olafminesaw Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, RTPGiants said: People are going to like this run I think. Onset is later, but temps seem way better, and there's plenty of moisture being pulled in with a high right to the north. Seems like it might be a weenie FV-3 type run... My only complaint is, as I understand, a more consolidated low may push up mid level temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, franklin NCwx said: This is gonna be one of those nam runs of the past!! Couldn’t agree more getting me giddy seeing the precip to my west and southwest on that run. Maybe this is the time frame Grit, myself and a lot of other people mentioned the precip shield correctly portraying this beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, DopplerWx said: temps much warmer at 45 than 12z though. a lot of frz rain and sleet. I'm sort of hoping that with so much heavy precip the models just really aren't picking up total column cooling. Either way gonna be a look out the window and see situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 UGH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, burgertime said: Whatever happens whoever gets all snow is just going to get crushed. AVL looks to get demolished on this run. GSP probably also cashes in. GSP cashes in alright....with power outages. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 @51 pretty much everyone from GSP to CLT to RDU is in on the game! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, burgertime said: I'm sort of hoping that with so much heavy precip the models just really aren't picking up total column cooling. Either way gonna be a look out the window and see situation. by hr 30 clt looks to be a snow sounding but it is very close. i think a lot of these shifts in rain/sleet/snow line is from the varying precip rates with each run moving north and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, lilj4425 said: GSP cashes in alright....with power outages. Dang right that’s a lot of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Verbatim, changover to mix/sleet south of I-40 at 45 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Precip is much more expansive at 48 into eastern KY. Gonna be a great run for northern areas that are close to the fringe line this go around. RIC to ROA and down to the NC mountains are getting smoked! Low is literally JUST south of CHS, whereas 12z already had it e/se of Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, packfan98 said: UGH! Holy crap. 1.39 freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Bulk of moisture is also pulling out @51...like all storms it's never easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 It's going to be painful watching the sleet line in Greensboro. I think it may end up setting up over Guilford county for a long while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mwp1023 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: Holy crap. 1.39 freezing rain That is terrible if true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, packfan98 said: UGH! That is a devastating look for many areas including where I am. Add that on top of snow and sleet and it will be a disaster here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 massive warm nose by hr 34 on the 3k nam in clt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Clown map on NAM is ridiculous...if we could somehow manage to keep it a degree cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 NAM scrapes the coastline this go around and has the low subsequently go from CHS at 48 to MYR at 51 and then a position JUST south of the outer banks at 54. Better track for the foothills and mountains of NC/VA. Gonna be some good weenie maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, kelani said: I know it's a high-end map, and also keeping my excitement in check, but have to say that for the first time since I can remember, Caldwell county looks like a great place to be for all the snows. Right below you in Burke county in Valdese feel the same way. https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1071132659710091264 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, GunBlade said: That is a devastating look for many areas including where I am. Add that on top of snow and sleet and it will be a disaster here. Yes, the upstate in a very icy spot today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, packfan98 said: UGH! That's one of the scariest maps I've seen on these boards. Greenville and Spartanburg would never been the same -- and Charlotte/Rock Hill wouldn't be much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, RTPGiants said: Clown map on NAM is ridiculous...if we could somehow manage to keep it a degree cooler. Looks like the ice is worse as you go from Raleigh to Charlotte. Maybe the snow up this way will be more then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I LOVE this run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, wncsnow said: I LOVE this run CRUSHED! 3k is out to 34 and looks similar to 32k thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, packfan98 said: UGH! There’s your warning shot right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 NAM was not a bad look at all with the track of that low....There could be a good amount of snow as it goes up the coast and out to see. It's never easy lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, beanskip said: That's one of the scariest maps I've seen on these boards. Greenville and Spartanburg would never been the same -- and Charlotte/Rock Hill wouldn't be much better. Yeah 1.39 ZR = be prepared to not have power for a week. There's going to be an unlucky ice zone it seems, just hope it isn't that large and doesn't last that long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Congrats to those in the West. For those of us in the Central areas...time to find some firewood... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mwp1023 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 always a north shift as we get close to go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I LOVE this run Me to!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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