Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Earth Null has historical data back to Dec 2013 when it launched. Here is the Feb 2nd 2015 firehouse and last years Jan 5th superstorm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Are there any good model products for forecasting or assisting with forecasting fog? On Ryan Maue's site he has a visibility product, but there has to be something which gives like fog probabilities or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Earth Null has historical data back to Dec 2013 when it launched. Here is the Feb 2nd 2015 firehouse and last years Jan 5th superstorm They should be able to go even farther back than that, because it's just the GFS model data for the specified level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Are there any good model products for forecasting or assisting with forecasting fog? On Ryan Maue's site he has a visibility product, but there has to be something which gives like fog probabilities or something. HRRR has probabilities of certain VIS, same with SREF. Otherwise you're probably limited to looking at forecast soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: HRRR has probabilities of certain VIS, same with SREF. Otherwise you're probably limited to looking at forecast soundings. I mean in the end looking at soundings is the best way to go for fog forecasting. Tough though when you're focusing on a large geographic region (but I guess could just look at the visibility products and narrow things down). Is there any sort of documentation which describes the fog tab in bufkit? It seems pretty straight forward, but I'm just uncertain how to interpret the graphs...like the bottom left where it has air/ground temp (when playing with the numbers negative values seem to correlate to fog being more likely) and the bottom right (MRi and displacement/dispersal product I don't fully understand) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I mean in the end looking at soundings is the best way to go for fog forecasting. Tough though when you're focusing on a large geographic region (but I guess could just look at the visibility products and narrow things down). Is there any sort of documentation which describes the fog tab in bufkit? It seems pretty straight forward, but I'm just uncertain how to interpret the graphs...like the bottom left where it has air/ground temp (when playing with the numbers negative values seem to correlate to fog being more likely) and the bottom right (MRi and displacement/dispersal product I don't fully understand) https://training.weather.gov/wdtd/tools/BUFKIT/training/UB_Fog/UB_Fog.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 You're looking at two different things there. The XOver is using the UPS crossover technique, where if your temps fall below the minimum dewpoint for the day fog is more likely. The MRi is modified Richardson number (think mechanical mixing). If it is high enough the atmosphere is stable, if it is low or negative the atmosphere is too unstable and wind will likely mix fog out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: https://training.weather.gov/wdtd/tools/BUFKIT/training/UB_Fog/UB_Fog.html Thanks! This didn't show up when I searched fog tutorial on google. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: You're looking at two different things there. The XOver is using the UPS crossover technique, where if your temps fall below the minimum dewpoint for the day fog is more likely. The MRi is modified Richardson number (think mechanical mixing). If it is high enough the atmosphere is stable, if it is low or negative the atmosphere is too unstable and wind will likely mix fog out. Thank you! I knew it had to be easy to understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Thank you! I knew it had to be easy to understand That will be far more useful for valley fog type events (assuming you select a valley location Bufkit site) vs model probabilities for low VIS that can't resolve the valley in enough detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Had about .3"-.4" overnight. Nice surprise...but the roads were terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That will be far more useful for valley fog type events (assuming you select a valley location Bufkit site) vs model probabilities for low VIS that can't resolve the valley in enough detail. That makes sense...I was gauging this is more useful for radiation fog as opposed to advection-type fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Received an email from AccuWeather today that due to "resource constraints", effective today they have made the decision to retire their Forums. As of today, December 18, 2018, you may no longer post or send private messages in the Forums. I haven't posted anything there for years, so I don't know if their activity has decreased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 The NAM is such a piece of junk. There has to be someone out there who possess the skills to fix it. It's fetish for the overestimation of BL moisture is hideous..especially during the evening and overnights. It's just pure garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 16 hours ago, 78Blizzard said: Received an email from AccuWeather today that due to "resource constraints", effective today they have made the decision to retire their Forums. As of today, December 18, 2018, you may no longer post or send private messages in the Forums. I haven't posted anything there for years, so I don't know if their activity has decreased. Wow. While I have never looked at it much, it was pretty huge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 How much longer do we stick with "yore"....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Woooohoooo I can now officially call myself a meteorologist!!! Final grades were all posted today 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Just now, weatherwiz said: Woooohoooo I can now officially call myself a meteorologist!!! Final grades were all posted today Congrats man! Nice job. You earned it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats man! Nice job. You earned it. Thank you! God it feels good to be done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 RED TAG for Wiz! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: RED TAG for Wiz! That will be pretty great haha. I just have to gather the required information. I probably won’t get my diploma for a few months, but I could supply the transcript and degree works which will show completion 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Just now, weatherwiz said: That will be pretty great haha. I just have to gather the required information. I probably won’t get my diploma for a few months, but I could supply the transcript and degree works which will show completion I feel like youve been here so long and everyone knows you, i feel like you should just get a Red Tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 13 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: I feel like youve been here so long and everyone knows you, i feel like you should just get a Red Tag Later this evening I’ll go into the thread in the help section and submit what I have thus far! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 19, 2018 Share Posted December 19, 2018 Congrats wiz! Keep up the good work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Congrats Wiz! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: That will be pretty great haha. I just have to gather the required information. I probably won’t get my diploma for a few months, but I could supply the transcript and degree works which will show completion They should just give you the damn tag. Also, congrats. Like I told you before. Earning an education while working full time/ close to it is not easy and deserves to be recognized. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Tag the boy! Congrats Paul, A job well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Tag! Tag! Tag! Congrats Wiz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 Congrats wiz. Looks like I can't tag you...we'll have to wait for dendrite. This newer version of the forum didn't have the add-on to let mods change member group. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2018 Share Posted December 20, 2018 They need to give you the keys to the Admin CP......................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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