Birds~69 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 6:23 PM, RedSky said: Been following the MA thread and the joy as every 6 hours totals get bumped up yet the "wall" seems to run through Philly north of it the only increases have been in hundreths of an inch. This is the worst confluence problem since 2010, only that in 2010 Monmouth still got pummeled lol Expand Besides Bob Chill and a few others that thread/forum will make your head explode...bipolar. Reading Ji is instant death/suicide... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 In case nobody has seen this yet the Jan 20 storm on today's ECM with a precipitation gradient so exactly matching this weekends storm it looks fake like you got to be kidding me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 42" in south DC frame it and hang it on the digital hall of fame lol winter of Yore...and more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 18z NAM at 25 height rises are higher ahead of a more consolidated ull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 At hr 30 height rises balance to about the same as 12z BUT ull is clearly farther N . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 By 36 ull has nudged N but the confluence is a tick south so probably a wash but let's see where it ends up....snow creeping into the region from the west sw at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 7:54 PM, RedSky said: 42" in south DC frame it and hang it on the digital hall of fame lol winter of Yore...and more Expand Yeah, but you gotta subtract the 4" they're getting tomorrow, so it's really only 38" or so. No wonder Ji is upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 NAM is dryer on the northern edge. I did like the look of the squeeze play setup with convergence meeting right over se pa for a period. Maybe a few hours of moderate stuff Sunday morning. 1-2" with 3" lollis still seems reasonable for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 8:16 PM, JTA66 said: Yeah, but you gotta subtract the 4" they're getting tomorrow, so it's really only 38" or so. No wonder Ji is upset. Expand My 9" just went to 8" thanks for nutin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 8:20 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: NAM is dryer on the northern edge. I did like the look of the squeeze play setup with convergence meeting right over se pa for a period. Maybe a few hours of moderate stuff Sunday morning. 1-2" with 3" lollis still seems reasonable for now. Expand Another nice bump for south of the Mason Dixon at 18z, here nothing. Must be the cosmic wind interacting with the northern jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Notable shift n again with the heavier precip and convergence....northern side dryer due to dry air and confluence. S NJ does quite well as does most of DE now. Heavier stuff just creeping into PA now on this run. 30 hours or so to go for more adjustments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Nice trends on NAM nest. Hoping to get 3” or so down here. Saw the advisory for 1-3” so I should keep expectations in check in spite of recent guidance. Hoping you guys up north get in on some. Go birds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 8:33 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Notable shift n again with the heavier precip and convergence....northern side dryer due to dry air and confluence. S NJ does quite well as does most of DE now. Heavier stuff just creeping into PA now on this run. 30 hours or so to go for more adjustments. Expand 25-30 more miles for me in northern DE. I think its doable. My bar is 3" now but the trend all day today has been to increase totals on a sw to ne trajectory. I think maybe its the coastal influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Still looking like a whole lot of nothing here in the southern Poconos. But thats fine, have some things to do a Saturday anyway.. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 8:50 PM, Redmorninglight said: Nice trends on NAM nest. Hoping to get 3” or so down here. Saw the advisory for 1-3” so I should keep expectations in check in spite of recent guidance. Hoping you guys up north get in on some. Go birds! Expand You're sitting pretty in Cape May for a decent event and yeah go Birds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 @Birds~69 yea I am having Jan 30, 2010 flashbacks. I only expected an inch 36 hours before that one and got almost 10” of powder at 15f. Then the blitz came one week later. Let’s see if history can repeat itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 10:21 PM, Redmorninglight said: @Birds~69 yea I am having Jan 30, 2010 flashbacks. I only expected an inch 36 hours before that one and got almost 10” of powder at 15f. Then the blitz came one week later. Let’s see if history can repeat itself. Expand Shore storms usually suck (turn to rain) but sometimes you guys can really cash in (snow) while just inland we receive squat...good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 This storm is looking familiar to Jan 30, 2010 here is a satellite image from that storm. May be the same cutoff with this upcoming storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Current temp down to 26 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/11/2019 at 10:48 PM, Bosswx said: This storm is looking familiar to Jan 30, 2010 here is a satellite image from that storm. May be the same cutoff with this upcoming storm Expand No the angle of the snow is different this time on most models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 12, 2019 Author Share Posted January 12, 2019 Current temp is 20 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 The Euro just spit out a 15-20" bomb overnight. The FV3 looks insane. The GFS is in the same boat. The 20th time frame is looking ripe for something special. And if it doesn't work out? Then the time period right behind looks even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 12:47 PM, Newman said: The Euro just spit out a 15-20" bomb overnight. The FV3 looks insane. The GFS is in the same boat. The 20th time frame is looking ripe for something special. And if it doesn't work out? Then the time period right behind looks even better. Expand Redsky would need a padded room if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Not really weather related (maybe a little since it's cold) but enjoying my $1 coffee and internet in a Wawa parking lot then low and behold a topless military jeep w/a machine gun mounted pulls next to me...I was like WTF? Imagine doing 60-70mph in the cold in that thing? This is a good sign....weird stuff, storm will over-achieve. Took a picture: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 1:37 PM, Birds~69 said: Not really weather related (maybe a little since it's cold) but enjoying my $1 coffee and internet in a Wawa parking lot then low and behold a topless military jeep w/a machine gun mounted pulls next to me...I was like WTF? Imagine doing 60-70mph in the cold in that thing? This is a good sign....weird stuff, storm will over-achieve. Took a picture: Expand Da fuq? Looks like he may be going to some club event (there are guys who are military vehicle collectors and that may be from the Vietnam war era). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 1:37 PM, Birds~69 said: This is a good sign....weird stuff, storm will over-achieve. Expand This made me chuckle. I'll be on the lookout for corroboration today as I have to go to the city for a few things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 2:54 PM, Hurricane Agnes said: Da fuq? Looks like he may be going to some club event (there are guys who are military vehicle collectors and that may be from the Vietnam war era). Expand I not sure, I should have asked? It was early and I was just waking up...I had to double-take when I seen it? Thought I was losing it. This Wawa is located across the street from the old Willow Grove Naval Air Station...you can see it in the background across the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 My parents live within shouting distance of the MD line and have a long driveway. I'm gonna hold of on telling my dad to hook up the plow for just a little bit longer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 3:02 PM, Birds~69 said: I not sure, I should have asked? It was early and I was just waking up...I had to double-take when I seen it? Thought I was losing it. This Wawa is located across the street from the old Willow Grove Naval Air Station...you can see it in the background across the street. Expand Yeah I have been past there. Whenever they used to have the reservist monthly practices, a convoy of copters used to fly overhead on their way from and back there. They don't use those jeeps anymore. Hummers (HMMWVs) rule the day (although they are trying to replace them all)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 On 1/12/2019 at 3:10 PM, Hurricane Agnes said: Yeah I have been past there. Whenever they used to have the reservist monthly practices, a convoy of copters used to fly overhead on their way from and back there. They don't use those jeeps anymore. Hummers (HMMWVs) rule the day (although they are trying to replace them all)! Expand Yeah, no doubt. When I first saw the jeep the show M*A*S*H came to mind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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