Rankin5150 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Poimen said: Does anyone care about the SREF plumes at this range? GSO snow mean is 8.3" and qpf is 1.56" I am curious what they are showing for Belmont, NC at this range (zip: 28012). Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Mean Control run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Side note: GSP in the forecast discussion at 1350 is going with 1036 to build in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? Welcome! Yep. INT is winston salem. RDU is raleigh. CLT is Charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, SLAMSTORM22 said: New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? Yes and INT is the code for Winston’s airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? Yes. If it's not an airport code, it's usually a weather office. RDU = airport, RAH = weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, SLAMSTORM22 said: New to the forum... Is GSO Greensboro? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Deep Thunder Model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 If the storm plays out as modeled I think we'll all be surprised, yet happy. But if things take a dramatic turn, the post mortem on this one is going to be an incredible read. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Here you go ladies and Gents... Allan's thoughts. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan80963 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Deep Thunder Model Does that include sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Ethan80963 said: Does that include sleet? Trufully, I have no idea lol. I was just sharing it from a Meterologist on twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Deep Thunder Model I keep seeing this model tossed into the discussion. I think it has been around since the mid 90's but is it still considered experimental? Is it private B2B subscription model? Just wondering with over 20 years of data and tweaking, who is actually using it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: Mean Control run . I favor the Control run over the EPS. As it shows No snow for Ji and NW DC Metro. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I favor the Control run over the EPS. As it shows No snow for Ji and NW DC Metro.He said we are taking there snow last night . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Hopefully somehow the freezing rain can be minimized with this system. Last thing the Carolinas needs is more tree issues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, CLTwx said: Here you go ladies and Gents... Allan's thoughts. Allan has me on the 8-12" zone. Will believe it when I see it-been fringed too many times over the past 20 years. I guess eventually we'll have another 1988-maybe this is the storm.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, CLTwx said: Here you go ladies and Gents... Allan's thoughts. Love seeing that. This would be a major storm for most of NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 FWIW, 4 of GSP's 6 biggest snowstorms and 4 of GSP's 7 10" or greater snowstorms have occurred in December. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: FWIW, 4 of GSP's 6 biggest snowstorms and 4 of GSP's 7 10" or greater snowstorms have occurred in December. Thanks for giving perspective, Don. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Deep Thunder is an IBM model I think. I believe it's somehow related to Watson these days. Michael Ventrice posts it from time to time on Twitter. No idea the actual verification scores, but I feel it's been out in left field a few times on hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Looks like to me that the NAM is going to be a touch south if anything this run 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Allans map matches up well with my thinking for the Triad region. Im in B and miss A by about 10-15 miles max. But he's spot on. This will be the biggest event since atleast February 28,2004 in Randolph county when we experienced 17-19 inches of snow and January 2000 the crusher witch had most of the county in 13-18 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 “Major Winter Storm” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Thicknesses are a little colder on the NAM this run as precip is arriving 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Allans map matches up well with my thinking for the Triad region. Im in B and miss A by about 10-15 miles max. But he's spot on. This will be the biggest event since atleast February 28,2004 in Randolph county when we experienced 17-19 inches of snow and January 2000 the crusher witch had most of the county in 13-18 inches of snow. Hmm, I don't know. It's not been a trend, but today's runs were pretty poor with their shifting north and turning a bit warmer. The problem has always been I'm RIGHT on the line. So no there's not going to be huge changes I don't think. But a 2 degree change is all the difference for CLT and Raleigh. Again I don't know if I've actually seen a trend persay, but the EURO (once it hit the coast), GFS, and NAM got warmer. So I'm not confident until I see something go the other way. If Allan put that map out after the 12 runs I'd be surprised. I think they could end up being really high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 They’re briming the roads here. Greenville, SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Here is my rough call: 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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