psuhoffman Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:03 PM, stormtracker said: I don’t see anything wrong with it so far. Might end up a little better than 12z Expand At 108 it's fine. Only thing that couod go wrong is if it still dives a NS vort down on top of us. Otherwise it should be better. Let's see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:03 PM, psuhoffman said: I do...way less suppressive look in the NS at 108. Expand They are just focusing where the SW is coming on shore on the west coast and not looking at the big picture here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:07 PM, Bob Chill said: Don't like the slower part but def like the ns part. Will be north of 12z for sure. Wet snow and 32 is better no snow and 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:07 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: What's better about it? Expand You thinking it’s bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Much better run so far at 126 on the H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 The end result might be the same, but that's some significant run-to-run inconsistency in the HP placement and 500mb levels in general, it seems to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Happy Hour looks a tad amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:09 PM, stormtracker said: You thinking it’s bad. Expand I don't know what to think yet. I was asking a serious question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:06 PM, Ji said: On 12/3/2018 at 10:03 PM, psuhoffman said: I do...way less suppressive look in the NS at 108. Expand 12z Was horrid so any model run will be better lol Expand Remember I'm not looking for a huge hit right now. Having it just south of us us fine at 6 days out. But the 12z gfs was squashed garbage. Just get the gfs back in line with most other guidance is fine with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Ye ole North Dakoter phaser tryin to set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 138 precip to Cville 500 looks much better. edit lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:10 PM, LP08 said: 138 precip to Chile...500 looks much better Expand How much for Argentina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:10 PM, WxWatcher007 said: 12z GFS 18z GFSLol not even close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:09 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I don't know what to think yet. I was asking a serious question. Expand You really can’t see the difference between 12 and 18z. It’s not getting the beat down. Do a side by side comparison. The precip sheild is clearly north of 12z. This may not be the hit we want but it’s a nice step up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY worked! LOL! @Ji can tell you, as soon as I believe in a storm, it disintegrates! Will play skeptic until I am shoveling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Precip reaching DC at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Huge improvement. Good stuff will just miss us, but I like where this is going. Until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 150 1004mb SLP just SW of HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 Its happening! Lolz some slight differences from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:12 PM, stormtracker said: You really can’t see the difference between 12 and 18z. It’s not getting the beat down. Do a side by side comparison. The precip sheild is clearly north of 12z. This may not be the hit we want but it’s a nice step up Expand I definitely didn't see it as early as others and still don't know what signaled it early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:10 PM, WxWatcher007 said: 12z GFS 18z GFS Expand Yea no way in 132 more hours it could shift the 100 miles we need. These models have it locked down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 fringed, not quite a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 159 999mb SLP over HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 It gets the precip up to DC and NOVA. Looks like a stronger storm and a bigger precip shield more than a track adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 This wont be THE run, but a Yuge step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:13 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I definitely didn't see it as early as others and still don't know what signaled it early. Expand It was all the upstream stuff - suppression being less... great trend here! still barely in- but I think the northern extent of snow is erroneously getting cut off by GFS! That is a good track for NW VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 6. Hour. Difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 168 994mb over HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 On 12/3/2018 at 10:17 PM, midatlanticweather said: It was all the upstream stuff - suppression being less... great trend here! still barely in- but I think the northern extent of snow is erroneously getting cut off by GFS! That is a good track for NW VA! Expand Everyone is being so vague. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 If the gfs verified verbatim it would be the most depressing storm of my life and would knock boxing day and march 2013 out of the top 2 spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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