40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 GFS looks a hair more aggressive with n stream early....we'll see if that has any impact, who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Enough to get in the spirit. Yes...will look nice against the xmas lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 This is 3 days out. , TPV aint going to let that child up to play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Several differences at h5 between the 18z 114 hour GFS and the 00z 108 hour GFS, one the confluence zone over New England is further north, not much, but every bit counts, the H5 southern stream energy is stronger, leading to a further northward low, and the pacific disturbance that tries to phase with the southern stream is closer and further southeast than the last run. All leads to a closer storm track. But is it enough to matter up here, probably not this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 I can't believe a storm is being squashed in early December SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Yeah. That’s not even close on the gfs. I mean... several minor improvements didn’t yield anything better for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah. That’s not even close on the gfs. I mean... several minor improvements didn’t yield anything better for us The GFS is out to dry at this time, 00z NAM is more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Awful. It's over Squashed in December We will get our fair share of snow starting the 2nd half of December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: It's over Squashed in December We will get our fair share of snow starting the 2nd half of December The day 8-10 storm looks very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Awful. Yeah... not close. I feel like even if we get huge changes in the next 24-36 hours, it still wouldn’t be enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: It's over Squashed in December We will get our fair share of snow starting the 2nd half of December I'm not ready to white flag yet...but doesn't look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Teleconnections improve after the 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 GGEM with a nice step back too. Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: GGEM with a nice step back too. Next How? I see a step better than the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not ready to white flag yet...but doesn't look good. It's amazing how the models barely moved from showing a southern snowstorm. The confluence is too strong. Maybe the models are missing the northern stream phasing into the storm. We will see on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How? I see a step better than the GFS Much further south than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Band is moving offshore, I got nothinig but a few flakes. I am waiting for the mid month period, looking better for a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Teleconnections improve after the 15th Very brief warmup Possible storm around the 15th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: Much further south than 12z Are you watching the backside energy which could end up coming up the east coast as the arctic shortwave phases into the long wave trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Very brief warmup Possible storm around the 15th? Yes potentially large and intense nor'easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yes potentially large and intense nor'easter AO going negative around the 15th PNA positive around the 15th NAO going negative around the 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yes potentially large and intense nor'easter More likely a cutter, as most guidance is showing, the 18z GFS op notwithstanding. Even the 18z GEFS showed the op out to lunch with that coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, 78Blizzard said: More likely a cutter, as most guidance is showing, the 18z GFS op notwithstanding. Even the 18z GEFS showed the op out to lunch with that coastal. teleconnections support otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: More likely a cutter, as most guidance is showing, the 18z GFS op notwithstanding. Even the 18z GEFS showed the op out to lunch with that coastal. Of course the PV from hell lifts out in time for that- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Of course the PV from hell lifts out in time for that- The PV is taking a beating on the latest GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Of course the PV from hell lifts out in time for that- 200+ hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Huge coastal storm next weekend on the GFS Inland snow and coastal rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Huge coastal storm next weekend on the GFS Inland snow and coastal rain There will be some melts with that one...and not just the huge snow piles in VA and NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Huge high over the Atlantic and a low over se Canada...classic. Just begging for a positive cold-dry-whiff/warm-wet oscillation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.