griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Euro closes off 500mb wave over N GA. Give thanks to these model runs today guys and gals. They don’t come around very often, and thank you El Nino 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 192 Euro -- storm stalls, cut off from cold air also. Will be interesting to see surface maps, but this is a weird scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Certainly the period where you want to see a suppressed trend commence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Wow, hour 192 is stunning. tucked into the coast, stalled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: Wow, hour 192 is stunning. tucked into the coast, stalled out. Check temps, though. It warms considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Wow, there's some 20" totals across the northern upstate on the kuchera maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: Wow, there's some 20" totals across the northern upstate on the kuchera maps. Which model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Total whiff for everyone north of Raleigh and GSO. Congrats, guys! You finally get your big one! Long overdue for so many. Glad to see you boys score! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, WidreMann said: Which model? 12z Euro. 24" at Spartanburg at 192. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: 12z Euro. 24" at Spartanburg at 192. Actually it's a 20" snowstorm from greenville up to almost charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Jonathan said: Total whiff for everyone north of Raleigh and GSO. Congrats, guys! You finally get your big one! Long overdue for so many. Glad to see you boys score! Dude, it's one run of one model. If this is what it shows 36 hrs before the event, then sure. Right now, I feel like there's a greater chance of a cold rain for central NC than anything else. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Classic mid-south winter storm on the Euro, as stated heaviest totals focused in NE GA, upstate and SW NC. Raleigh is fringed and has mixing issues. I’ll be honest, this is a good look for central VA 7 days out on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Just now, WidreMann said: Dude, it's one run of one model. If this is what it shows 36 hrs before the event, then sure. Right now, I feel like there's a greater chance of a cold rain for central NC than anything else. Yeah this is a downright weird run, and it's also an outlier. I love it for MBY, but chances of verification verbatim are downright nil. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Actually it's a 20" snowstorm from greenville up to almost charlotte. And with that, I have arrived. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: And with that, I have arrived. Welcome back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Yeah, it’s a little early for “congrats” or “woe is me.” Suppression is pretty much a good sign for most of this sub forum. Relax and enjoy the ride this week. At the very least, some of us might see the first flakes of the season, and if we’re lucky some might see much more. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: And with that, I have arrived. Hey look kids, it's that blue turd again. 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, WidreMann said: Dude, it's one run of one model. If this is what it shows 36 hrs before the event, then sure. Right now, I feel like there's a greater chance of a cold rain for central NC than anything else. Statement of the winter for sure 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 What about the stj and subsequent tapping of gulf moisture? The gulf looks to be wide open on this one. I would think the northern shield would end up looking much better come verification time, even if it were suppressed city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I might save this one.Day 8 Euro. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 2, 2018 Author Share Posted December 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: I might save this one.Day 8 Euro. Is that the master? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Okay.....I’m not one to often get too worked up over model runs, especially at this lead time, but that Euro run with its 30 inch+ maxima right over my house in NE GA is making it a little hard to breathe right now lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Gfs euro and FV3 gfs all show a major to almost historic storm for some part of carolinas although it’s 7 days out and will change this is one of strongest signals I’ve ever seen from so far out. Impressive . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 19 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: Classic mid-south winter storm on the Euro, as stated heaviest totals focused in NE GA, upstate and SW NC. Raleigh is fringed and has mixing issues. I’ll be honest, this is a good look for central VA 7 days out on the Euro. Yeah the whole " you never wanna be in the bullseye 7 days out yada yada yada"....those MA folks probably thinking they have this one right where they want it in the 7-8 day range......the FV-3 track is money until the low gets captured and tugged back into the sounds......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Is that the master? Yes, the Control and Ensembles will be out soon. Very impressive run for Southern NC and Upper SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 Here in Winston-Salem, I’d settle for any measurable snow this early in December. Fun week of tracking for sure, already explained to fiancé what I mean by model watching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrown85 Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 16 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: I might save this one.Day 8 Euro. Umm give me 1/3 of the 30+ total IMBY and it will still be a storm I tell my grandkids about! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 I have a feeling someone is going to get legendary amounts of sleet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doss2k Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 All I know is here in Raleigh we will be right on the cutoff in whatever direction it decides to shift as per usual haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 2, 2018 Share Posted December 2, 2018 EPS Mean coming in shifted south like the Op, and colder. Sfc low runs from Brownsville to south of Louisiana and over to off Jacksonville with strong damming high to the north moving in tandem. Wave looks better (more consolidated and clean - less strung out). Blocking trough over the NE looks good. This is a killer setup overall on the EPS, no doubt about it. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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