clskinsfan Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 ICON looks very similar to last nights CMC run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: ICON coming in more suppressed with the initial part of the storm due to stronger confluence, but also appears there is a little more northern stream energy on the backside of the trough, so perhaps that would help with a later phase. The way the ICON handles the NS leaves no chance. There is a strong clipper diving down through New England as our storm is trying to turn the corner. One of the problems I am seeing is when we get rid of one NS vort another just appears...there is a non stop stream of them diving down the backside of the PV lobe to our northeast. Unless that relaxes we are in trouble. Still time for that to happen though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Comparing the new run of GFS vs. new run of FV3, they have switched places but both are suppressed south. The GFS brings big snow to the doorstep of Winchester and puts on the brakes. The FV3 slips out to sea near Norfolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, winterymix said: Comparing the new run of GFS vs. new run of FV3, they have switched places but both are suppressed south. The GFS brings big snow to the doorstep of Winchester and puts on the brakes. The FV3 slips out to sea near Norfolk. youre talking about 06z right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, winterymix said: Comparing the new run of GFS vs. new run of FV3, they have switched places but both are suppressed south. The GFS brings big snow to the doorstep of Winchester and puts on the brakes. The FV3 slips out to sea near Norfolk. What? It’s not out that far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What? It’s not out that far seems like we have been doing alot of this the past 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Through 42 heights seem a little better in NE and our SS SW a touch slower 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, mappy said: youre talking about 06z right? The latest run available is 0Z http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gmanikin/fv3gfs/fv3images.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What? It’s not out that far http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gmanikin/fv3gfs/fv3images.html check hour 132 The FC3 shows the banana high located to the north having a huge eastward expansion that forces the storm ENE, GFS doesn't show all of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, winterymix said: The latest run available is 0Z http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gmanikin/fv3gfs/fv3images.html OK, but you need to be more specific when you're talking about comparing runs. Especially when the 12z suite is coming out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Rookies making rookie mistakes and veteran trackers not knowing what the hell they’re doing for some inexplicable reason. That's because we haven't had a preseason...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, mappy said: OK, but you need to be more specific when you're talking about comparing runs. Especially when the 12z suite is coming out. smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, mappy said: OK, but you need to be more specific when you're talking about comparing runs. Especially when the 12z suite is coming out. True, that. Still, the menu is very easy to use at http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gmanikin/fv3gfs/fv3images.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 the 12z GFS dosent look as flat as the 6z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The storm will no doubt trend wetter.. I've been watching the STJ all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, winterymix said: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gmanikin/fv3gfs/fv3images.html check hour 132 The FC3 shows the banana high located to the north having a huge eastward expansion that forces the storm ENE, GFS doesn't show all of that. It’s not out that far. I don’t know how else to explain it to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, Ji said: the 12z GFS dosent look as flat as the 6z.... It’s not. So far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Think the 12z GFS isn't going to do it for us Out to 66hr heights are ever so slightly stronger... We'll see/hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: It’s not out that far. I don’t know how else to explain it to you. Need to start to hand out 5 post passes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Hr 87....Maine SW is stronger but so is the SS SW with slightly more negative tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It’s not. So far Don't know what y'all are looking at but it doesn't appear any LESS flat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: It’s not. So far At 72 Improvements in the stj and ridging in the miss valley and upper Midwest. Kinda identical with the NS prices over New England though so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The high is positioning itself nicely upon approach! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 i like this view here. We can see what other type of @psuhoffmanclippers will be diving from the arctic to screw us up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Looking better so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 I stand corrected. Just looked at 500b....everrrrr so slightly sharper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: Don't know what y'all are looking at but it doesn't appear any LESS flat It does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Through 90 that energy over NE is further SW which I don't like. But the SS S/W is sharper so I like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: At 72 Improvements in the stj and ridging in the miss valley and upper Midwest. Kinda identical with the NS prices over New England though so far. Hate those NS prices. Always been higher than the rest of Canada. Loaf of bread is like $4 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 the arctic shortwave is further north on the 12z gfs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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