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December Discussion


NorEastermass128

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14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Unfortunately, the cost of that long run loyalty tends to be sleepless nights over disagreements, cold and dry encounters when your desire for hot and heavy seems unbearable, and the gradual realization that whatever fantasies are placed in your head, it’s almost always going to be worn down into the same mediocre event you can neither stand nor reject.

Weenie out till you can’t, take care of yourself,   then find someone young that likes animals (good heart) that’s a “5” and up , needing a green card whose culture treats men still as men (filipino dating app)

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10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Unfortunately, the cost of that long run loyalty tends to be sleepless nights over disagreements, cold and dry encounters when your desire for hot and heavy seems unbearable, and the gradual realization that whatever fantasies are placed in your head, it’s almost always going to be worn down into the same mediocre event you can neither stand nor reject.

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Hey what do u guys think of the nam 0z run I know it’s far but cmc first signaled January 23rd 2016 snowstorm and nam had it on radar since 84hrs ... than cmc brought it back dumb late but the point is Nam’s the furthest north and at 84hrs it looks like the cmc few nights ago when it was at 180 away. 

31AA9F0D-D129-419E-A00B-AEE68198062E.png

28F9FD74-A4B9-4F30-B570-666FE024C0AF.png

 

End result of cmc that run looks horrible for us but remember back in 2016 a few days before January 23 blizzard, the cmc also had a perfect positioned low with a great track but mostly rain 

 

 

54191C3A-5D3C-4628-9C02-101B55E574C4.png

 

But it we all know what happened that week

2906AF2F-C328-497A-8412-9D6D2335C3D2.jpeg

Lets not forget nam nailed January 4th smowstorm.

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14 minutes ago, Toekneeweather said:

Hey what do u guys think of the nam 0z run I know it’s far but cmc first signaled January 23rd 2016 snowstorm and nam had it on radar since 84hrs ... than cmc brought it back dumb late but the point is Nam’s the furthest north and at 84hrs it looks like the cmc few nights ago when it was at 180 away. 

 

:weenie::weenie:

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like the terd in the punch bowl is trying to become the punch.

It’s going to punch through that confluence and pour snow lol it can happen. Most likely the cut off would be insane but someone is going to get snowed in 3 feet deep

i think this either goes up the coast following the confluence or becomes a strung out low that gives the mountains in Carolinas good snows or a big blockbuster is coming

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Still shortwaves galore. It has the southern system broken into two distinct s/w’s now instead of one consolidated system. That leading northern one definitely digs more and is trying to phase with that first southern one. Just a lot going on still. Call me when we can get some semblance of run-to-run consistency with those.

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7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Still shortwaves galore. It has the southern system broken into two distinct s/w’s now instead of one consolidated system. That leading northern one definitely digs more and is trying to phase with that first southern one. Just a lot going on still. Call me when we can get some semblance of run-to-run consistency with those.

looks like that 2nd “southern” one originates from the north and is acting as a bit of a kicker. GFS looks like a badly coached Pats opponent with too many men on the field.

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4 hours ago, weathafella said:

People give up because for some the emotional attachment is too much to endure.

The logical thing to do is to not be beholden into any one solution until within 3 days.  I think some choose not to really pay attention until within that time frame because the models just aren't very accurate in data sparse regions or for those long lead times.

 

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Tick tick.. hear the footsteps

the 00z Euro ensembles offer a wider
distribution of possible outcomes with 12 of the 50 members
(~25%) having a big hit for southern New England with at least 1
inch of qpf. That`s an uptick from 9 - 12z members. So given
the time range here and the complex interaction between streams
all 3 different outcomes remain in play which include 1) out to
sea, 2) a glancing blow to 3) a direct hit
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