RedSky Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 GFS and Canadian have started the cave to the euro. I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 0z CMC and GFS hit S NJ hard 5-10" on both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 4:16 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z CMC and GFS hit S NJ hard 5-10" on both. Expand They had the inverted trough last month too their horse will be leading the pack by ten lengths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 4:16 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z CMC and GFS hit S NJ hard 5-10" on both. Expand That will be nice if we can stay all snow. Looks like it may be the typical borderline thing for me about 17 miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Jan 18-21 period looks rather intriguing based on teleconnections and energy phasing in historically favorable areas. OP guidance like CMC starting to spit out some fun possibilities. Ensembles are supporting something 'impactful' during this period as well and have been for a little while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 ECM is .80" for all give or take a little, light years better than the Ukie .01" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 6:48 AM, RedSky said: ECM is .80" for all give or take a little, light years better than the Ukie .01" Expand There's a reason this is called the double doink storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just got to Wawa...a couple flurries floating around while driving but damn it's cold w/that wind howling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Check out the gfs for SNJ and to the south for this weekend Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 12:00 PM, Snow88 said: Check out the gfs for any and to the south for this weekend Wow Expand Wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 12:16 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Wut? Expand Autocorrect fail SNJ southward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 95 is so close to being in the game as well. Another little tick N and it's on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 12:20 PM, Snow88 said: Autocorrect fail SNJ southward Expand Cape May jackpot if it verifies.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 I currently have some snow flurries falling here. Temp 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bliz299 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 12:26 PM, KamuSnow said: Cape May jackpot if it verifies.... Expand Excuse me....did you actually say Cape May? Just some light-heartedness. I'd be thrilled, but I'm always ready to share too. So far looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:23 PM, Bliz299 said: Excuse me....did you actually say Cape May? Just some light-heartedness. I'd be thrilled, but I'm always ready to share too. So far looking pretty good. Expand Been hammering this home for a few days.....double doink up this way but SNJ should make it thru the goalposts. Eta: Still expecting c-2" type here with some 3" lollis closer to S PA and I95. S and E do better tho with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 12:25 PM, The Iceman said: 95 is so close to being in the game as well. Another little tick N and it's on. Expand Could also argue that any little ticks S take us all pretty much out of the game but these stj systems even tho sheared out *usually* correct N a few hairs under 72 hrs so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Parkway in Toms River was heavily brined. Doubt it was needed. Hoping for some snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:23 PM, Bliz299 said: Excuse me....did you actually say Cape May? Just some light-heartedness. I'd be thrilled, but I'm always ready to share too. So far looking pretty good. Expand Cape may might Jackpot for once! Have fun maybe ill get in some of the action here in South Central Ocean County! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:42 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Could also argue that any little ticks S take us all pretty much out of the game but these stj systems even tho sheared out *usually* correct N a few hairs under 72 hrs so we shall see. Expand well the good news is we haven't seen any misses south besides that one a month ago. would be cruel irony for this one to do the same thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:49 PM, The Iceman said: well the good news is we haven't seen any misses south besides that one a month ago. would be cruel irony for this one to do the same thing... Expand Hopefully we wont get stuck between the two swaths of snow like the Nam shows. Good thing it is not really reliable in this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 can we lock this in...hell of a set up with the duel 1040 highs to the north... Every other global has this storm in one form or another....going to be an epic snowstorm or rainer...looks like a qpf bomb either way. This is the one to watch imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:52 PM, The Iceman said: can we lock this in...hell of a set up with the duel 1040 highs to the north... Expand Wish this could happen. I think maybe 1-3 for 1-195 southward more down by Atlantic City 3-6. It would be cool if it snowed during the game in foxboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 it's snowing for the first time since november yay! hopefully a prelude to the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:23 PM, Bliz299 said: Excuse me....did you actually say Cape May? Just some light-heartedness. I'd be thrilled, but I'm always ready to share too. So far looking pretty good. Expand It's been not uncommon the last few years. Thanks for sharing too! At this point I'm setting my expectations for C-1", hoping for a grass blade coverer (2"). Still room for more but at this point it looks like all WAA here overnight Saturday, hope it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 not a great start to 12z... NAM and ICON both further south giving us all only the WAA snows. would be a C-1" scenario on both with maybe a few 2-3" lollis. Let's hope the GFS comes in better... seems like everytime we need a N trend we don't get it and when we don't want it, it always occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 On 1/10/2019 at 1:42 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Could also argue that any little ticks S take us all pretty much out of the game but these stj systems even tho sheared out *usually* correct N a few hairs under 72 hrs so we shall see. Expand That's what I'm counting on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 How soon we forget the ECM has done this before the last couple winters with false hope in the 96-120hr time frame. Especially painful considering the circumstances this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Hey the Ukie beefed up it's qpf to .1-.2.0" for our mid counties, up from .01" lol Feels like a fake reality we get a hundred inches of rain and now straining to squeeze out a couple of tenths with the first storm chance since mid November. Unreal My worst possible nightmare from three days ago of two southern sliders sandwiched between a crapload of cutters is going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 JB holding to the end - as always his North bias is a weakness which I think he knows he has but can't help it As far as the storm, no changes, as always I wait for it to get into the plains to change ideas as I see too many of these go all over the place and if I am to bust, would rather just bust once. But the explanation on this a couple of days ago with the northern snow coming out still looks good to me, That tends to hold together with 20 to 30 to 1 ratio near -8C While its going to be a nice storm from St Louis to the Delmarva ( I think) the real value of it to me is it is a sign of the times.. and that time is for it get cold and stay cold with repetitive snow threats evolving along with stronger cold shots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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