MBRI Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Alex is streaming porn on his cam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Looks pretty elevation dependent again(guess not that surprising with this system), doesn't look like a whole lot in the middle of Manchester at 715ft. Definitely more "sticky" at my place higher around 1100ft. Had my wife measure and she said 4" new a couple hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 With the midmorning update from the BTV NWS, there have been some upgrades to the advisories and snow maps. Additional Winter Storm Warnings have been added as noted in the discussion text below due to accumulations that have already taken place: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Burlington VT 1041 AM EST Wed Jan 9 2019 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 1027 AM EST Wednesday...Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in place across the entire area. Several changes to the forecast this morning as snow reports come in. Winter Weather Advisories have been upgraded to Warnings for Northern Franklin in New York, western Chittenden and western Franklin in Vermont, and for Windsor and Orange in Vermont. The reason is that we`ve already got reports of 4 to 6 inches of heavy wet snow and with more snow expected over the next hour of so we`ll push the 6 inches in 12 hours criteria. Power outages are already starting to creep up and with low snow ratios this morning I anticipate some snow loading to continue to become an issue for some locations. The projected accumulations map does have some of that 18-24” shading along the spine now, which would be more consistent with the point forecasts from earlier. The high end of the mountain point forecasts around here are actually getting close to 30 inches now, on top of what has already fallen, which would actually be getting up to that next tier, but the current map is only through 7:00 P.M. tomorrow. Today Snow. Steady temperature around 23. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 34 to 39 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tonight Snow. Low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -6. Windy, with a northwest wind 32 to 37 mph decreasing to 26 to 31 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Thursday Snow showers. Temperature falling to around 4 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -23. Windy, with a northwest wind 36 to 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Thursday Night Snow showers likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -4. Wind chill values as low as -27. Blustery, with a northwest wind 22 to 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Friday A 30 percent chance of snow showers before 9am. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 8. Blustery, with a northwest wind 20 to 24 mph. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Nice of the NWS to upgrade Windsor County to a WSW after it verified and most of the snow there has fallen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Event totals: 6.0” Snow/0.76” L.E. Unlike the larger flakes that came down before dawn today, much of the morning here at the house has seen smaller, more synoptic-like flakes. Consistent with the flake size and temperatures hovering up and down around the freezing mark, snow density was 11.1% H2O. Snowfall has been quite consistent throughout the period though, running in the ½”/hr. range. Details from the 12:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 2.7 inches New Liquid: 0.30 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 9.0 Snow Density: 11.1% H2O Temperature: 33.8 F Sky: Light Snow (1 to 5 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.0 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 hours ago, backedgeapproaching said: Looks pretty elevation dependent again(guess not that surprising with this system), doesn't look like a whole lot in the middle of Manchester at 715ft. Definitely more "sticky" at my place higher around 1100ft. Had my wife measure and she said 4" new a couple hours ago. What an incredibly elevation dependent winter so far. Still sitting on that 6-12” of ice from November at 1400’ on the east side. Meanwhile there has been almost nothing down in the valley. Banding so far in this event seems focused just to the south towards the Taconics and Berkshires. I have noticed this occur in the past. Things should fill in later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: What an incredibly elevation dependent winter so far. Still sitting on that 6-12” of ice from November at 1400’ on the east side. Meanwhile there has been almost nothing down in the valley. Banding so far in this event seems focused just to the south towards the Taconics and Berkshires. I have noticed this occur in the past. Things should fill in later. Yep, flow is definitely blocked hence the radar look of the best returns struggling to make it over the taconics and into the valley here and over to the greens and east slope towns. Yes, been a number of events this year with a pretty blocked flow. That NOV 2016 uplsope event was pretty blocked if I recall. Flow becomes less blocked moving forward, but not sure how much moisture will be left down here, NVT is a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 8" new with moderate snow. It was very wet, but it's now drying out. Trees are bending a bit, but not at all like the post Thanksgiving storm. Roads are treacherous around here, especially route 8 through Searsburg Pass. Chains are required for truckers and route 9 in Woodford is currently closed due to the conditions. Just wet roads in the Deerfield Valley, however. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 11" total here from the synoptic part of the storm. Tough skiing - this snow is HEAVY!!! 75.8 for the season. Snow stake is plastered so I can't tell what it's up to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Nice storm up there. Might head up MLK weekend so keep it white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nice storm up there. Might head up MLK weekend so keep it white. We'll work on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, alex said: We'll work on it Only if it doesn’t snow here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 58 minutes ago, alex said: 11" total here from the synoptic part of the storm. Tough skiing - this snow is HEAVY!!! 75.8 for the season. Snow stake is plastered so I can't tell what it's up to Damn, ding ding ding winner. The EURO was pretty darn good in putting your area in the firehose of heavy snow when the NAM yesterday wanted it south of the Whites with the synoptic portion of the event. We got 4-5" in town from what I can see eyeballing it, just got home though. Mountain seemed more like 6-8" but it was pounding high winds. The one thing that has surprised me is how dense the snow is and still dense snow is falling. When I left the mountain it was pouring snow but a lot of it was graupel and heavily rimed flakes. Pretty much like 6-7" of sand in the parking lot and still piling up. No fake fluff so far...just dense storm snow. Looks like temps should start crashing tonight so maybe we can up the ratios a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 51 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Damn, ding ding ding winner. The EURO was pretty darn good in putting your area in the firehose of heavy snow when the NAM yesterday wanted it south of the Whites with the synoptic portion of the event. We got 4-5" in town from what I can see eyeballing it, just got home though. Mountain seemed more like 6-8" but it was pounding high winds. The one thing that has surprised me is how dense the snow is and still dense snow is falling. When I left the mountain it was pouring snow but a lot of it was graupel and heavily rimed flakes. Pretty much like 6-7" of sand in the parking lot and still piling up. No fake fluff so far...just dense storm snow. Looks like temps should start crashing tonight so maybe we can up the ratios a bit. It’s weird. I love 8”’of dense snow, but 2’ of it looses allure lol. If that makes sense. Good base builder there. Happy Birthday man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Event totals: 7.6” Snow/0.97” L.E. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.6 inches New Liquid: 0.21 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 7.6 Snow Density: 13.1% H2O Temperature: 33.6 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 hours ago, J.Spin said: Event totals: 7.6” Snow/0.97” L.E. Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.6 inches New Liquid: 0.21 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 7.6 Snow Density: 13.1% H2O Temperature: 33.6 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 8 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 16.5 inches Your obs show the dense snow... the ratios so far have been on the low side. Just a base-building 1" of QPF for the spine based on your observations, maybe more for higher elevations. Now I feel like something has changed. The flakes are huge and fluffy. And falling pretty furiously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Your obs show the dense snow... the ratios so far have been on the low side. Just a base-building 1" of QPF for the spine based on your observations, maybe more for higher elevations. Now I feel like something has changed. The flakes are huge and fluffy. And falling pretty furiously. Hot damn, that is beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3" here in South PWM between the past 2 days, split evenly at 1.5" each day. 28.4" YTD. Pretty respectable given the lousy pattern, and only one event > 6" (11/20 which was 7") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 The mountain is just getting wrecked as waves of moisture crest overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Decent snow here too. Below is a picture of my 4 year old today. He struggled in the deep pow but was a champion 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Lucky bunch you are up there.....hoping to get up next weekend hopefully it's still good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Your obs show the dense snow... the ratios so far have been on the low side. Just a base-building 1" of QPF for the spine based on your observations, maybe more for higher elevations. Now I feel like something has changed. The flakes are huge and fluffy. And falling pretty furiously. You are absolutely right about the change. It’s been small rimed flakes and graupel most of the day, and the density of my past three sets of observations with snow in the 10-13% H2O range definitely attests to that. It was right around 9:30 P.M. when the structure of the flakes changed here. I can’t recall the last time I had to run the snow blower, since we’ve simply been driving and packing down all these storms for probably about a month, but this storm has been large enough (passing 1” L.E. now) that it was finally time. I was out there clearing the driveway when the change happened, and it was very obvious. I’ll be taking my next set of observations at midnight, and the density should definitely be coming down. Unfortunately this next core will be a mix of the dense snow and this potentially lighter snow, but we’ll see what it says. Anyway, this is just what we like – perfect right-side-up deposition for those powder turns. Ty and I popped up to Bolton for a few runs this afternoon and indeed the snow was dense, but boy was it a resurfacing. We were only on the lower mountain because Vista was on wind hold, but if you were on the new snow there was no touching the subsurface. You typically sunk into the powder just a few inches anyway because of the density. I’ll post a report and a few pictures when I get a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3.5” this morning here. Had a bout freezing rain before the NW winds started blowing. If it can snow like it was on Sheffield heights an hour ago, things should be deep tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Event totals: 9.9” Snow/1.19” L.E. Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 2.3 inches New Liquid: 0.22 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 10.5 Snow Density: 9.6% H2O Temperature: 30.4 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 6 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 18.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 7.6" for the day after 1.2 yesterday. Not bad. 3" per hour rate from 6 to 7 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Mountains got crushed last night. Still crushing. Another 7-12" overnight at the ski resorts it seems. Eyeballing 3-4" at home since 11pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Mountains got crushed last night. Still crushing. Another 7-12" overnight at the ski resorts it seems. Eyeballing 3-4" at home since 11pm or so. Your avatar looks like Austria now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Your avatar looks like Austria now. Yes! Some of those photos from that region are insane. I saw one of a chairlift completely hurried up over the chairs and everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Close to another inch between 9:00 last night and 6:30 this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3” overnight heavy snow globe currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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