dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Thanksgiving safe again although it's not looking promising for Monday...looking like an upper single digits deal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Event totals: 0.1” Snow/Trace L.E. I wasn’t home until later in the evening to check on snow, but I only found a tenth of an inch of accumulation from yesterday’s system at our location, and it didn’t look like there had been too much accumulation in this area. Details from the 8:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.1 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 16.0 F Sky: Partly Cloudy Snow at the stake: 19.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 We’re just at the initial stages leading up to the potential snow over the weekend, but I got a text early this morning indicating that our area was under a Winter Storm Watch. We’re still early for any sort of official projected accumulations maps, but from the BTV NWS website we can see that the watches are already wall to wall throughout the area: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Sneaky cold this morning after a semi mild day yesterday. 2F with a breeze and Gene was -1F. Pretty sad that I have to read the boards before looking at my console. -1.3F on the console. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 BTV's winter probability page is having a funny mix of #'s for Sunday and Friday. https://www.weather.gov/btv/winter edit: It is fine now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Thanksgiving safe again although it's not looking promising for Monday...looking like an upper single digits deal here. Won't have T-Day's gales, fortunately, though WCI will be low enough to keep me off the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 29 minutes ago, Hitman said: Some day I wonder if we will see NWS offices coordinate their maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Definitely taking the under on 22" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Definitely taking the under on 22" here. No way in hell Bennington gets 22". I'd say 12" there maximum, likely less. They'll get shadowed on the east wind and may flirt with pingers for a bit Sunday AM. You'll more likely avoid pingers at your latitude, but 22" still seems too high unless you get some midlevel fronto action. I'd go 14-18" for your spot. 22" maybe here IMBY if I can avoid pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, wxmanmitch said: No way in hell Bennington gets 22". I'd say 12" there maximum, likely less. They'll get shadowed on the east wind and may flirt with pingers for a bit Sunday AM. You'll more likely avoid pingers at your latitude, but 22" still seems too high unless you get some midlevel fronto action. I'd go 14-18" for your spot. 22" maybe here IMBY if I can avoid pingers. Exactly--east/NE wind here isn't AS bad as a SE wind, but still will downslope. Only way to get 2ft in any valley town from DDH up through RUT is to rot under a deform band for a few hours and pile up some high ratio fluff. It can happen, just don't think this is the event for it. One of those March storms last year I think dropped in 30" in Adams MA, so it can happen. I think that was the same event you had the 18" in 3 hours, cant recall for sure though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Temp increasing, back above 0. Kids ski school at Cannon at 9, let it rise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Latest from BTV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Event totals: 0.3” Snow/0.01” L.E. I found 0.3” of snow on the boards and light snow falling this morning from the current system affecting the area. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.3 inches New Liquid: 0.01 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0 Snow Density: 3.3% H2O Temperature: 18.0 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 19.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 hours ago, mreaves said: Latest from BTV I just don't what Im missing. This looks like a 9-14" snowfall region wide. Where are these 18-24" amounts coming from? Perhaps a few days ago with 2" plus qpf but the trend has been down. To my eyes this is just a fairly regular NNE snowfall, easy to remove fairly low impact. So much hype in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I just don't what Im missing. This looks like a 9-14" snowfall region wide. Where are these 18-24" amounts coming from? Perhaps a few days ago with 2" plus qpf but the trend has been down. To my eyes this is just a fairly regular NNE snowfall, easy to remove fairly low impact. So much hype in my area. It seems to come down to getting into one of those fronto bands and racking up some high ratio stuff and getting some 15/18:1 ratios. Your right, the 2" qpf runs seem gone, so will need to have some nice snow growth and pile it up quickly. Dendrite mentioned it in the other thread and ALY mentioned it in their disco too some. Further north, expect snow rates to increase to 1 to 3 inches per hour with excellent pcpn efficiency in the dendritic growth zone based on the plan view graphics and the BUFKIT profiles. A fluffy snowfall is expected from the Capital Region/Berkshires north and west with 14-18:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wasn’t expecting much but it has been snowing steady most of the day. Mini pow day for our town school ski day. Classic J day, lots of light kids getting blown over 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I’ve added the latest BTV NWS maps for the upcoming storm below – Winter Storm Warnings are now up just about everywhere in the area. Our point forecast suggests accumulations in the 10” to 18” range, so that seems pretty consistent with the projected accumulations map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 A couple inches up this way today. Blowing all over the place. Nothing on the car and 2-3" in the lot. Call it 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Event totals: 1.3” Snow/0.06” L.E. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.0 inches New Liquid: 0.05 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 20.0 Snow Density: 5.0% H2O Temperature: 26.1 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 5 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 19.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Event totals: 1.7” Snow/0.06” L.E. Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.4 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 21.0 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 12 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 19.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lots of snow on the way , unfortunately might get stuck at work at the height of it Sunday morning hospital is giving hotel rooms to those that travel from afar.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Event totals: 1.9” Snow/0.06” L.E. We’ve partially cleared out and there’s no snow falling, so it looks like the totals above will be the final values for this storm. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.2 inches New Liquid: Trace Temperature: 4.6 F Sky: Partly Cloudy Snow at the stake: 19.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Below is the latest BTV NWS projected accumulation map for the upcoming storm. This system has hit the threshold of impact to be named, and it’s being called Winter Storm Harper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Take me up NNE, take em up powder Good thing you weren’t in the bullseye 5 days out (best spot to see warning snows ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lol, it is kind of funny how PF and crew up there might jack. Definitely some taint concerns for Mitch and I down here in SVT now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 hour ago, backedgeapproaching said: Lol, it is kind of funny how PF and crew up there might jack. Definitely some taint concerns for Mitch and I down here in SVT now. It’s been a remarkably steady forecast for this area through all the clown maps. As others rode the roller coaster up and down, they’ve all been consistent up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Wishing you guys all the best up there! This about when I would be worrying about the mesoscale factors in BTV (which on several occasions boosted me, especially during Pi Day). Anyway if you want to see cliff diving, stop by the Southeast thread. I laugh at that now because, well it is the Southeast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Gonna be some cold snoW, still haven’t cracked 0 yet,sitting at -1 great wood splitting this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I see that we’ve got some light snow falling here in Waterbury as of ~2:30 P.M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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