skonajezski31 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 decent hit coming to SCPA /NMD friday am thump snow looks like 2-5" the euro had this back on monday , lost it and now its back on 18z. the gem has been steady eddy with it along with nam/rgem combo. should be interesting as it comes overnight almost all sticks and ends morning rush hour, trafic might be a nightmare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skonajezski31 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skonajezski31 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 41 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I like that we moved away from an amped up system today and more of a slow moving boundary with stj moisture via 700mb transport along the cold sector. This is one way I95 areas can cash in. Amp this up and it's mostly a farther N and W event. Steady as she goes. i dunno about i95 for sunday into monday. i think if you take gfs move it 50-75 miles NW , euro move it 25-50 miles SE you get your axis of heaviest snow .. gotta smell the sleet to get the thump ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Interesting....0z ICON has a Saturday AM 'appetizer' snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Interesting....0z ICON has a Saturday AM 'appetizer' snowfall. NAM somewhat sniffing this as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 0z gfs likes that too Ralph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Improvement to the south by 20-30 miles over 12z. That's the cmc right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 14 minutes ago, ChasingFlakes said: Improvement to the south by 20-30 miles over 12z. That's the cmc right? Yes and yes....NW burbs should do good this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Winters best model the old venerable GFS is a rainstorm outside of far NW burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Come on guys the CMC is the worlds worst model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I hope we get a forumwide 6-12" mon, but I agree with redsky on the gfs being most consistent. It's done well with pretty much all of the swfe. I forgot how it looked for Nov though, I was working near Oneida, Ny so I was more focused on the LE Took off the 9th through 12th. Might extend that a day and fly to Colorado for a solo trip and try to meetup with friends. Or go north again. Either way, I feel good that the 10 day looks nice for both locations. Tahoe and Oregon are getting slammed, never been, but its too last minute for that. That's how I roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Winters best model the old venerable GFS is a rainstorm outside of far NW burbs It's not really a big shift and rain/snow line looks to be around me. I'd be worried if it gets worse and worse. And hopefully the Euro gets better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Come on guys the CMC is the worlds worst model CNJ snowhole so it'll verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 It's a slide to the 12z ECM need a south trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, ChasingFlakes said: CNJ snowhole so it'll verify. Run with anything that gives DC 6" and skips CNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Run with anything that gives DC 6" and skips CNJ This winter it is ok to be skeptical from the start of every major snow event shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, RedSky said: Run with anything that gives DC 6" and skips CNJ Really I buy the gfs and hope it trends south. We need 36-48 more hours to pin it down so that gives us hope for a southern trend. Hopefully not the likely jog north. Didnt models have this over NC last weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, ChasingFlakes said: Really I buy the gfs and hope it trends south. We need 36-48 more hours to pin it down so that gives us hope for a southern trend. Hopefully not the likely jog north. Didnt models have this over NC last weekend? It was a cutter then a deep south slider now it's a tease lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Fv3 is wack, look at these lollis. Maybe it does ok with track but its snowfall algorithms are a weenies wet dream. Edit: You guys have been saying it all winter, this is just a perfect example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 And the next kick in our groin becomes a swifter harder kick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, ChasingFlakes said: Fv3 is wack, look at these lollis. Maybe it does ok with track but its snowfall algorithms are a weenies wet dream. Edit: You guys have been saying it all winter, this is just a perfect example. That's 18z...fv3 0z not on TT yet. But yeah, it's nice to look at :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Ok the Atari graphics on the HIVFU3 is not pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: That's 18z...fv3 0z not on TT yet. But yeah, it's nice to look at :-). Oh yeah I forgot to mention that! I think it normally runs a few hours behind the old one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 ECM/HIV3FU vs CMC/ICON place your bets now ancient GFS is in the middle as the wildcard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM/HIV3FU vs CMC/ICON place your bets now ancient GFS is in the middle as the wildcard Got my $ on an I95 snow to rain with a NW burbs SECS. Havent waivered on that thinking. Essentially the GFS. Funny how the model being retired likely has the closest solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Uncle ukie is disqualified and not invited due to being an abhorrent spectacle with each and every winter system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Got my $ on an I95 snow to rain with a NW burbs SECS. Havent waivered on that thinking. I have some interest in the 0z ECM, the NAVGEM is wound up with this also and in previous times that was a red flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 13 minutes ago, RedSky said: I have some interest in the 0z ECM, the NAVGEM is wound up with this also and in previous times that was a red flag Still is a red flag. This could end up more amped and West which is the best possibility for a fail scenario. Would be a fitting close to the season lol. Let Boston have a MECS/HECS for really their only storm while winter of azz pounds us hard with the shaft yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 UKIE 8-12" Doylestown on N and W. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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