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December Medium/Long Range Discussion


WxUSAF

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2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

We do rain for a while.

You are so hung up on getting all snow in your particular location that you forget that when you say “we” that doesn’t apply to the entire forum. Sooooo much to be resolved which won’t be for days. Relax. 

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

It was step in the right direction from what my amateur eyes can see...12z didn't give us much of a bone, lol And as @showmethesnow said...CAD may be undermodeled!

But the low cuts further north and west than 12z before it transfers inland along the coast. That's two runs in a row that show the same cutter solution. This is that last thing we want to see run over run. 

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Let's be honest folks. The gfs run sucks. Primary gets too far north and secondary is too close to the coast. That's a lot more rain than snow. 

Agree.  It blows as depicted for most of us.  Low over OC with retreating cold means cold rain after front end snow to slop.  Not even close to 6z.  Better version of 12z.  We toss.  Why not?

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Just now, BristowWx said:

Agree.  It blows as depicted for most of us.  Low over OC with retreating cold means cold rain after front end snow to slop.  Not even close to 6z.  Better version of 12z.  We toss.  Why not?

Without big deep cold, any track up into KY is going to suck. Midlevels get torched easy. We need a clean miller A for a big hit imho

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Without big deep cold, any track up into KY is going to suck. Midlevels get torched easy. We need a clean miller A for a big hit imho

Goes without saying but 8 day op run of GFS and not worried with Euro on our side. Now if the Euro caves a bit then we’ll you know..

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