespread 12-18 wallop from Danville SE to Winston to Hickory to AVL It’s been consistent too. Can’t ignore that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Thanks poimen. ALL ABOUT THERMAL PROFILE NOW. QPF will be there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: Reports to the west of warmer mid levels than modeling showed. Nam going north, GFS calming down. All we can hope for is the FV3 and Euro hold. That’s all sleet tho. This is a sleet of r cold rain for majority of us regardless of what models show. I intend to agree with you. Checking upstream now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Sooo....this is my forecast per weather.gov. saturday night- new snow 2-4” possible. sunday- new snow or sleet accumulations of 3-7” possible. So could be 5” or 11”...hah, middle of Charlotte. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Yeah. Western N.C. will see snow. However the majority of us in NC are in the metro areas. CLT / Raleigh and even greensboro. I like the runs yesterday but today it’s been a nose dive into warmer temps aloft and fading precipitation at the hands of the CAD. All good. It’s early dec. plenty more months. Sleetfest 2018 incoming. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 New WPC Probabilities 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: Yeah. Western N.C. will see snow. However the majority of us in NC are in the metro areas. CLT / Raleigh and even greensboro. I like the runs yesterday but today it’s been a nose dive into warmer temps aloft and fading precipitation at the hands of the CAD. All good. It’s early dec. plenty more months. Sleetfest 2018 incoming. GSO should get plenty of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: GSO should get plenty of snow Don't waste your time with nonsense posts.. Please continue the model analysis those who have access 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Something to consider the convection along the Gulf Coast needs to stay in check. Anyone else seen if it will be a problem for QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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