CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 36 minutes ago, mreaves said: He can pick up a moose fart as good as anyone! I’m trying my dam best to go up there in Feb. wife’s job FTL. I’m hoping to visit enough breweries to just stand in front of Jspin’s snowboard nude. Measure that pack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Surprised there hasn't been more discussion about this event but I know it's not that interesting in SNE. HRRR is giving some decent snows to NH/ME on the front end. It has a quick 1-2" of snow/sleet here followed by a good period of icing before rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m trying my dam best to go up there in Feb. wife’s job FTL. I’m hoping to visit enough breweries to just stand in front of Jspin’s snowboard nude. Measure that pack. Ha in all honesty, that's my bread and butter. That's how I made a name for myself up here is calling out those moose farts when the TV mets, Weather Channel, Accuweather, etc all just mention flurries or snow showers and skiers find a foot on the mountain. All those vacationers who are like, but my app said a 30% chance of snow showers, how did that turn into a blizzard at the ski resort!? I just know how weather interacts with these mountains and in over a decade of very close monitoring of weather here, I've seen just about everything that can happen with different set-ups, wind directions, inversions, precip, etc. My meteorology training in terms of like physics and calculus is non-existent but I know how to read what the models are laying out and how each event will play with the mountains. Most of mountain meteorology is just local knowledge and seeing how things play out over a long period of time...be it eastern or western mountains. Experience goes a long way in forecasting those areas that see highly localized meso-scale weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 10 hours ago, powderfreak said: Ha in all honesty, that's my bread and butter. That's how I made a name for myself up here is calling out those moose farts when the TV mets, Weather Channel, Accuweather, etc all just mention flurries or snow showers and skiers find a foot on the mountain. All those vacationers who are like, but my app said a 30% chance of snow showers, how did that turn into a blizzard at the ski resort!? I just know how weather interacts with these mountains and in over a decade of very close monitoring of weather here, I've seen just about everything that can happen with different set-ups, wind directions, inversions, precip, etc. My meteorology training in terms of like physics and calculus is non-existent but I know how to read what the models are laying out and how each event will play with the mountains. Most of mountain meteorology is just local knowledge and seeing how things play out over a long period of time...be it eastern or western mountains. Experience goes a long way in forecasting those areas that see highly localized meso-scale weather. Keep up the good work buddy. Knowing the nuances separates the men from the Boys. My wife’s cousin loves reading your stuff. He was telling me about how it’s so snowy there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 28, 2018 Author Share Posted December 28, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there hasn't been more discussion about this event but I know it's not that interesting in SNE. HRRR is giving some decent snows to NH/ME on the front end. It has a quick 1-2" of snow/sleet here followed by a good period of icing before rain. I've found the HRRR to be too cold here in several prior SWFEs this season. NAM is nada for here and much of VT as it starts as straight PL or ZR. The NAM seems to handle the thermals much better in the short range, so I'm riding that for tonight and tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there hasn't been more discussion about this event but I know it's not that interesting in SNE. HRRR is giving some decent snows to NH/ME on the front end. It has a quick 1-2" of snow/sleet here followed by a good period of icing before rain. LOL, well your statement sort of says it all. Anyway, despite the fact that much of the discussion in the December thread just bemoans cutter after cutter after cutter as if every storm was the same, this upcoming system is nothing like the previous one – there’s a lot more front end frozen and less liquid. The NOHRSC plot for our site essentially shows no real change coming from this event with respect to snowpack depth or snowpack water content, so this storm could easily be a net gain for the snowpack in some places. Most of the deterministic model runs shown snow up here to varying degrees coming up in their next several systems, so unless they’re all out to lunch there should be additions coming to the snowpack and improvements in the off piste conditions that would definitely warrant discussion. I was actually out for a tour on the Bolton Backcountry Network today to see how the powder has been building after these past four rounds of snow, and there’s already some nice skiing in the lower angle terrain. I’ll send along an update when I get a chance, but there are some nice conditions to potentially build on with these upcoming systems. The deep base we’ve got right now is a great example of why it’s so good to have a big November like we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I’m trying my dam best to go up there in Feb. wife’s job FTL. I’m hoping to visit enough breweries to just stand in front of Jspin’s snowboard nude. Measure that pack. Lawson’s brewery opened about a month ago. It’s great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 19 minutes ago, J.Spin said: LOL, well your statement sort of says it all. Anyway, despite the fact that much of the discussion in the December thread just bemoans cutter after cutter after cutter as if every storm was the same, this upcoming system is nothing like the previous one – there’s a lot more front end frozen and less liquid. The NOHRSC plot for our site essentially shows no real change coming from this event with respect to snowpack depth or snowpack water content, so this storm could easily be a net gain for the snowpack in some places. Most of the deterministic model runs shown snow up here to varying degrees coming up in their next several systems, so unless they’re all out to lunch there should be additions coming to the snowpack and improvements in the off piste conditions that would definitely warrant discussion. I was actually out for a tour on the Bolton Backcountry Network today to see how the powder has been building after these past four rounds of snow, and there’s already some nice skiing in the lower angle terrain. I’ll send along an update when I get a chance, but there are some nice conditions to potentially build on with these upcoming systems. The deep base we’ve got right now is a great example of why it’s so good to have a big November like we did. I saw the same. The low angle woods and the natural snow trails are skiing good. However the high angle off piste, at least where I’ve been, is terrible. Just a solid crust. Some sleet could do some good especially if we can score some on the back end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Event totals: 0.4” Snow/0.19” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.4 inches New Liquid: 0.19 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 2.1 Snow Density: 47.5% H2O Temperature: 28.4 F Sky: Sleet/Snow Snow at the stake: 7.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Doesn't look good on Alex's webcam, all snow here in Bartlett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 0.4” snow/sleet. All sleet and freezing rain now. Up to 28.8°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1” of cold beach sand here temps were bumping up quickly, 30F now with every imaginable type of precipitation falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2.5" Bartlett 23 and holding, sugar falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Half inch of sand and then rain/sleet mix at 28F. Car was a block of ice. More sleet than ZR at the mountain in the east side cold pocket but the ice is coming. 24F at 1500ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 10 hours ago, powderfreak said: Surprised there hasn't been more discussion about this event but I know it's not that interesting in SNE. HRRR is giving some decent snows to NH/ME on the front end. It has a quick 1-2" of snow/sleet here followed by a good period of icing before rain. Like someone would say, Nobody cares whats falling on the moose, But anyways, Coming down decently here right now looking at 1-3" of snow before the changeover KLEW 281245Z AUTO 36003KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG FEW006 OVC012 M06/M07 A3037 RMK AO2 P0001 FZRANO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: Like someone would say, Nobody cares whats falling on the moose, But anyways, Coming down decently here right now looking at 1-3" of snow before the changeover KLEW 281245Z AUTO 36003KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG FEW006 OVC012 M06/M07 A3037 RMK AO2 P0001 FZRANO The mid level cold air is definitely putting up a fight up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 We've got 25F at the ski area on the east side but wow at the west side torch already. Upper 30s already on west side of Mansfield, while it could take a while to get our east side bowl to warm above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1.5" of snow and sleet here. No freezing rain and warming rapidly - just reached 28. Really haven't seen much freezing rain here (when I was in Bartlett it seemed to happen every other week lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: The mid level cold air is definitely putting up a fight up there. Pretty dense cold, Those dews were in the single digits overnight and are now on the rise, Eventually, The warmth will win out and we will changeover, But that may not happen until we reach 3" or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Coating of snow under a glaze on the car. Now freezing rain and rain. Ugly out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Yup...31° -FZRA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 About 1.5" of snow. It flipped to sleet at about 7:30, currently -ZR 26.0/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2.0" snow, And the IP is here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: 2.0" snow, And the IP is here now. Was up at Augusta, a couple inches there and sleet had just started. Changed to rain at Topsham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Was up at Augusta, a couple inches there and sleet had just started. Changed to rain at Topsham Its +zr here now, 26°F.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 40s and rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 29.9F Freezing rain. About 3/4" of snow to IP earlier this morning. Trees glazing over but no big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 30.9F. plow guy came through. I know the guys gotta make a living, but it's expensive to us knowing it'll melt by dinner time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Had 1.5" with 0.16" LE at 7 this morning, temp was about 15 with moderate snow - probably about 3" by now. Augusta (out side the office) maybe 1.5", changed to IP about 10:30, now IP/ZR mix, probably soon to all RA. Back edge of precip only a few hours from home, so may not get much that's not freezing/frozen. Biggest snow this month, would rank 4th in November, which is kinda odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Snow 'till 7:30, sleet to about 9, zr since then. Getting some accretion, everything glazed over. 31.0/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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