HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They did. I suppose verbatim it's more of a milder Canada instead of a SE ridge, but I know Pacific puke when I see it, "November snows bring December woes." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Lol, I would trust them weeks 3-4 are always terrible. MJO is hard to predict that far out it may just go into the COD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, leo2000 said: Lol, I would trust them weeks 3-4 are always terrible. MJO is hard to predict that far out it may just go into the COD. Whatever keeps you in those footy pajamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Whatever keeps you in those footy pajamas. It was saying that last time in weeks 3-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 1 minute ago, leo2000 said: It was saying that last time in weeks 3-4. I think it's picking up on the MJO stuff now. It is what it is. We don't know how bad it will be, but it's not reversing to a -EPO or +PNA. Nope. Hopefully it's somewhat salvageable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think it's picking up on the MJO stuff now. It is what it is. We don't know how bad it will be, but it's not reversing to a -EPO or +PNA. Nope. Hopefully it's somewhat salvageable. The biggest thing it has to be is short lived. (As in no more than 2-3 weeks) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: The biggest thing it has to be is short lived. (As in no more than 2-3 weeks) From what I hear of the long range guys, they think so too, We pray. Some hints of wetter than normal down south later week 3 into week 4, so may have some srn stream action. Hopefully some cold is around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Instead of ugly christmas sweaters, all will be celebrating with ugly christmas tank tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Even though its just an op run but 18z gfs shows the AK vortex on roids. This would be devasting for winter enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Weeklies are bone dry after week 2. Huge pattern reversal. Sort of what they did Last week of Oct for Novie. We watch. I know people look far away all the time but if you are a winter weather watcher best to be concentrated on next 2 weeks because the pattern is set up for something to pop. We watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: Instead of ugly christmas sweaters, all will be celebrating with ugly christmas tank tops It’s just easier to remove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Even though its just an op run but 18z gfs shows the AK vortex on roids. This would be devasting for winter enthusiasts. I got Debbied earlier by some folks, but it is what it is. That’s not a feature you want showing up in mid to late December. Period. No spin necessary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I got Debbied earlier by some folks, but it is what it is. That’s not a feature you want showing up in mid to late December. Period. No spin necessary The painful thing is, its another piece or solution showing it...so it has merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The painful thing is, its another piece or solution showing it...so it has merit. I always thought it was real... delayed but not denied, which in this case, isn’t a good thing. Weak Nino is bread and butter here, but this is what could produce a rat. Hopefully we aren’t waiting until late March for it to move out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I always thought it was real... delayed but not denied, which in this case, isn’t a good thing. Weak Nino is bread and butter here, but this is what could produce a rat. Hopefully we aren’t waiting until late March for it to move out. Or May lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I was afraid of this happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Don't worry folks an epic cage match is coming up More Looks like December will feature an epic cage match between the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the #PolarVortex. The dynamical models are picking the MJO as the winner but who do I think might win domination of our #weather? https://bit.ly/2DVbhhg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Fears being exposed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I always thought it was real... delayed but not denied, which in this case, isn’t a good thing. Weak Nino is bread and butter here, but this is what could produce a rat. Hopefully we aren’t waiting until late March for it to move out. That region has a propensity to lock in heights, high or low. We’ll see how it evolves next 10 days though. Until then, we enjoy cutter after cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 27, 2018 Author Share Posted November 27, 2018 Snow weenies shaking in their boots. Keep on shaking. In fact, shake out of them and slide into your flip flops. Joking aside, pay attention to that 12/4-7 period and whatever happens D15-18+ will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Snow weenies shaking in their boots. Keep on shaking. In fact, shake out of them and slide into your flip flops. Joking aside, pay attention to that 12/4-7 period and whatever happens D15-18+ will happen. Exactly....quaking in their boots and overlooking a potentially decent period. Two weeks plus out in time....I wouldn’t be getting to upset...and if it happens as depicted, it’ll pass as does every pattern. 5 years ago this would be pissing me off and I’d be worried about it too, but lately stuff like this doesn’t seem to matter as much anymore. Sure I’d love to see a great pattern in the long range potentially, but no worries if it’s not a good pattern either. It’s nice to not let it bother you anymore...just drop the worry lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Same weeklies that show bitterly cold a few runs back LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 No belly to belly ? Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 27, 2018 Author Share Posted November 27, 2018 Just now, 8611Blizz said: No belly to belly ? Lol.. Maybe belly to toilet? Then rally? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Fears being exposed... It's not worth losing sleep over, at least the pattern is still looking active. It is always possible to sneak wintery events in, even with the Alaskan pork special on the menu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 The one eyed pig is the Keyser Söze of weather enthusiasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 That was about as ugly as it gets on the weeklies for week 3/4. December 1994 here we come. Hopefully it's muted compared to what it is showing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Did we have pig anytime last winter? What about the past few? 2014? 1994 featured a hybrid system on the 24th. System going by the bm with rain at all elevations in all of New England. Let’s get dirty with this now... i actually thought 18z looked better bad vs 12z on the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Did we have pig anytime last winter? What about the past few? 2014? 1994 featured a hybrid system on the 24th. System going by the bm with rain at all elevations in all of New England. Let’s get dirty with this now... i actually thought 18z looked better bad vs 12z on the GEFS I don’t know if it was the Oinker that caused it...but we had 82 in Mid February last winter..ya that was about as bad as it could get too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 I sense pig fear in here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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