Cornsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Bang (not to take away from Burger) Look at that gradient/cutoff around the 85 corridor! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Soundings are all around better this run, whether its temps or the snow growth zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, sarcean said: wow RAH call map I would gladly take 3 to 5 inches with the first storm threat of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: They pulled the trigger, the gun fired, and it scared them so they put the gun back in the holster until they know they have to shoot again. To be honest none of their maps have looked right to me for the storm they have basically had Charlotte getting more snow than some of the mountain areas I’d love to see the faces of the night crew when they come in tonight to work on the AFD and maps and see what was put out this afternoon. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 18z FV3 is another QPF bomb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Bang (not to take away from Burger) Brutal map for I-85 corridor -- not only do they take a hit on snow, but its surely replaced with ice and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Pretty much a done deal for the upstate(NW SC) and NeGa. Travelers Rest area may do well as usual. I would even say it's not an I85 storm it's more like HWY11 storm. Landrum, TR, Ceasars head..act. But hey its early December I will be happy with a decent duration of sleet. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 To be expected with this type of setup. Classic southern snowstorm with the battle lines drawn 15-30 miles on either side of I85.I’m about 14 miles away, as a crow flies. So, I’m at least at the lower end of that range. Wouldn’t it be nice to have a snowstorm that doesn’t have a warm nose from the CLT Metro to the Triangle? Unfortunately, that is our climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Pretty much a done deal for the upstate(NW SC) and NeGa. Travelers Rest area may do well as usual. I would even say it's not an I85 storm it's more like HWY11 storm. Landrum, TR, Ceasars head..act. But hey its early December I will be happy with a decent duration of sleet. Well if the NAM is right we are absolutely getting crippled with ZR as much as 1.7 inches in places. So at this point we better hope we can escape with a bunch of sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Pretty much a done deal for the upstate(NW SC) and NeGa. Travelers Rest area may do well as usual. I would even say it's not an I85 storm it's more like HWY11 storm. Landrum, TR, Ceasars head..act. But hey its early December I will be happy with a decent duration of sleet. I sure hope it's more ip/sn than zr 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 From the ncep maps for FV3 looks like the northern stream closed low drops decent snow on monday. QPF over 2 inches across most of state storm total 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Could definitely see this being a situation in CLT where Davidson/Mooresville see double digits, Huntersville gets 5”, an inch or two at carowinds and freezing rain once you get to Dave Lyle Blvd in RH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Could definitely see this being a situation in CLT where Davidson/Mooresville see double digits, Huntersville gets 5”, an inch or two at carowinds and freezing rain once you get to Dave Lyle Blvd in RH. Yeah, the difference between Kings Mountain and Casar in Cleveland County is going to be interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCBud Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Game over for snow in Upstate SC? Looking more and more like it. Once it trends this way it usually doesn't trend back this close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 It’s a warning sign when the UKMet and GFS are out QPFing the NAM...big boy 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Could definitely see this being a situation in CLT where Davidson/Mooresville see double digits, Huntersville gets 5”, an inch or two at carowinds and freezing rain once you get to Dave Lyle Blvd in RH. I hope so, l didn't move from Charlotte to Mooresville for nothing! lol. It always seems to line up that way. With today's trends I'm doubting a bit even Mooresville sees that much. That low keeps getting amped and coming tick by tick north. Eventually I think even Mooresville is a sleetfest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 For those with coastal concerns, MHX Coastal Storm Briefing. https://www.weather.gov/media/mhx/LatestBriefing.pdf?fbclid=IwAR32vZ7ad46R716STT6MAcdEz7RArRBPbdzmLIzpquKzmNGdZ5I3EdGtghs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 The globals are not backing down at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Yeah, the difference between Kings Mountain and Casar in Cleveland County is going to be interesting.No doubt! Like Cliffside and sunshine in rutherford! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: From the ncep maps for FV3 looks like the northern stream closed low drops decent snow on monday. QPF over 2 inches across most of state storm total Can you please provide link for this? I'm coming up blanks looking for it. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheers for Western Ears Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: It’s a warning sign when the UKMet and GFS are out QPFing the NAM...big boy In a good way or bad way precip wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Cheers for Western Ears said: In a good way or bad way precip wise? Good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Mike Dross (@MikeWDross) 12/6/18, 14:52 @AlConklin Yep. It gets started /w deterministic snowfall maps from GFS/ECMWF that are flawed to begin with, not to mention 5+ days out. By the time we get into the mesoscale model time frame (when we actually know what's likely), public already going off flawed/inferior/old model data. +100 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, MotoWeatherman said: Can you please provide link for this? I'm coming up blanks looking for it. Thanks! http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/ It's just under gfs like normal its the eval page though so it's FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/ It's just under gfs like normal its the eval page though so it's FV3 Perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 FV3 doubles down -- 850s even colder through 48 hours than the 12z run -- 0c 850 line makes it into NE Ga. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Brad P's latest call map. Seems miles away from NWS GSP: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Mets on twitter are absolutely bashing GSP for this ridiculous basically unreadable graphic lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Total precip FV3... precip shifted south a bit.. barely making it into C VA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Man, FV3 still going at 90 hours -- 12z Monday -- with snow all the way back into Georgia. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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