bluehens Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Folks in northern DE, Delco and Chesco really need to be rooting for the 12k NAM to verity. Gives a sliver of hope for something big. Reading the MA thread and there is a definite north trend underway. Not sure it will be enough to save us. Getting 2-3” while Dover gets 12” is going to be hard to swallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Birds~69 said: Yeah, no doubt. When I first saw the jeep the show M*A*S*H came to mind... One of my favorite shows! As cold as it was this morning, that guy had to be numb (although those trucks do come with tops but i guess he wanted to show off the gun turret). lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Seems like if the storm can slow down a bit it allows for the confluence above is to move out and everything slides north. Not a ton but really all we need is a good 30 miles or so. Long shot but who knows. The current radar looks pretty impressive and here is a Gulf fetch there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, bluehens said: Seems like if the storm can slow down a bit it allows for the confluence above is to move out and everything slides north. Not a ton but really all we need is a good 30 miles or so. Long shot but who knows. The current radar looks pretty impressive and here is a Gulf fetch there. Being in DE you're not in bad shape at all compared to us to the N... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 22 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Being in DE you're not in bad shape at all compared to us to the N... I am only a couple miles south of the PA line at Delco. I am as far up in DE as you can go. But yes for this storm I am in better shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On the day 7ish threat the GFS is faster to push the NS energy thru SE Canada thus allows confluence and HP to try and settle in prior to the stj system coming thru. CMC is umm....yeah: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 ^Save that because it will never happen...it's too perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12z GFS is amazing it rains then it pounds to the south with snow and leaves Central Jersey with an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 freakin feet of snow on the FV3. Imagine. Just imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Newman said: 4 freakin feet of snow on the FV3. Imagine. Just imagine. 10" here i'm imagining it too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I'm to the point where I think they put up these ridiculous snow maps just to screw with us... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Actually there's a 5 foot jackpot in northern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It's extremely rare to get some rain and have that strong an airmass push south and immediately get heavy snow into it, something that was more common a century ago. AS bad as the regular GFS is one has to go with seasonal trend and another southern slider i hope i'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I've often wondered what's the most snow we could get from one storm in SE PA? Even PDII flipped to IP for a time. Despite how cold it was at the surface, there was warming aloft from a prolonged easterly fetch. If I recall correctly, the blizzard of '96 was all snow (at least here in central Montco). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 More detailed digital fun- hey the 0z euro liked it AC and Boston with this one = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I've often wondered what's the most snow we could get from one storm in SE PA? Even PDII flipped to IP for a time. Despite how cold it was at the surface, there was warming aloft from a prolonged easterly fetch. If I recall correctly, the blizzard of '96 was all snow (at least here in central Montco). I guess anything is possible with the right setup although the chance may be .0000001%... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, RedSky said: More detailed digital fun- hey the 0z euro liked it Too perfect...throw it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: More detailed digital fun- hey the 0z euro liked it AC and Boston with this one = Dear Sweet mercy in the name of all that is sacred in this world!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 HIV3FU depiction is... a rainstorm, a rain to snow storm, and a snowstorm yes three storms in succession 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Now for the you think you have seen everything before in winter, especially after the above extravaganza, the ol' GFS spits this one out Seems like an interesting weather pattern is afoot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 The temperature gradient would be other-worldly. Temps are below zero to the single digits with heavy heavy snow. The gradient would do that. I would expect that ice you see is either snow or rain. Even if 850s were trying to warm the rates would be absolutely insane. Inland you would expect ratios to be probably higher than 10:1 with those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Now for the you think you have seen everything before in winter, especially after the above extravaganza, the ol' GFS spits this one out Seems like an interesting weather pattern is afoot Lol, that's completely screwed up...funny but screwed up backwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 And thank God there aren't any weenies in this sub forum that would take this run as gospel. It's admittedly just fantasy but that's the BECS that we have all been waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, Newman said: The temperature gradient would be other-worldly. Temps are below zero to the single digits with heavy heavy snow. The gradient would do that. I would expect that ice you see is either snow or rain. Even if 850s were trying to warm the rates would be absolutely insane. Inland you would expect ratios to be probably higher than 10:1 with those temps. Blizzard of 1888 where people were sleeted to death in NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just picked up my new snowblower. So, we'll be safe from any big snowstorms for the rest of this winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Sorry Redsky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 33 minutes ago, RedSky said: Now for the you think you have seen everything before in winter, especially after the above extravaganza, the ol' GFS spits this one out Seems like an interesting weather pattern is afoot That looks a lot like a storm we had late Feb '10 (I think). NYC on south got blitzed with snow and it was in the 50's and raining in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 16 minutes ago, Newman said: Sorry Redsky. What kind of time frame is this modeled to happen over? Shift that a little east and the Lehigh Valley will definitely be beating the 3 foot we got some years back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM IS A CRUSHER NEXT WEEKEND! BIG DOG BABY southeast of GFS Circuit board crasher in 3...2...1 yep - 10 day models - no doubt that will verify - LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 OMG that was the 0z EMC i didn't even know it my bad! 12z went south Dohhhhhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now