griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 That's a long event 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 FV3 Kuchera map. ENJOY!!! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, SnowDawg said: I'm viewing on WxBell so I'm not sure about the rules on me sharing that but I will say for your location your mean is probably around a foot maybe a little more on that run. Compare that to the last run where it was probably 9 or so and then even better if you consider how far north the 12z run went when that areas mean dropped all the way to around 5-6. So a pretty substatial trend south over the last 2 GEFS runs. Thank you so much! I really appreciate that. This is what I was THINKING on the mean. This sounds awesome and hoping it is a trend that will stick. For it to show in this timeframe is great. I know from tracking storms from WWB and since the inception of American Weather, I have seen CAD perform colder than progged, I am feeling this in my gut for this system. Thanks again and good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanTy Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Can someone post the 0z Gefs snowfall map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 There goes my flight out of GSO-CLT Tuesday morning. Time to rebook tomorrow. Anybody posting a PBP on the Euro tonight? Kinda quiet in here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 You can see that trend south here but the resolution isn't as high as it is on WxBell so the details are a little off in places such as the higher totals near the escarpment that are apparent on the other site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Euro out to 48, compared to 18z, it's maybe just a touch colder thru NC (thicknesses) and precip shield is a touch south...small diff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 10 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Burger showing up for a PBP tonight? I corresponded with Burger this morning and he told me to pass along to everyone that he would be tied up, but he wished he could. He will check back in ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Just now, Rankin5150 said: I corresponded with Burger this morning and he told me to pass along to everyone that he would be tied up, but he wished he could. He will check back in ASAP. Then Grit better deliver the BOOM!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 18z was a wet run of the Euro and this one looks just as wet if not wetter out to 60 where it's snowing heavily in NE upstate and western NC, over to CLT and RDU and NW into S VA 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Snowline pushing much further south and west than the last run at 54 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 It brings the 0 deg 850 line well inland again, but there's heavy comma head snow for Frosty and the foothills 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, griteater said: That's a long event Grit, Correct me if I am wrong, but we are on the cusp of a DOOZY of a storm for our areas, if this verifies. I mean...this is a long duration with more snow than mixing. Correct? I also notice the other Models starting to move in the direction of the FV3-GFS. No? Thank you for putting this together. Looks awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Temps leave a lot to be desired in parts of the piedmont and east, but that's how the Euro has looked all along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 The backside snow showers / light snow looks good again on this run...we'll post a few maps shortly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 UKMET wasn't as bullish on snow outside of the mountains. Has significant ice storm from Upstate, through Charlotte, to Raleigh. Higher totals that even the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Euro Precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 You can see here how the Euro doesn't hold the cold in NC as much as the GFS/FV3 as the 850 low treks east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, UNCCmetgrad said: UKMET wasn't as bullish on snow outside of the mountains. Has significant ice storm from Upstate, through Charlotte, to Raleigh. Higher totals that even the NAM. Could you post up snowfall total map for western NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Yes^ Thanks Grit. The Euro at 96 looks weird, just drops the low back south and east and the temps, why is there no 850 crash across the Carolinas as the low departs ots? Edit - it may just be the 24 hour intervals throwing me off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 Made a snowfall map, link is in Banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Euro PType Loop 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 For Western NC, NGA and the Northern Upstate the Fv3 and Euro are remarkably similar with their Kuchera totals. Euro slightly lower maximas but the placement of them are nearly identical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: Euro PType Loop Now for the backside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, wxduncan said: Could you post up snowfall total map for western NC? Here it is along with ice accumulations. Not sure whats going on with the ice map east of Raleigh. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jet Stream Rider said: Yes^ Thanks Grit. The Euro at 96 looks weird, just drops the low back south and east and the temps, why is there no 850 crash across the Carolinas as the low departs ots? Chris Justus mentioned this in his live video earlier that he was not buying the temps on the backside of the storm on the Euro. Said he didn't understand why the temps weren't crashing with the flip to a North wind and the ULL feature moving in too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxduncan Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 minute ago, UNCCmetgrad said: Here it is along with ice accumulations. Not sure whats going on with the ice map east of Raleigh. Thank you man still in the 12 plus range so brad Ps forecast of 9-14 feels about right for my area giving tonight's run just waiting on how euro stacks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 I am rooting for the FV3-GFS ALL. THE. WAY! That is too good to be true, albeit, it has been the MOST consistent model the ENTIRE time. Wow posted a comparison earlier which was eye opening. What to think? I cannot get over it. I know NWS and all the other Meteorologists are like "which way to go?" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Chris Justus mentioned this in his live video earlier that he was not buying the temps on the backside of the storm on the Euro. Said he didn't understand why the temps weren't crashing with the flip to a North wind and the ULL feature moving in too. Probably because the airmass behind it really isn't all that different. What cold air does it have to tap into? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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