dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5.7/-10 11G19mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 -0.3° and still breezy. Make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 12 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: -0.3° and still breezy. Make it stop. You should move since you hate snow, ice and cold now. Move down south somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3F here. Light wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 -3f.Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Lol... -16F at the top of the chairlifts and blowing 40mph. Fun. Finally got calm in the valley though... quick late night drop to -12F at MVL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You should move since you hate snow, ice and cold now. Move down south somewhere I’m okay with big storms. I’m done with the below 0F nonsense as we get into March though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 On 2/22/2019 at 1:24 PM, dendrite said: Misdemeanor from what I've read. And a lot of embarrassment. But mr philanthropist winking to trafficking sex slavery doesn’t burnish his image the way he envisioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m okay with big storms. I’m done with the below 0F nonsense as we get into March though. You’ve been complaining about snow, cold, ice, shoveling etc all winter. You’ve dedicated your life to the chickens. Take them south where you both will be happy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 37 minutes ago, dendrite said: -0.3° and still breezy. Make it stop. Lucky you, only got down to 8F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You’ve been complaining about snow, cold, ice, shoveling etc all winter. You’ve dedicated your life to the chickens. Take them south where you both will be happy . All coc ks all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 11 was low here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 46 minutes ago, weathafella said: But mr philanthropist winking to trafficking sex slavery doesn’t burnish his image the way he envisioned. Proof he knew there was trafficking going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: All coc ks all the time. It just makes my life harder. Plus I really don't want to have to get more $3/gal oil this year and based on the forecast for the next 2 weeks I may have to. My bamboo isn't liking the below 0F + wind either. I'm interested to see how it comes up this spring. Even they're near death like one of pickle's milfs, I at least have 2 more phyllostachys nudas arriving in April. We boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Looks like -0.9F here. Not quite the -10F with an afternoon of 5F in March of 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: It just makes my life harder. Plus I really don't want to have to get more $3/gal oil this year and based on the forecast for the next 2 weeks I may have to. My bamboo isn't liking the below 0F + wind either. I'm interested to see how it comes up this spring. Even they're near death like one of pickle's milfs, I at least have 2 more phyllostachys nudas arriving in April. We boo. Isn’t that invasive? We kill bamboo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like -0.9F here. Not quite the -10F with an afternoon of 5F in March of 2007. Nothing extreme here, but the window to the office shattered because I think the combination of metal frame contracting and flexing in the wind. Security has been compromised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Isn’t that invasive? We kill bamboo. Depends on how you define it. It spreads by running rhizomes, but that's it basically for propagation. It's not truly invasive like those that also propagate from seeds or easily from cuttings. In my zone I don't think it'll be too much to contain. I'll probably get top kill of the canes every winter. Bamboo doesn't like that. It'd probably go wild in your neighborhood though. This isn't quite like that nasty japanese knotweed either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: Nothing extreme here, but the window to the office shattered because I think the combination of metal frame contracting and flexing in the wind. Security has been compromised. Can you get that into an LSR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Can you get that into an LSR? It's either that or somebody was taking pot shots at the building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Depends on how you define it. It spreads by running rhizomes, but that's it basically for propagation. It's not truly invasive like those that also propagate from seeds or easily from cuttings. In my zone I don't think it'll be too much to contain. I'll probably get top kill of the canes every winter. Bamboo doesn't like that. It'd probably go wild in your neighborhood though. This isn't quite like that nasty japanese knotweed either. You know what, that’s what I’m thinking of. My folks have that at the lake and it gets nuts without ripping it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Nothing extreme here, but the window to the office shattered because I think the combination of metal frame contracting and flexing in the wind. Security has been compromised. Ekster see his watch/warning verification? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 So I was catching up with office verification stats yesterday for this winter ( @tamarack and @dryslot may be interested) and found some pretty interesting results for GYX. While our probability of detecting warning events is good (88%, goal of 90%), our false alarm for warning events (events that are warned but don't happen) is 39% compared to a goal of 20%. That's bad. Really bad actually. In addition, the "lead time" for those false alarms (time from warning issuance to the rough expected time of warning snowfall) was over 27 hours! Meaning we're issuing warnings about a full shift too soon, and suffering the consequences because of it. We are missing key hi-res guidance opportunities in the 12 to 24 hour period that could help our forecasts of QPF and ptype. Conversely, our numbers for a watch are great, our false alarm rate is actually lower (35%)! The numbers really tell me that models are great at sniffing out events at long ranges, but not great at sniffing out details of those events at those same ranges. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hmm, is @Damage In Tolland going to pick me up some Very Green at Tree House today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 52 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: So I was catching up with office verification stats yesterday for this winter ( @tamarack and @dryslot may be interested) and found some pretty interesting results for GYX. While our probability of detecting warning events is good (88%, goal of 90%), our false alarm for warning events (events that are warned but don't happen) is 39% compared to a goal of 20%. That's bad. Really bad actually. In addition, the "lead time" for those false alarms (time from warning issuance to the rough expected time of warning snowfall) was over 27 hours! Meaning we're issuing warnings about a full shift too soon, and suffering the consequences because of it. We are missing key hi-res guidance opportunities in the 12 to 24 hour period that could help our forecasts of QPF and ptype. Conversely, our numbers for a watch are great, our false alarm rate is actually lower (35%)! The numbers really tell me that models are great at sniffing out events at long ranges, but not great at sniffing out details of those events at those same ranges. Pretty much makes a lot of sense this winter, As we have got closer in to many of these events the qpf numbers have come down all the way even to verification to the end of the event, That's a good reason why we have had more nickels and dimes, But its also been due to more over running events with weak lift and poor snow growth as well as mixing with warm air intrusion aloft, In other seasons, You probably would have better numbers where we have more coastal events with a better airmass, Many of these events this winter, Looked good in the day 3-5 range, Only to shat the bed inside 36 hrs or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Hmm, is @Damage In Tolland going to pick me up some Very Green at Tree House today? Lol. DIT isn’t going today . They’ll have it all week. Only a short drive SW for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. DIT isn’t going today . They’ll have it all week. Only a short drive SW for you "Yeah, honey I'm running out for milk" Comes back 5 hours later. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: "Yeah, honey I'm running out for milk" Comes back 5 hours later. Grab her a few milk stouts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: So I was catching up with office verification stats yesterday for this winter ( @tamarack and @dryslot may be interested) and found some pretty interesting results for GYX. While our probability of detecting warning events is good (88%, goal of 90%), our false alarm for warning events (events that are warned but don't happen) is 39% compared to a goal of 20%. That's bad. Really bad actually. In addition, the "lead time" for those false alarms (time from warning issuance to the rough expected time of warning snowfall) was over 27 hours! Meaning we're issuing warnings about a full shift too soon, and suffering the consequences because of it. We are missing key hi-res guidance opportunities in the 12 to 24 hour period that could help our forecasts of QPF and ptype. Conversely, our numbers for a watch are great, our false alarm rate is actually lower (35%)! The numbers really tell me that models are great at sniffing out events at long ranges, but not great at sniffing out details of those events at those same ranges. That's why I set my "benchmarks" late in the game, almost always <12 hours before 1st flakes, sometimes as they're beginning to float down. This year, when 90%+ of the storms have had major p-type issues for the entire CWA south of the mountains, must be a nightmare for nailing snow amounts. Monday's event was a fine example, even up here. Our forecast was for essentially all snow, and with 0.8" qpf, warning criteria seemed a given. We did have almost all snow, less than 0.1" LE in IP and a bit of ZR in our 3.9" total depth, but between riming and crummy dendrite growth even the all-snow portion had a 5:1 ratio, something more common to 32° mush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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