ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 JB still keeping an eye on the weekend early week event - says although modeling not there yet - he thinks something will come out of gulf and could be "spectacular".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 19 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: JB still keeping an eye on the weekend early week event - says although modeling not there yet - he thinks something will come out of gulf and could be "spectacular".... JB is trash....his name should be blocked on this site. And LOL to the second bold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 33 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: JB still keeping an eye on the weekend early week event - says although modeling not there yet - he thinks something will come out of gulf and could be "spectacular".... 5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: JB is trash....his name should be blocked on this site. And LOL to the second bold. Phillywx keeps is more optimistic than we are about an upcoming miller A. Who knows. Definitely not rock solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 31 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: JB is trash....his name should be blocked on this site. And LOL to the second bold. I think Ji has more credibility than him at this point... Used to be a fan but have come to realize he will always call for cold and snow because that's what sells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I think Ji has more credibility than him at this point... Used to be a fan but have come to realize he will always call for cold and snow because that's what sells. As long as you understand his bias when forecasting - he is quite good with pattern recognition and you will never ever be surprised by a snowstorm! LOL!! Either way interesting times ahead!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: As long as you understand his bias when forecasting - he s quite good with pattern recognition and you will never ever be surprised by a snowstorm! LOL!! Either way interesting times ahead!! Nope...been waiting waaaaay too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Pai Mei about ready to eat his poisoned fish heads after looking over the morning guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Either way interesting times ahead!! Seems like we've been saying that for weeks now. I fear those times aren't really coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 24 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Either way interesting times ahead!! Seems like we've been saying that for weeks now. I fear those times aren't really coming It's definitely coming....in time for a cold rainy spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 51 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Either way interesting times ahead!! Seems like we've been saying that for weeks now. I fear those times aren't really coming I guess I'm different than most on here - I enjoyed the tracking last week...even if it did not end in a big snow event. I believe we will have several more of these to track during the late Jan- Early March period - so much more active than last year when nothing happened during this mid-winter stretch. That said no one can say if any of these end in snow in everyone's back yard but I do believe there are many more storms and rumors of storms to track. So for me it has been and I believe it will be interesting times. But, I understand for probably many on here they have no interest in tracking a winter storm if it only results in a mix or mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 Next week looks great h5 wise on the Euro...and it's not in the super long range either. If that comes to fruition, I really like our chances next week as the transient blocking looks to be in place. Maybe this will be the one where we finally get the timing right. If we strike out, well the Phillies report next month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 22, 2019 Share Posted January 22, 2019 2 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said: As long as you understand his bias when forecasting - he is quite good with pattern recognition and you will never ever be surprised by a snowstorm! LOL!! Either way interesting times ahead!! His false positive rate is certified weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 19 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: His false positive rate is certified weenie. To be fair JB and WB have done probably the best job with their winter outlook (with the exception of snow in the PHL to BOS corridor) otherwise their above normal mid-atlantic snows and cold centered over the midwest and east look spot on. Like I said you can nail a pattern correctly and I would say for sure our area will be biased cold for at least the next 7 weeks with multiple winter storm chances...now each of those may cut west and we get rain - but the overall pattern was nailed IMHO. Keep in mind a couple big snow events and folks in the PHL to NYC area will be near to above normal - even as crappy as the snow season has been we are at 75% of normal with 10.7" of snow so far...keep the faith my friends - faith will be rewarded!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 What percent of normal snow is .80"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 12 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said: To be fair JB and WB have done probably the best job with their winter outlook (with the exception of snow in the PHL to BOS corridor) otherwise their above normal mid-atlantic snows and cold centered over the midwest and east look spot on. Like I said you can nail a pattern correctly and I would say for sure our area will be biased cold for at least the next 7 weeks with multiple winter storm chances...now each of those may cut west and we get rain - but the overall pattern was nailed IMHO. Keep in mind a couple big snow events and folks in the PHL to NYC area will be near to above normal - even as crappy as the snow season has been we are at 75% of normal with 10.7" of snow so far...keep the faith my friends - faith will be rewarded!! With all due respect, you would make an outstanding cult leader. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Winter 2019 floods north and snow south, never forget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Looks like I am actually going to do the impossible and follow my worst December ever with my worst January and Paul is quoting 75% normals lol. I managed 2" in the warmest January on record in 2006 54F before midnight i was pulling for a 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Little did I know the writing was on the wall in mid November when there was 1" five miles to my west and 3" eight miles to the north when I was white raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I keep trying to tell myself well we have February and March to go yet and we will get snow, I mean a decent storm 6"+. also this year Ive been try to learn what the atmosphere is doing and how to read the patterns its quite complicated to say the least EPO, PNA, NAO, MJO makes my head spin at my age, If the common person just knew what it takes to actually get snow in the Northeast let alone a big storm they would understand the forecasting difficulties. Not being the expert but just looking at things from afar it seems that trends in weather cannot be denied this year the theme is Cold dry-mild wet-cold dry. Keep up the good work Wiggum, Newman, and all the other regular posters on here Im trying to figure this all out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I've had friends who aren't into hobby ask when's the snow coming because pretty much every met in the area went with winter of yore. I read in the Philly Inq yesterday about the cold and stormy pattern "just around the corner". It's like they are doubling down on the nonsense. Not good for public perception at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Feels like an eternity when we were in the mid single digits but that was 3 days ago. Forecast high of 60 in philly this morning. Not sure they hit that number they r at 56 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Feels like an eternity when we were in the mid single digits but that was 3 days ago. Forecast high of 60 in philly this morning. Not sure they hit that number they r at 56 currently. TTN is at 58, 59 in the NE PHL it's going to be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Saw the first ladybug of the year inside my house this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Saw the first ladybug of the year inside my house this morning Lol, so did I, about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 The poor saps in the MA thread still hold on to hope a good winter is coming, big pattern change right around the corner lol. That's what happens to victims in a torture chamber that are given scraps here and there just enough to keep em alive and think there's a chance. I have had no scrap rations been eating flies and a little mouse i stomped with my foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 hours ago, KamuSnow said: Lol, so did I, about an hour ago. They invaded mine about 3 weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 IMPRESSIVE January thaw for all - *sarcasm meter pegged in the red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I'll make a deal with mother nature -- I'll sign on for a mild, snowless winter if she'll stop the rain. Seems my sump pumps have been running non-stop since last spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 45 minutes ago, JTA66 said: I'll make a deal with mother nature -- I'll sign on for a mild, snowless winter if she'll stop the rain. Seems my sump pumps have been running non-stop since last spring. agreed. i'm ready for spring. This severe cold, little to no torches, no snow and a ton of rain is a winter of horror. Give me the super nino winter any day of the week since at least it's mild. This is legit the worst pattern possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 hour ago, RedSky said: The poor saps in the MA thread still hold on to hope a good winter is coming, big pattern change right around the corner lol. That's what happens to victims in a torture chamber that are given scraps here and there just enough to keep em alive and think there's a chance. I have had no scrap rations been eating flies and a little mouse i stomped with my foot. I think it's funny they can't see the writing on the wall when one of their best posters is saying it doesn't look good. With next week looking like a fail, it seems the pac floodgates open again and the winter of azz rolls full steam ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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