Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I was actually wondering that... even if it doesn't snow the rest of the month will anyone in SNE be above normal snow from the Novie snows? My normal ending Dec 31 is 12 so with 8.5 I won't,probably NJ NYC area for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What's so different than you pimping MOS give me a break. Wonder why you haven't fact checked the last chart I posted You know better than that. MOS at least matches past patterns to expected temps, vs raw model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I was actually wondering that... even if it doesn't snow the rest of the month will anyone in SNE be above normal snow from the Novie snows? The mountain over 100 yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol panic peeps showing their colors. Lets shoot for a full moon goon storm on the Solstice as we finally kick off the official start to winter. I know seems weird but most of us in SNE snow the most between Dec 21 and March 21. ORH is still above normal snow season to date with their 9 inch total. Peeps need patience I've kind of sat back the past few days and just been taking in the angst by some in here, Over analyzing and stressing over something none of us can control..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: What's so different than you pimping MOS give me a break. Wonder why you haven't fact checked the last chart I posted Which chart? Having a pretty bad day here so I may have missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: You know better than that. MOS at least matches past patterns to expected temps, vs raw model output. I have followed these charts and MOS long enough to understand that they both have bias, oddly the Euro charts have been not bad. I do appreciate science would love to see the charts skill scores. Unfortunately I only have personal experience. Most deviations happens with unstable patterns like the one coming up. A cutter can soar us way up in the 50s rather than low 40s. That Euro run was colder. Seeing as we have no Euro Mos its all we have. If you or the chicken plucker have some bias scores please share. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I've kind of sat back the past few days and just been taking in the angst by some in here, Over analyzing and stressing over something none of us can control..............lol Boring wx begat boring forum. Temp wars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 If we can pinch off the PV with a big AK and somewhat of an Icelandic block.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 I went from a forecast of partly cloud on wednesday, to a 40% chance of snow on wednesday, back to partly cloudy on wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Id love a 2005 season, my area got annihilated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, #NoPoles said: I went from a forecast of partly cloud on wednesday, to a 40% chance of snow on wednesday, back to partly cloudy on wednesday James briefly hacked into the nws pnc coding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I have followed these charts and MOS long enough to understand that they both have bias, oddly the Euro charts have been not bad. I do appreciate science would love to see the charts skill scores. Unfortunately I only have personal experience. Most deviations happens with unstable patterns like the one coming up. A cutter can soar us way up in the 50s rather than low 40s. That Euro run was colder. Seeing as we have no Euro Mos its all we have. If you or the chicken plucker have some bias scores please share. Euro MOS does actually exist. There's actually a nice ensemble MOS too. I have no clue who created it and how, but I know that's it's internal. I can tell you the BDL raw numbers are on the lower side of the ensemble, the mean is actually warmer than the numbers you posted. But the 90th percentile isn't EYW either. If folks prepare for upper 40s/lower 50s this weekend into early next week chance are they'll not be upset, as most days will come under that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: My normal ending Dec 31 is 12 so with 8.5 I won't,probably NJ NYC area for that That's what I was thinking, but still in the grand scheme of things even if it doesn't snow again in December everyone is probably one storm away from being above normal snow again by early January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: God, the worst thing about the boring down time is the exhuasting fights over semantics, and whether a given person thought it would avaerage 42 degrees for an 8 day period, or 39 degrees over a 6 day period. Drains this place of all intrigue and vitality in absolutely brutal fashion. We're all guilty of it- I thought it was going to be 51 for a 3 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If we can pinch off the PV with a big AK and somewhat of an Icelandic block.... Go on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: Go on..... He's still pinching it off... not a clean breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 15 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Id love a 2005 season, my area got annihilated 14/15 plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Highly recommend everyone watch the series: The Last Alaskans on Animal Planet. Tonight is the beginning of season 4. I think you can netflix or on demand the first three seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That's what I was thinking, but still in the grand scheme of things even if it doesn't snow again in December everyone is probably one storm away from being above normal snow again by early January. Lol at Boston sucking wind near the bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol at Boston sucking wind near the bottom I think they should correct that. In the old days they would have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: I think they should correct that. In the old days they would have. Lol embarrassing on many levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol embarrassing on many levels Fukking up climo averages too. A joke. They were on the wrong side of the cf but most nearby got 2-3. I’m glad I moved to this neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol embarrassing on many levels Absolutely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think they should correct that. In the old days they would have. The problem is there is nothing to correct. It is the official measurement taken by the observer. It's not like missing data from the 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 He had one job...measure the damned snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Fukking up climo averages too. A joke. They were on the wrong side of the cf but most nearby got 2-3. I’m glad I moved to this neighborhood. That’s absolutely Pathetic...NWS needs to wake up over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: The problem is there is nothing to correct. It is the official measurement taken by the observer. It's not like missing data from the 90s. He’s measuring wrong...period! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Fukking up climo averages too. A joke. They were on the wrong side of the cf but most nearby got 2-3. I’m glad I moved to this neighborhood. Non urban environment for the win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The problem is there is nothing to correct. It is the official measurement taken by the observer. It's not like missing data from the 90s. He winged it after missing the measurement before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 11, 2018 Share Posted December 11, 2018 Just now, WinterWolf said: He’s measuring wrong...period! Trust me, BOX triple checked that it was the right amount. It's just not a favorable location. Not that the old Winthrop location was either, but until they find someone in Boston proper that wants to commit to the job you get what you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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