Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Storm signal continues near Xmas You would love the Brazilian Ensemble model lol, true but the only Brazilian Models to look at are on the cover of SI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How quickly one snowy gfs run changes the mood. Pretty even keel, its the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Best op run in days lol. #keeptherainsouth Don't look at the GFS 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We got 78.5", Greg. Boston had 90-100". Yes, that's what I was getting at. That Feb 9th 1994 storm with it's extra ocean effect really helped the Boston area and immediate coastline in that. Just a hop, skip and jump inland genarally 75-80" for the season of course. But who the hell would mind that now is beyond me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 PF is above freezing for 18 hrs out of 384 on that cold GFS run, that would be a helluva way to run a warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, Greg said: Yes, that's what I was getting at. That Feb 9th 1994 storm with it's extra ocean effect really helped the Boston area and immediate coastline in that. Just a hop, skip and jump inland genarally 75-80" for the season of course. But who the hell would mind that now is beyond me. ORH had over a 100", too....we were in a screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Ukie has a 992 low by Ptown for day 6 better than a cutter and a potential thread the needle situ to watch for we ain’t got nothin else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Ukie shows a light snowfall for Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: ORH had over a 100", too....we were in a screw zone. We only had 52 in SW coastal CT, but the cold was impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 9 minutes ago, Greg said: Yes, that's what I was getting at. That Feb 9th 1994 storm with it's extra ocean effect really helped the Boston area and immediate coastline in that. Just a hop, skip and jump inland genarally 75-80" for the season of course. But who the hell would mind that now is beyond me. 75-80” ya that’s um good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We only had 52 in SW coastal CT, but the cold was impressive! Are you sure about that?* I thought that was a big snow winter, followed by a dog in 94-95, then the historic 95-96. *Be careful about using BDR's measurements. For many years they simply took the water equivalent and multiplied by 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: PF is above freezing for 18 hrs out of 384 on that cold GFS run, that would be a helluva way to run a warm up It has been frigid since it flipped from humid to cold...almost lean colder because of that. And I usually am not that optimistic but... it was -8F last night, it's sunny and 15F on my car now driving around doing errands. Looks and continues to feel like mid-January. With no snow last night, it was our first 24 hour period without snowfall in at least a week. Days and days of snow streak comes to an end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What will blizz do talk up fire danger Has he given up on the 70 mile per hour winds for the weekend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: Has he given up on the 70 mile per hour winds for the weekend ? Instead it’s just a cold December rain all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 23 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We only had 52 in SW coastal CT, but the cold was impressive! BDL broke the record from 77-78 in 93-94; record breaking winter in interior CT that year. Then only two years later we broke that record too with 95-96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 If Euro shows a lil something for Sunday night/monday, then this might not be just a blip run of the GFS....we'll know in a few minutes?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 -7.4 month to date here and today will likely fire off another -15 type departure. Even BTV is -4F so far which for that climo location is pure icebox. This cold pattern has been relentless including last month's -5 departure. If there was a pattern that could mitigate a torch it's probably this one. But when you think of departures, even a couple +5 to +7 days will feel like 20F warmer than the current pattern of highs in the 10s/20s with lows below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: With 40’s? Might get a little dicey There are people all over the ponds already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 GFS actually digs that lead northern stream s/w less this run, but it's far enough north with the southern low that it's able to tap into that marginal cold air behind that northern s/w. End result is we wetbulb over to snow. That followup nrn s/w looks pretty potent anyway so we have to keep an eye on that...even if the southern low stays south and offshore. Maybe we can get some ULL snows, and inverted flake for Ray, or some kind of progressive redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 44 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It has been frigid since it flipped from humid to cold...almost lean colder because of that. And I usually am not that optimistic but... it was -8F last night, it's sunny and 15F on my car now driving around doing errands. Looks and continues to feel like mid-January. With no snow last night, it was our first 24 hour period without snowfall in at least a week. Days and days of snow streak comes to an end. Just looking at the GEFS totally agreed with your statement above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, dryslot said: The 12z GFS was run from Hippy's basement Yeah, just need to figure out how to hack the other models on board but GFS was congrats NW MA. Ready for the snow now, finished stacking my back up cord from the fairy wood wookie. Already gone through a bit of wood with these temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, just need to figure out how to hack the other models on board but GFS was congrats NW MA. Ready for the snow now, finished stacking my back up cord from the fairy wood wookie. Already gone through a bit of wood with these temps. I think a lot of folks this way are pissing thru there stockpiles as well, Its been a cold 6-8 weeks in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Serious cold and PV over Hudson's bay on the LR GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Euro isn't buying the GFS poppycock for next Sunday/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS actually digs that lead northern stream s/w less this run, but it's far enough north with the southern low that it's able to tap into that marginal cold air behind that northern s/w. End result is we wetbulb over to snow. That followup nrn s/w looks pretty potent anyway so we have to keep an eye on that...even if the southern low stays south and offshore. Maybe we can get some ULL snows, and inverted flake for Ray, or some kind of progressive redevelopment. I suspect also the 1025+ mb nascent polar high that is borne of confluence/detailed handling therein has something to do with it ... This solution on whole wrt to the southern stream is really is not too terribly different then the 06z solution, with the obvious and paramount distinction being the cold, thermodynamic insert you're targeting ... being made available to the system, flipping colorized synoptic QPF charts to blue and attracting flies like the fresh stench of new elephant dung. Not to credit grab ... I don't give a schit but this has been inconsistently off and on in the last 8 cycles of this particular model ...don't know if this one should really be any more or less believable, not that anyone said otherwise. And I would suggest going back to 06z's run of the 10th... the model did almost the same thing - it's not the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: I think a lot of folks this way are pissing thru there stockpiles as well, Its been a cold 6-8 weeks up here in general Even my bud on SWRI was telling me he has been pissing wood. Even the mild days were cloudy rainy chilly. HDDs are running 10 to 20 % above normal since the flip to cold in Oct, that huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro isn't buying the GFS poppycock for next Sunday/Monday. Long way to go for that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty even keel, its the GFS Yes, we know you always are. 34 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: If Euro shows a lil something for Sunday night/monday, then this might not be just a blip run of the GFS....we'll know in a few minutes?? It’s not biting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 That N/stream backside subsumer has been getting more aggressive in inches too - At this point (in this "defensively 86 able solution" ), it actually bursts snow over eastern zones as a polar low starves in the Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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