Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2018 Share Posted December 1, 2018 Please use this thread for all off-topic material. Try and keep the other threads readable. The regulars thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Hopefully we get some snow on the Dec 10th threat. I got a seasonal job as a ski instructor. Bear Creek doesn't open until we can keep man made snow reliably as there is no creek to keep the snowmaking pond filled like other resorts. A little bump from Mother Nature with poke things along. ...we will probably get a drought until March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 Getting the fork ready to stick in this latest threat later today. Really dont like the pattern tendencies we are seeing repeated. LR guidance again showing what a few of us feared....cutters and tucked lows followed by cold and dry. We hardly score during epic looking patterns it's usually when they break down. Scary part is the epic look on the weeklies is there thru Feb. Does that mean we have to wait until mid Feb to cash in if at all like a typical Nino climo? Not in a panic as I never had high hopes going in and it's not even mid Dec yet but I really dont feel good about the pattern tendencies and where we look to be going. I know someone will chime in and say "but this looks different going forward"....but does it really? In terms of actual real weather, for us does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Getting the fork ready to stick in this latest threat later today. Really dont like the pattern tendencies we are seeing repeated. LR guidance again showing what a few of us feared....cutters and tucked lows followed by cold and dry. We hardly score during epic looking patterns it's usually when they break down. Scary part is the epic look on the weeklies is there thru Feb. Does that mean we have to wait until mid Feb to cash in if at all like a typical Nino climo? Not in a panic as I never had high hopes going in and it's not even mid Dec yet but I really dont feel good about the pattern tendencies and where we look to be going. I know someone will chime in and say "but this looks different going forward"....but does it really? In terms of actual real weather, for us does it? Yup people will be chasing that epic looking pattern in the LR like a junkie in Kensington... I don't buy it either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 I'm going on 35+ years doing this as a hobby and can tell you those epic looks I used to chase like a unicorn back when I was in my 20s and 30s usually 9 out of 10 times dont pay off. They get here and we scratch our heads saying why is New England or SC getting crushed and not us? Its funny how that works. When I see an epic look now I pay more attention to when it is going to relax. We will have chances but if we r ging to cash in big I am betting that wont happen until Feb or even March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 38 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm going on 35+ years doing this as a hobby and can tell you those epic looks I used to chase like a unicorn back when I was in my 20s and 30s usually 9 out of 10 times dont pay off. They get here and we scratch our heads saying why is New England or SC getting crushed and not us? Its funny how that works. When I see an epic look now I pay more attention to when it is going to relax. We will have chances but if we r ging to cash in big I am betting that wont happen until Feb or even March. yup...during epic patterns we score with nickle and dime events, but like you said we score big around here during pattern relaxation/changes. I mean people were tearing their hair out in january 2010 because we had an 'epic' pattern in place for weeks but it wasn't until the relaxation that we saw the 2 huge ones... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 11 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Getting the fork ready to stick in this latest threat later today. Really dont like the pattern tendencies we are seeing repeated. LR guidance again showing what a few of us feared....cutters and tucked lows followed by cold and dry. We hardly score during epic looking patterns it's usually when they break down. Scary part is the epic look on the weeklies is there thru Feb. Does that mean we have to wait until mid Feb to cash in if at all like a typical Nino climo? Not in a panic as I never had high hopes going in and it's not even mid Dec yet but I really dont feel good about the pattern tendencies and where we look to be going. I know someone will chime in and say "but this looks different going forward"....but does it really? In terms of actual real weather, for us does it? Long road ahead for the weenies.... shoot I forgot I'm a weenie. Someday will get another bonanza for all Miller A... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 24, 2018 Author Share Posted December 24, 2018 I liken Nick Foles' epic performance yesterday to how winter enthusiasts root for an 'epic pattern'. Its fantastic to be hopeful, optimistic, and to keep chances alive going forward but 'epic' doesnt always mean we've won anything or cashed in. We need plenty of help and luck to get where we need to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I liken Nick Foles' epic performance yesterday to how winter enthusiasts root for an 'epic pattern'. Its fantastic to be hopeful, optimistic, and to keep chances alive going forward but 'epic' doesnt always mean we've won anything or cashed in. We need plenty of help and luck to get where we need to be. Gave him props for getting the shiz knocked out of him in the fourth quarter and still managing to make down field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2018 Author Share Posted December 28, 2018 That mid-November snowstorm feels so long ago almost like it occured last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 33 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: That mid-November snowstorm feels so long ago almost like it occured last winter. My ideal winter would be mid December to the end of February - snow on the ground (not necessarily continuous) for extended periods all three months, with 10 to 15 events of varying sizes including one or more Nor'easters with 12" or more. Any snow outside of that range is always welcome, but that's the time frame in which I enjoy it the most. 2013-14 was pretty much that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 Rains of Yore! Even Noah would be impressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 5 hours ago, KamuSnow said: My ideal winter would be mid December to the end of February - snow on the ground (not necessarily continuous) for extended periods all three months, with 10 to 15 events of varying sizes including one or more Nor'easters with 12" or more. Any snow outside of that range is always welcome, but that's the time frame in which I enjoy it the most. 2013-14 was pretty much that. This is perfect, these front and back loaded winters are ridiculous. Snow to early and to late never sticks around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 29, 2018 Author Share Posted December 29, 2018 5 hours ago, KamuSnow said: My ideal winter would be mid December to the end of February - snow on the ground (not necessarily continuous) for extended periods all three months, with 10 to 15 events of varying sizes including one or more Nor'easters with 12" or more. Any snow outside of that range is always welcome, but that's the time frame in which I enjoy it the most. 2013-14 was pretty much that. Yep....snows before the Christmas holidays thru 3rd week Feb for me. 10-15 events is a steep task but I wouldnt raise my nose to that!! I would also make it a KU sandwich meaning a KU to kick off the season and a KU at the tail end of my range. At least a 10 day period in mid January of straight sub freezing temps with 2 or 3 days of highs in the mid teens. At least one episode of legit below zero temps at night. One of those mid-teen days I request a 4-6" dry powder event. Make one or two storms a solid WSW 4-8" variety with the remainder being some clippers, some front end thumpers, and a few just avg 1-3"/2-4" as we get skirted by to the South (cant let our Mid ATL brethren go without a few good hits as well). That for me would be my ideal winter. I mean if it were up to me and I had a fully paid snow removal crew and was retired I would say non stop HECS conditions from Thanksgiving thru St Patrick's Day but I'll 'settle' for what I mentioned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 I always like a good onion snow too! I like the blockbusters any winter we have a miller A in is a winner for me. I am always impressed by ice storms but they are so destructive I never wish for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 So after all the research and deliberation, I have decided to mount my instrument station at 2 meters (which is recommended for agricultural applications) 10 meters is the true professional meteorological application recommendation, but since my overall goal is to use this in conjunction with a future home orchard (white nectarines and pawpaw) that i'm planning, I think this will be the best solution. I'm planning on getting weatherlinkip to automatically upload my data 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 Nice things about this first half of non winter is the long range threats obliterate early thus saving lots of time tracking them to go poof at 36-72hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 31 minutes ago, RedSky said: Nice things about this first half of non winter is the long range threats obliterate early thus saving lots of time tracking them to go poof at 36-72hrs Yeah, haven't had to use up our tick supply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Posted this yesterday on another forum. Upcoming events for winter 2018/19 Jan 1st: Its only 10 days away Jan 10th: Its only 10 days away Jan 20th: Its only 10 days away (Back peddling begins) Feb 1st: Its only 10 days away (Maybe) Feb 10th: Silence Feb 20th: More Silence Mar 1st: Glimmer of Hope? (Probably not) Mar 10th: Depression sets in (Grab your meds) Mar 20th: Oh well see you next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 32 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Posted this yesterday on another forum. Upcoming events for winter 2018/19 Jan 1st: Its only 10 days away Jan 10th: Its only 10 days away Jan 20th: Its only 10 days away (Back peddling begins) Feb 1st: Its only 10 days away (Maybe) Feb 10th: Silence Feb 20th: More Silence Mar 1st: Glimmer of Hope? (Probably not) Mar 10th: Depression sets in (Grab your meds) Mar 20th: Oh well see you next winter You forgot this --> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Mostly Sunny today? PA,NJ is covered in overcast wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 We can nickle and dime our way to seasonal snowfall average if we have 2000 more events like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Is it to early to start a Spring Obs thread?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Is it to early to start a Spring Obs thread?? Give it two more weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 7 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We can nickle and dime our way to seasonal snowfall average if we have 2000 more events like today. more like penny and hay penny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/29/2018 at 7:12 PM, Rtd208 said: Posted this yesterday on another forum. Upcoming events for winter 2018/19 Jan 1st: Its only 10 days away Jan 10th: Its only 10 days away Jan 20th: Its only 10 days away (Back peddling begins) Feb 1st: Its only 10 days away (Maybe) Feb 10th: Silence Feb 20th: More Silence Mar 1st: Glimmer of Hope? (Probably not) Mar 10th: Depression sets in (Grab your meds) Mar 20th: Oh well see you next winter That's hysterical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 The waters have just finished receding at my lil hut oh wait new rain storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 I'll settle for cool and dry at this point! Anything to build some man made snow pack ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 1, 2019 Share Posted January 1, 2019 4 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: I'll settle for cool and dry at this point! Anything to build some man made snow pack ! Do you have a snowmaking machine? I've thought about it. I realize you're probably talking about a ski resort but you never know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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