wasnow215 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 No idea what thread to post this looking at the sub forum but ummm did any of you look at the 0z NAM? I have family in SJ. This could be a pretty big deal. Do you have a Feb 20 thread? I didn’t see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: No idea what thread to post this looking at the sub forum but ummm did any of you look at the 0z NAM? I have family in SJ. This could be a pretty big deal. Do you have a Feb 20 thread? I didn’t see it. We've been noticing it, lol. It's raining here, one thing at a time you know. Iceman can get right back on the horse tomorrow and start a thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Near identical gradient with every storm an eye popping repetitive winter pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Near identical gradient with every storm an eye popping repetitive winter pattern You should let it run to 0z at least, you're still getting frozen at 18z. But I know what you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: You should let it run to 0z at least, you're still getting frozen at 18z. But I know what you mean. Change over most likely quicker than shown, near identical to the last event and models never had a clue to how little frozen would fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 This is 0z NAM “snow depth” not 10:1. At storm’s end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 The soon to be retired old GFS the only model with a clue last storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, RedSky said: The soon to be retired old GFS the only model with a clue last storm Don’t think it does well sniffing out CAD at this range. We will know in about 60 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 18, 2019 Author Share Posted February 18, 2019 Current temp 34 w/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Fields out here are looking like swamps! How much more rain can the ground stand? Hope we really do get a drier weather pattern before planting season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 About 20 minutes of sleet last night, then rain with temps holding at 33 all night current temp 37. Snow and ice Wednesday then near 50 Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Wednesday pm rush is going to be a nightmare. Hopefully a better forecast will lead to a better situation than November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 hours ago, penndotguy said: About 20 minutes of sleet last night, then rain with temps holding at 33 all night current temp 37. Snow and ice Wednesday then near 50 Thursday I didn't have any sleet but a period of mod super wet snow which coated the sides of the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, J.P. said: Wednesday pm rush is going to be a nightmare. Hopefully a better forecast will lead to a better situation than November. Yep, super bad timing for drivers if the moderate stuff starts to come down in the 4pm+ range. Laying down brine beforehand would be key... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crypt88 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 3 hours ago, Lady Di said: Fields out here are looking like swamps! How much more rain can the ground stand? Hope we really do get a drier weather pattern before planting season. That's because it is a swamp this year, most of SJ to be fair is swamp area... The rain is off the charts and I don't see this pattern ending any time soon. Most storms end in rain and this will be no different... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Seems like we're looking at a similar setup as last week. Maybe a bit colder, more substantial CAD, with the high rooted deeper in NE. Maybe we'll get a decent thump before all the sleet and ice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just got a Winter Storm Watch, what's up with that? Another 180 on model output today? It's going to rain after it snows. Not sure how that will meet any storm criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, Lady Di said: Just got a Winter Storm Watch, what's up with that? Another 180 on model output today? It going to rain after it snows. Not sure how that will meet any storm criteria? Driving will be very hazardous during morning rush for you folks in the Delaware Valley and probably evening rush. At least a couple inches of snow will then change to sleet and/or freezing rain. You will not see much “regular” rain at all. Thursday will be warmer but it will take a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 18, 2019 Author Share Posted February 18, 2019 Winter Storm Watch in effect here from Wednesday morning thru Wednesday night for 3-5" of snow and a light glaze of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 36 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Driving will be very hazardous during morning rush for you folks in the Delaware Valley and probably evening rush. At least a couple inches of snow will then change to sleet and/or freezing rain. You will not see much “regular” rain at all. Thursday will be warmer but it will take a while. Not really supposed to get in here till after the am rush, pm will be a different story. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Well last night went from snow to sleet to nightmare. Woke up and all windows were covered in ice.....trees.....roads...etc. Ground was cold so it took until noon for the few moments of sun to ease the pain of getting out of the elevations. Decent icing event for sure. Kids tried walking around outside and it was like a skating rink along the driveway and road. Of course the ride down to the tunnel on the PA TPK was spent dodging sheets of flying ice from cars and trucks. As for the next event....saw the watches go up.....I will believe it when the snow is piling up on the cabin cam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Ralph's unicorn at the end of meteorological winter lol, i really want this to happen it would be hilarious specially because it would be rain in Monmouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ralph's unicorn at the end of meteorological winter lol, i really want this to happen it would be hilarious specially because it would be rain in Monmouth Gfs has something similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Early spring 2018 redux hot tub time machine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Snowy Vegas gotta love it https://weather.com/news/weather/news/2019-02-18-snow-las-vegas-nevada-february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 31 minutes ago, RedSky said: Early spring 2018 redux hot tub time machine A 6+ inch all snow event, across the board, would be very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 2 hours ago, RedSky said: Early spring 2018 redux hot tub time machine That's Phila. Flower Show week. Always tends to be some sort of weather drama during that time (either just before or during). For a few years, they were running it the last week of February and kept running into snow storms so they moved it to March and it has been hit or miss. This year it is starting a bit "earlier" in March and.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 20, 2019 Author Share Posted February 20, 2019 Not to take away from any wintry weather we are currently getting but the storm this weekend could pack a punch. The NWS is highlighting the chance of heavy rain Saturday night/Sunday with strong to possibly damaging winds (damaging per Mt.Holly) Sunday but especially on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Not to take away from any wintry weather we are currently getting but the storm this weekend could pack a punch. The NWS is highlighting the chance of heavy rain Saturday night/Sunday with strong to possibly damaging winds (damaging per Mt.Holly) Sunday but especially on Monday. Finally got chance to read the AFD. The winds will be bad news given that they will be coming after the forecast of heavy rains on Saturday. With the saturated ground and warm temps thawing any leftover snow and the top layers of the soil, there may be some trees uprooted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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