powderfreak Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 18z GFS was run from my basement. Gradient pattern type look to a lot of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 hour ago, Greg said: What you just described sounds a little more like the Blizzard of 1978. That may be what it sounds like, but you're wrong. I had been married for less than 6 months at the time and remember it well. I'm talking about the so-called 100 hour storm that hit late in February of 1969. The Boston area received 25-30 inches during that storm, with some suburbs receiving up to 3 feet. The storm sat off the Cape for about 3 days before drifting away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: That may be what it sounds like, but you're wrong. I had been married for less than 6 months at the time and remember it well. I'm talking about the so-called 100 hour storm that hit late in February of 1969. The Boston area received 25-30 inches during that storm, with some suburbs receiving up to 3 feet. The storm sat off the Cape for about 3 days before drifting away. I had 3' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Any thoughts on the JAMSTEC, it torches the entire US along with the CFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Any thoughts on the JAMSTEC, it torches the entire US along with the CFS. And the weeklies Weeklies have been atrocious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah...not sure if Kent issued a bad forecast for 1969, but he had major updating to do for the 1978 storm. As others have said, Harvey really scored on that one and cemented his place in history. Don Kent was around long before computers and one not to forecast 100% based on the one computer model available at that time. He didn’t buy it early on and waited for morning upper air and pressure fall charts to verify. Because of this he waited until late Monday morning, February 6th, to be sure and then went on the air and said the now famous line:”We’ll be measuring the snow in feet, not inches”!! I was in my car traveling to a client and heard that radio broadcast. The computer model, surprisingly, happened to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Can someone explain "gradient pattern" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had 3' Wilmington got 30". They let the snow settle just like Bedford, MA did which got 33" but had 30" on settled ground. But Reading, MA got the 36" amount you speak of but started with about 13" on the ground to make it 40" on settled ground total. However, a closer look reveals that the difference between the 40" ground total and 13" prior on the ground = 27 total" So there you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Can someone post the weeklies? Tyia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Can someone post the weeklies? Tyia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Thanks Nick! I was reading in the nyc thread where someone said all of NOAM is torched. Not what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Can someone explain "gradient pattern" Its a steep thermal gradient resulting from conflicting teleconnections....ie favorable PAC, +NAO, -NAO/RNA....2007-08 is a good example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Thanks Nick! I was reading in the nyc thread where snoski said all of NOAM is torched. Not what it shows. The 850s and 2m are warmer than normal until the day 39 to 46 frame. The gradient look is a bit meager since the ridging in ak/-epo isnt pronounced. The weak -nao as shown could save the pattern without super chilly air in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, OSUmetstud said: The 850s and 2m are warmer than normal until the day 39 to 46 frame. The gradient look is a bit meager since the ridging in ak/-epo isnt pronounced. The weak -nao as shown could save the pattern without super chilly air in Canada. It’s by no means a furnace it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: It’s by no means a furnace it seems No probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 58 minutes ago, Greg said: Wilmington got 30". They let the snow settle just like Bedford, MA did which got 33" but had 30" on settled ground. But Reading, MA got the 36" amount you speak of but started with about 13" on the ground to make it 40" on settled ground total. However, a closer look reveals that the difference between the 40" ground total and 13" prior on the ground = 27 total" So there you go. Well, all I can do is go off of the Reading coop since I wasn't born in 1969... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its a steep thermal gradient resulting from conflicting teleconnections....ie favorable PAC, +NAO, -NAO/RNA....2007-08 is a good example. Seems you have been programming the weeklies to to a T to fit your seasonal script. :-) But, I hope your transition to cold and snow and KUs comes along as you have in your seasonal forecast. I still cant believe the weeklies and something is going to give with the strat warming. The Pipers at the Gates of Dawn will come a calling in mid Jan. I feel when the smoke clears and the teles line up a very favorable pattern will come along and lock in . If not blame it on the feeble Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, all I can do is go off of the Reading coop since I wasn't born in 1969... It's all good Ray. I wasn't born until December 1977 so I wasn't around either. I'm just throwing out weather stats and junk. But at least we both know that we live in an area than can get some really good synoptic area snowstorms. That I love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 The EURO got demonstratively closer to a phase on that Sunday deal..wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Greg said: It's all good Ray. I wasn't born until December 1977 so I wasn't around either. I'm just throwing out weather stats and junk. But at least we both know that we live in an area than can get some really good synoptic area snowstorms. That I love. What is your source for that Wilmington total, then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 2 things to note. Serious fronto band Thumpity thump? Red first pic Deep winter Arctic front BLUE 2ND pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, frd said: Seems you have been programming the weeklies to to a T to fit your seasonal script. :-) But, I hope your transition to cold and snow and KUs comes along as you have in your seasonal forecast. I still cant believe the weeklies and something is going to give with the strat warming. The Pipers at the Gates of Dawn will come a calling in mid Jan. I feel when the smoke clears and the teles line up a very favorable pattern will come along and lock in . If not blame it on the feeble Nino. The feeble niño is fine...it will limit your ceiling, but you should do okay...I love it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is your source for that Wilmington total, then? Research, newspaper articles, weather records but also DPW reports and interviews from when I did a big weather project from years ago. I have many facts in my head from those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2018 Author Share Posted December 14, 2018 0z NAM with another snowy run for the interior for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Love seeing a nutty nam solution. Just makes it all better for a minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Love seeing a nutty nam solution. Just makes it all better for a minute. Not sure its totally nutty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Blizz gettin thumpity Sunday nite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 EURO is a step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Hell of a Monday AM commute for coastal Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 We have Mick’s retort to Leon re: 11-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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