KamuSnow Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC has 2 wet snowflakes for us in LR this run so that's good I guess Yes it does! At the end of the run...maybe a trend...(lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Right? How we can put faith in anything this year is beyond me whether good, bad, or indifferent. Purely speculation. I personally dont ever recall anything so flip floppy. It was LR struggles for a while then MR now it's the short range. I can only assume the current SSW is what is causing this? I had read this strat warming is entering unchartered territory and historic levels of warming given the time of season. Doing a heck of a number on the MJO as well. Wild stuff. Lots going on and the models will struggle mightily with individual events...that said nothing has changed my thinking on our delayed but not denied below normal temps and AN snow coming to a town near you from Mid-Jan thru February....could it be the winter of yore so many are yearning for on this forum?? Of course we are already in the winter of yore as we are still on a path to record the snowiest decade in our history - when it gets back to normal snow years in this area folks are gonna be mighty depressed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 1 hour ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Lots going on and the models will struggle mightily with individual events...that said nothing has changed my thinking on our delayed but not denied below normal temps and AN snow coming to a town near you from Mid-Jan thru February....could it be the winter of yore so many are yearning for on this forum?? Of course we are already in the winter of yore as we are still on a path to record the snowiest decade in our history - when it gets back to normal snow years in this area folks are gonna be mighty depressed! All but two winters in each of the 70's, 80's and 90's= Millennials have no clue of the horror 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 27, 2018 Author Share Posted December 27, 2018 Flood Watch in effect here from late tonight thru Friday evening for 1-2" of rain w/locally higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 2 hours ago, RedSky said: All but two winters in each of the 70's, 80's and 90's= Millennials have no clue of the horror I'll have you know that there were three school years where we didn't have any snow days at all. ...Penn State Berks once had a 30" blizzard a few years ago... and school was back in session the next day! What a ripoff!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 1 minute more of daylight today than at the solstice - anybody notice? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 15 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: I'll have you know that there were three school years where we didn't have any snow days at all. ...Penn State Berks once had a 30" blizzard a few years ago... and school was back in session the next day! What a ripoff!! What year? That just ain't right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 I think it was 2016... they all run together anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 2 hours ago, RedSky said: All but two winters in each of the 70's, 80's and 90's= Millennials have no clue of the horror I cut my snow teeth in the early to mid 60's, so the 70's were rough until 77-78. Yes 76-77 was real cold from Thanksgiving to mid February (ice breakers up the Delaware cold), but late January and February of 78 was the return of the bona fide Nor'easter after a painful drought. Like manna from heaven! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: I think it was 2016... they all run together anymore Yeah there have been so many! I think that was a Saturday maybe, that could be why no snow day....but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 5 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Lots going on and the models will struggle mightily with individual events...that said nothing has changed my thinking on our delayed but not denied below normal temps and AN snow coming to a town near you from Mid-Jan thru February....could it be the winter of yore so many are yearning for on this forum?? Of course we are already in the winter of yore as we are still on a path to record the snowiest decade in our history - when it gets back to normal snow years in this area folks are gonna be mighty depressed! This is the new normal. Welcome to climate change... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 New euro weeklies are solid moving thru the next 4 weeks....progressive step-up improvements each week. Now if we can only get them to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Well, chilly/cold rain moving in from the West in a bit. In years past I wanted cold regardless of rain/snow.....screw that, glad tomorrow will be mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 23 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Well, chilly/cold rain moving in from the West in a bit. In years past I wanted cold regardless of rain/snow.....screw that, glad tomorrow will be mild. I won't mind either, been wearing a jacket outside since sometime in October with the exception of a few days. I can handle 50's for a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Here we go again, more soggy brown ground for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 20 minutes ago, Quakertown needs snow said: Here we go again, more soggy brown ground for the area QT in the house! Thanks I was just going to look. Eta, we need someone from Quakertown since RedSky is over in NJ chasing the Monmouth County pot of gold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 I guess our next "threat" is going to be around Jan 3rd-4th. Once the New Years rainstorm comes through, it'll leave cold air in it's wake and drop a boundary along the coast where a wave will likely form along it. Anafrontal systems typically favor coastal areas but we'll see how things trend as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 41 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: I won't mind either, been wearing a jacket outside since sometime in October with the exception of a few days. I can handle 50's for a day or two. For me, probably my age, but damn, cold,damp rainy days suck any more for my body and nothing to show for it (snow)...lol. Can the weather Gods throw us a bone/hope? Real hope, not 384hr hope... *Yeah, I know banter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2 hours ago, KamuSnow said: QT in the house! Thanks I was just going to look. Eta, we need someone from Quakertown since RedSky is over in NJ chasing the Monmouth County pot of gold. I'll look for it near the outhouse because that is where i will be again tomorrow as the septic field flood resumes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 One thing about the weeklies is they looked great in late November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: One thing about the weeklies is they looked great in late November It could be a setup, but I'm feeling somewhat optimistic looking ahead. Meanwhile it seems the 0z CMC heard Newman for the 4th. Let's see if it's still there after tomorrow, maybe it has legs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 The near three day winter storm brought to you by the new HIV3 GFS, a fun weather fantasy extravaganza like none I have ever seen lol. Starts at 276 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018122800&fh=276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 24 minutes ago, RedSky said: The near three day winter storm brought to you by the new HIV3 GFS, a fun weather fantasy extravaganza like none I have ever seen lol. Starts at 276 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018122800&fh=276 Cool - a Miller B moving south along the MA coast, lol. Why not...it would satisfy our hunger for some blocking, yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 28, 2018 Author Share Posted December 28, 2018 Pretty good slug of moderate/heavy rain currently moving into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 28, 2018 Author Share Posted December 28, 2018 Picked up 0.28" of rain so far today. Current temp 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 I know Mt. Holly was calling for something like 1" - 2" (locally higher in spots) in the CWA but as of 9 am, I was already up to 0.90" here in NW Philly, and it hasn't been at excessive rates either. If it goes like this all day, I may end up near that higher end, although in this setup, I definitely won't rule out any dryslotting reducing the amounts. Current temp is 50 w/0.92" of light - moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 As of 11 am, Philadelphia had picked up 1.13" rain. That brings 2018's total precipitation to 60.31". 2018 is only the second year on record with 60.00" or more precipitation. The record annual amount is 64.33", which was set in 2011. Records go back to 1872. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: As of 11 am, Philadelphia had picked up 1.13" rain. That brings 2018's total precipitation to 60.31". 2018 is only the second year on record with 60.00" or more precipitation. The record annual amount is 64.33", which was set in 2011. Records go back to 1872. 2011 was also the year of Hurricane Irene, which came through in August, after we had already had July as the wettest on record. And I believe that was a La Nina year. I am currently up to 1.28" here in NW Philly and temp is 57 with moderate rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 33 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: As of 11 am, Philadelphia had picked up 1.13" rain. That brings 2018's total precipitation to 60.31". 2018 is only the second year on record with 60.00" or more precipitation. The record annual amount is 64.33", which was set in 2011. Records go back to 1872. I have this very unsettling feeling that we are going to pay for all this wet weather in the form of cold and dry for weeks then a damp cool spring just to give us all a final kick while we're down. You just know it's coming. All this talk of significant pattern change....what would be more polar opposite of the (relatively) mild and wet that we have been locked into for 6 weeks? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I have this very unsettling feeling that we are going to pay for all this wet weather in the form of cold and dry for weeks then a damp cool spring just to give us all a final kick while we're down. You just know it's coming. All this talk of significant pattern change....what would be more polar opposite of the (relatively) mild and wet that we have been locked into for 6 weeks? Let's hope that doesn't prove to be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now