powderfreak Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Down to 30F and frozen snowpack again. That was a short-lived "thaw". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 38.8° F for the high today. Still about 12-14" of snow OTG, with an average 12.5-13" that is now beginning to crust over. Currently at 32.7° F. I'm thinking we get a couple of sleety snow inches tomorrow PM with maybe upslope on Monday. The NAM has is pretty strong signal even down here. Deep, deep winter. Now if we can only do something about that effing cutter Grinch storm on D5-6. They've pretty much become an annual rite of passage, unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 17 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: 38.8° F for the high today. Still about 12-14" of snow OTG, with an average 12.5-13" that is now beginning to crust over. Currently at 32.7° F. I'm thinking we get a couple of sleety snow inches tomorrow PM with maybe upslope on Monday. The NAM has is pretty strong signal even down here. Deep, deep winter. Now if we can only do something about that effing cutter Grinch storm on D5-6. They've pretty much become an annual rite of passage, unfortunately. Today was progged to be 2" of rain at 50F a week out...I've never seen a cutter get beat down like that and turn into like 12-18 hours in the 30s with next to no melting. Heck the snow didn't even melt/fall off the trees at the mountain so it still has that caked look in the higher elevations. Hopefully we can do something about the cutter next Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 51 felt great. Nice to be able to walk around and be comfortable. If it’s not snow, I’ll take this. 43 now with a freshening NE wind whistling through the teees already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Wow, this current pattern is a snoozefest...after non stop storms in october/November setting precip records...only 1.59inches in Dec now that we are halfway thru... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 High of 48 now 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 27F... can almost walk on the 6" snowpack now in the yard. Hard to even call it snow, glacial remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Some frozen mixed with liquid here Portsmouth RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 One of our dog rescue board of directors owns Elizabeths Farmhouse restaurant in Putnam Ct. Its a converted rail station. Today she cooked a full Christmas buffet for the board members and spouses. Off the hook fantastic top end food. Creme Brulee french toast, eggs, bacon, kielbasa, ham, small red potatoes home fries,. Ever in the area check it out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: One of our dog rescue board of directors owns Elizabeths Farmhouse restaurant in Putnam Ct. Its a converted rail station. Today she cooked a full Christmas buffet for the board members and spouses. Off the hook fantastic top end food. Creme Brulee french toast, eggs, bacon, kielbasa, ham, small red potatoes home fries,. Ever in the area check it out. Good for you for rescues! Most would agree, animals are better then people..............what a hearty breakfast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Few pics from Hermit Lake Hike. Three guys heading up Hillman's to ski downSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 51 minutes ago, 512high said: Good for you for rescues! Most would agree, animals are better then people..............what a hearty breakfast! Thanks its a passion, there have been 1200 rescues in 3 years by the 24 people in that room today. Oh and desert.. Food was incredible. Top end place. http://www.elizabethsfarmhouse.com 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 17 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Few pics from Hermit Lake Hike. Three guys heading up Hillman's to ski down Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Just beautiful man. Love that place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 On 12/15/2018 at 1:20 PM, powderfreak said: Even the 30s right now feels like t-shirt weather when the month starts with a -9F type departure for the first half. Took the baby out for a walk yesterday with temps in the upper 30s. Felt great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 So similarly to the NWS spring forecast contest (choosing severe weather type and location), they are debuting a winter forecast contest (mid Jan through the end of March). What is interesting about this contest is it will be much more probabilistic. You will forecast the mode of the snowfall (most likely forecast), then adjust the 10th/90th percentile tails. Your score will be proportional to the likelihood of the observed snowfall to that curve you create. For instance, if you forecast a mode of 12" and the 90th percentile is 13", and you get 14" your curve probably predicts a very low likelihood of that happening (single digit % chance). If you really thought 12" was most likely, your 90th percentile tail should be out near say 20". This is a pretty common "failure" of the current NWS snow probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 Will would recognize that as sort of what Wilks used to do with the Cornell forecast contest. Rather than forecast a single QPF amount, you forecast a range of totals. The wider the range the more like you are to hit, but the smaller your potential score. The narrower the range the more likely you were to miss, but the higher potential score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 Meant to post this last week... but Ski Patrol was tasked with shoveling off the Cliff House deck (top of the Gondola at Stowe). Given the incredible early season snowfall, the deck had drifted about 10-15 feet deep. The deck level is even with the floor of the restaurant, and you can see how high up that Ski Patroller is. Guess you have to start digging somewhere, dig straight down to find the deck and then work it from there. Took a couple days to clear it. The restaurant manager posted this pic to social... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Man roads are icy after those squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man roads are icy after those squalls. Where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, #NoPoles said: Where are you? Home in Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Lots of slippery roads even on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of slippery roads even on the Cape. Guess i slept through everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Timing worked out well. 3 hrs later and it would have been a disaster. 128 was shut down by Burlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Winds howling. 18F with a tenth of snow We wintry for a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 28 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Winds howling. 18F with a tenth of snow We wintry for a day. It's the only winter we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 18, 2018 Author Share Posted December 18, 2018 Despise these kinds of days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 We wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Could be worse, could be my oyster growers on the Damariscotta River this morning. Getting wet sinking cages before the ice envelopes them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 well it was a good winter while it lasted. at least I'll be able to rake some leaves next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 57 minutes ago, dendrite said: We wind. We bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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