Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 How about the save by the bell Xmass morning event there ... hahaha... Man, pulling that off two years back to back would be an impressive statistical feat - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Long way to go for that one Yeah we can't rule it out but it needs a lot of work. Airmass is putrid too so it needs a really good assist from the northern stream and interior would be favored if it did happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Shades closed for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Euro wants none of what the Gfs is smoking, at least prior to the holidays. Really nice EPO tank showing up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Keeping my expectations in check until 12/22 and beyond, this upcoming pattern blows for cold and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Mm... the longitudinal component of the total wave function is anomalously quick right now/in this period in question - ...it may not be entirely suitable to the Euro's particular make up to handle progressive patterns as well as it does more standard meridional amplitude pattern types. We know that ... Granted, this system is on the near side of middle range ... but "if" this pattern is problematic, it might shorten the models wheel-house edge. Sounds like a stretch but, this run did technically come slight N with the southern vortex over 00z... and there is time. interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro wants none of what the Gfs is smoking, at least prior to the holidays. Really nice EPO tank showing up now. I mean never say never, it the gfs solution is rather far fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro wants none of what the Gfs is smoking, at least prior to the holidays. Really nice EPO tank showing up now. smocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean never say never, it the gfs solution is rather far fetched. That northern stream is trying to catch up with it...if it can phase in then we could see something but it looks like it just doesn't have enough time. But who knows, GGEM and ukie actually looked a little closer to GFS than the euro. So maybe. But even those solutions were meh. Maybe some IVT flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That northern stream is trying to catch up with it...if it can phase in then we could see something but it looks like it just doesn't have enough time. But who knows, GGEM and ukie actually looked a little closer to GFS than the euro. So maybe. But even those solutions were meh. Maybe some IVT flakes. Yeah subtle trend there. It definitely needs work. Too bad that little shot of cold prior to that can’t mix in with that rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 It’s gonna be very difficult to top that November pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah subtle trend there. It definitely needs work. Too bad that little shot of cold prior to that can’t mix in with that rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah subtle trend there. It definitely needs work. Too bad that little shot of cold prior to that can’t mix in with that rain. Yeah the first northern stream whiffs and keeps the cold in Canada. One eyed pig FTL helping cause that. Were prob gonna have to wait until post-12/22 for anything. But maybe we get lucky early next week. We've done it before in putrid patterns...atmosphere owes us for the whiffs Dec 5-12, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 All and all that's a pretty chilly run. PF and the rest of the NNE crew can rest easy with practically no precip next ten days and sub freezing the majority of the time. Mild up getting squeezed all over the place. Still some AN days interspersed but overall nothing what I expected after 3 weeks of hearing about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 The epic December didn't come as advertised, either....I think Dec 2002 had some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Starting now it’s a relaxation until about Christmas. Call of what you want whether it’s 45 or 55, lack of storms and cold define relaxation. That’s all most of us has been saying. Look at the conus as a whole, that’s a putrid pattern that all of us have been saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 That was a whopper adjustment by the UKMET ...wow. As Will mentioned, it's more GFS like. It seems the landscape of that period of time is now one of three things, the third option being new to the table. The first is the 00z Euro complete and utter ...outre universal non-event The second is that the southern stream system remains stronger and feeds back on tossing more lead s/w ridging ...which then causes it to turn left enough to clip us with cold rain... but every other couple of model solution, said cold rain flips to snow. The third is the N/stream bullying in a late subsume phase... The UKMET is partial already... and probably if that frame could go out to 168 that'd be a stem-wound bomb up there in western NS.. But, in either the GFS or UK' solutions... the N/stream brings potent instability through and would probably WINDEX the hell outta the region either way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Dog poop everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Steve is very happy and I understand why. The dog poo is frozen. But wait until we get some days in the 40s, the house is going to turn into a septic tank again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dog poop everywhere At least its frozen...phased dog doo doo can't make it indoors due to confluence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: All and all that's a pretty chilly run. PF and the rest of the NNE crew can rest easy with practically no precip next ten days and sub freezing the majority of the time. Mild up getting squeezed all over the place. Still some AN days interspersed but overall nothing what I expected after 3 weeks of hearing about it. I think we looked at different runs? This one was warm as toast looking only at H85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Lot of overall interesting individual GEFs members, too. 2/3rds of them bring at least some impact through from the southern vortex. I'm curious what the EPS members indicate... ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 You guys without pets are obsessed with dog poo, its easy to control with responsible owners who look after their animals. Frozen or not its two trips around the yard twice a day, don't even have to bend over. Sorry it's not the torch you wish for Scott but that's about as typical a Dec run as I have ever seen. You need to move to NNE or something if you expect wall to wall winter. The jealousy comes out every time. Perhaps you will melt again ala Jan 15 right before the most epic winter of your life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Are you sure about that?* I thought that was a big snow winter, followed by a dog in 94-95, then the historic 95-96. *Be careful about using BDR's measurements. For many years they simply took the water equivalent and multiplied by 10. Yeah. 93 94 was frigid but we ended up getting a lot of ice storms in lieu of snow. I NEVER use BDR, people think we have a 25 to 30 snowfall range due to that POS reporting station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Steve, bruh, if you don’t think that’s a putrid look....I honestly salute you. Look at the conus. Look at the big picture. We are definitely in between patterns with some lousy looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: BDL broke the record from 77-78 in 93-94; record breaking winter in interior CT that year. Then only two years later we broke that record too with 95-96. Yeah 95 96 was incredible for all. 92 inches in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 47 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Keeping my expectations in check until 12/22 and beyond, this upcoming pattern blows for cold and snow. Well, at least it's not a furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think we looked at different runs? This one was warm as toast looking only at H85. IDK doesn't impress me as anything crazy. Like I said some warm days interspersed, changeable too. I'd upload the ten day 850 Gif if I could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Steve, bruh, if you don’t think that’s a putrid look....I honestly salute you. Look at the conus. Look at the big picture. We are definitely in between patterns with some lousy looks. I don't care about anywhere but New England but I see alternating dry pattern , meh is meh, certainly no where in NE would anyone be sipping Mai Tais and cocktails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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