LibertyBell Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Our annual December warm up around the winter solstice is right on track. White Plains just set a new record high of 61 degrees . The previous record high for 12-21 was set back in 2013 at 59 degrees. White Plains LGT RAIN 60 59 96 SE29G40 29.52F FOG Almanac for WESTCHESTER COUNTY AP, NY December 21, 2018 Daily Data Observed Normal Record Highest Record Lowest Max Temperature M 39 59 in 2013 14 in 1955 LGA just broke another 2010’s record high set back in 2011. New record of 62 beating the 61 in 2011. https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_okx/status/1076094806831648768 I saw the record from yesterday was 60 degrees from 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 26 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I saw the record from yesterday was 60 degrees from 2002. This is the first time that LGA had 10 days in a decade reach 60 or higher from 12-18 to 12-24. LGA also had a high of 63 on Christmas 2014. That was one day outside this range around the winter solstice. 2010’s....10 days so far 2000’s.....4 1990’s.....4 Time Series Summary for LA GUARDIA AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Number of Days Max Temperature >= 60 Dec 18 to Dec 24 Missing Count 2018-12-24 1 4 2017-12-24 0 0 2016-12-24 1 0 2015-12-24 3 0 2014-12-24 0 0 2013-12-24 3 0 2012-12-24 1 0 2011-12-24 1 0 2010-12-24 0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 62 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 34 minutes ago, bluewave said: This is the first time that LGA had 10 days in a decade reach 60 or higher from 12-18 to 12-24. LGA also had a high of 63 on Christmas 2014. That was one day outside this range around the winter solstice. 2010’s....10 days so far 2000’s.....4 1990’s.....4 Time Series Summary for LA GUARDIA AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Number of Days Max Temperature >= 60 Dec 18 to Dec 24 Missing Count 2018-12-24 1 4 2017-12-24 0 0 2016-12-24 1 0 2015-12-24 3 0 2014-12-24 0 0 2013-12-24 3 0 2012-12-24 1 0 2011-12-24 1 0 2010-12-24 0 0 Looks like the analogs of 2002 and even moreso 2014 seem to be the best matches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I wish I can post the ensembles but my phone sucks The gefs and eps got snowier in the mid to long range for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: A little snow for Christmas( nothing big ) and then we have to watch NYE . Pattern should get more favorable by January. Hang tight weenies. No snow for Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 NYC unveils new storm plan after November snow that caused commuter chaos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 16 hours ago, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: We have to wait and see what the SSW does. That is if there is one coming. There's a high chance anyway. SSW's do not have a statistically significant correlation to sensible weather in the northeast. It can get cold in Jan, certainly looks much better after the 5th/6th period and beyond. But that may be as much a function of the MJO (if not moreso) than the SSW. Think people forget what the SSW gets you (normally) is an increase in likelihood of -AO if there is a true coupling to the troposphere PV. The -AO itself increases your odds of cold, but does not necessarily guarantee them. Bigger and more important piece to me right now is what happens in the Pacific vs. what happens over the pole. Think MJO has overwhelmingly driven the bus on this pattern for the past several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Select Record High Temperatures for December 21 as of 9:00 am: Allentown: 63° (old record: 57°, 1957) Bridgeport: 60° (tied record set in 1957) Hartford: 60° *tied record set in 1957) Islip: 59° (tied record set in 1973) New York City-LGA: 61° (tied record set in 2011) Poughkeepsie: 62° (old record: 61°, 1957) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 21, 2018 Author Share Posted December 21, 2018 Looks increasingly like a light snowfall (C-2") for X-mas eve, would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Latest tellies look very good moving forward NAO http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml AO http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 33 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Looks increasingly like a light snowfall (C-2") for X-mas eve, would be nice. That would be nice; where does it show that? I haven't seen it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 I'm not sure where some of you are getting the idea of snow on Monday. Please show me one model that brings snowfall, or even flurries to NYC metro on Xmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 4 minutes ago, David-LI said: I'm not sure where some of you are getting the idea of snow on Monday. Please show me one model that brings snowfall, or even flurries to NYC metro on Xmas eve. Every model? It's not even a snowfall. Just flurries and snow showers. 850s are cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Looks wet no ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Looks like more 60s possible post Xmas. Maybe some rain/showers Xmas Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toekneeweather Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 26 minutes ago, David-LI said: I'm not sure where some of you are getting the idea of snow on Monday. Please show me one model that brings snowfall, or even flurries to NYC metro on Xmas eve. Gfs does euro does gfs para icon and ukmet white rain but if that wave digs more we can get a light snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 14 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Looks wet no ? That’s what the models are spitting out verbatim but it looks to me on soundings to be cold enough for snow if there is ecen remotely decent rates for any time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 16 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Looks wet no ? GFS sucks with surface temps This happens with every storm When you see 850s this cold, it's snow. I doubt it accumulates but it will put us in the mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toekneeweather Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Cmc shows a big snowstorm for our area for New Years eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Latest tellies look very good moving forward NAO http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml AO http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml I am not sure how to interpret/ read those if anyone cares to give the abridged version I am sure there are many besides myself who would appreciate it,,,otherwise carry on men and women Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: GFS sucks with surface temps This happens with every storm When you see 850s this cold, it's snow. I doubt it accumulates but it will put us in the mood. The other thing to watch is the GFS/NAM continue to be weaker than the Euro. The Euro is fairly potent at 500 and the Euro will often tend to run low on QPF on these systems 3-4 days out. If this spits out .20-.40 in the end it should easily be snow from the Metro northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 UKMET through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 54 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks like more 60s possible post Xmas. Maybe some rain/showers Xmas Eve. I really wonder if you’re snowman19 , but just under a different username. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 Just now, Neblizzard said: I really wonder if you’re snowman19 , but just under a different username. where is snowman19 these days?!??!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Select Record High Temperatures for December 21 as of 9:00 am: Allentown: 63° (old record: 57°, 1957) Bridgeport: 60° (tied record set in 1957) Hartford: 60° *tied record set in 1957) Islip: 59° (tied record set in 1973) New York City-LGA: 61° (tied record set in 2011) Poughkeepsie: 62° (old record: 61°, 1957) Even Mount Washington set a new daily record high of 43 degrees so far. The all-time monthly high for December is 47 set in 2001. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KMWN.html 21 12:47 S 72 G 84 0.06 Heavy Rain Fog and Windy VV001 43 43 43 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 39 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even Mount Washington set a new daily record high of 43 degrees so far. The all-time monthly high for December is 47 set in 2001. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KMWN.html 21 12:47 S 72 G 84 0.06 Heavy Rain Fog and Windy VV001 43 43 43 33 They've also had over 100 inches of rain this year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 2 hours ago, David-LI said: I'm not sure where some of you are getting the idea of snow on Monday. Please show me one model that brings snowfall, or even flurries to NYC metro on Xmas eve. Does this help ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 1 hour ago, Neblizzard said: I really wonder if you’re snowman19 , but just under a different username. I was pointing out what the models showed. Gfs has near 60 for the 27/28 period with some rain/snow showers around the 24th. Actually 12z has mid 60s for the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 21, 2018 Share Posted December 21, 2018 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I was pointing out what the models showed. Gfs has near 60 for the 27/28 period with some rain/snow showers around the 24th. Actually 12z has mid 60s for the 28th. another cutter around the 28th so more warmth like today. Definitely wiping out the negative departures of the 1st 10-12 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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