NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2018 Author Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:20 PM, weathafella said: This is the worst weenie pre season I’ve seen in the 20+ years I’ve been on these boards. Expand We need a hit before Christmas or before NYE, the very latest. Almost 100 pages only 9 days into the month...you’d think BOS would already have 20+ on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 9:11 PM, Ginx snewx said: Lol Fins Expand Go Dolphins! Sorry banter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:23 PM, NorEastermass128 said: We need a hit before Christmas or before NYE, the very latest. Almost 100 pages only 9 days into the month...you’d think BOS would already have 20+ on the season. Expand I can't wait until we whiff that week and the meltdowns begin in earnest. There will be backups on the Tobin to wait in line to take the plunge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 9, 2018 Author Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:25 PM, OceanStWx said: I can't wait until we whiff that week and the meltdowns begin in earnest. There will be backups on the Tobin to wait in line to take the plunge. Expand You’re probably right. If we can’t hit, hopefully we see the light at the end of the tunnel by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zach’s Pop Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 10:47 PM, dendrite said: Who said that? EPS only goes out 15 days and had the EPO cold dump then to our west. Expand Were you not here yesterday?? Many posts about not getting into a better pattern till January 1st. Will take awhile to get rid of the pacific puke. Models always rush things. I think everyone realizes after the relaxation a better pattern is coming. The only area of disagreement is when. I think most of you have snow before Christmas. Probably another storm between Christmas and New Years Day. But I do agree that until the 20th or so it is very boring and normal to slightly above next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Par for the course...everything seems normal to me...weenie is as weenie does...year after year after year...and so be it until the end of this board... I know who to listen to...Dendy, Scoots, Vader, Tippy, #BuriedInStowe, Hanny...we have some stellar green and red tags. They are my gospel amongst mere mustard seeds... Oops, almost forgot Oceans11-13,8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Let’s go futility and watch the psychoses come out one by one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 The 18z GFS did something the recent Euro runs have been subversively trending toward, and that is to raise eastern Ontario surface pressure as that southern impulse is arriving over the MA ... this run best depicts that ~ 150 hours... That's not far off Meteorologically from showing why at this particular latitude (to mention ..circumstantial geographic relationship to the continent), it's sometimes possible to make a little chicken salad out of a chicken schit pattern. It's not there yet and needs work, but at this point, touch more 120 to 144 hour confluence roll out up there and we have a weird under cut ageo thing to deal with. Also, 'nother long long shot, but (other's might have mentioned?) there is a Solstice sort of bell saver also presented for say west of ORH in the deep interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 There’s always a chance the cold plunges south and delays a few days. That happens more often than not. But......if one were to stick their weenie out and guess...the period near 12/25 give or take may have storminess. Just has that stretched out gradient look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:37 PM, weathafella said: Let’s go futility and watch the psychoses come out one by one. Expand We were entertaining that possibility on Jan 20, 2015. Just sayin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:11 PM, Ginx snewx said: Some punted the next 3 weeks in here. Expand We should probably wait until the next three weeks play out to judge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 10, 2018 Author Share Posted December 10, 2018 For the snow starved, search Ashland VA live into YouTube. You’re welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:37 PM, #NoPoles said: Par for the course...everything seems normal to me...weenie is as weenie does...year after year after year...and so be it until the end of this board... I know who to listen to...Dendy, Scoots, Vader, Tippy, #BuriedInStowe, Hanny...we have some stellar green and red tags. They are my gospel amongst mere mustard seeds... Oops, almost forgot Oceans11-13,8 Expand What about capecodweatherusaearth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:42 PM, CoastalWx said: There’s always a chance the cold plunges south and delays a few days. That happens more often than not. But......if one were to stick their weenie out and guess...the period near 12/25 give or take may have storminess. Just has that stretched out gradient look. Expand It’s cold out there, mom always said to put a hat on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:07 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s cold out there, mom always said to put a hat on. Expand We Jimmy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 10:49 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Is the ice actually thick enough already ? Expand Wow, I tried to skate this afternoon at a shallow pond in Concord MA and ice was definitely too thin. I was surprised actually that it wasn't thicker. I did see Wellesley conservation commission post a warning on twitter not to skate accompanied by a person skating at what was identified as a local shallow pond! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:56 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We should probably wait until the next three weeks play out to judge. Expand Steve is very happy since frozen doggie doo can’t be tracked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:14 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I would not go out on any ice around here yet, although it looks perfect. Expand Williamsville Pond, Hubbardston. Drilled a test hole every 25 feet, 4.5” was the lowest, had one spot over 6”. Me and the kids had a blast out there today! Time to dust off the tip ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:27 AM, Dpb1983 said: Williamsville Pond, Hubbardston. Drilled a test hole every 25 feet, 4.5” was the lowest, had one spot over 6”. Me and the kids had a blast out there today! Time to dust off the tip ups. Expand 4" black ice was the rule I grew up with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/9/2018 at 11:23 PM, NorEastermass128 said: We need a hit before Christmas or before NYE, the very latest. Almost 100 pages only 9 days into the month...you’d think BOS would already have 20+ on the season. Expand I've never seen so much interest in mild ups, warm ups, or torches, or whatever you want to label them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:33 AM, 78Blizzard said: I've never seen so much interest in mild ups, warm ups, or torches, or whatever you want to label them. Expand Nothing else to discuss. There is zero chance of a significant snow event for at least like two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 Hmm what you guys thinks of what these guys opinions on the Mid Atlantic forum lol. They agree with me, Isotherm and others. Bob Chill says EPS kicking up the -EPO bigly and quicker than the 0z run. Totally different look d13+ in our parts compared to 2+ runs ago. GEFS may win another model war. Psuhoffman EPS seems to have caved again to the gefs timing of the cold. Gets the cold into the east by the 24th. Now we just need a wave on that front! Love that warmups are brief and cold returns ahead of schedule so far this cold season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:27 AM, Dpb1983 said: Williamsville Pond, Hubbardston. Drilled a test hole every 25 feet, 4.5” was the lowest, had one spot over 6”. Me and the kids had a blast out there today! Time to dust off the tip ups. Expand Nice. Looks amazing. Didn’t realize it was that thick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:27 AM, CoastalWx said: Steve is very happy since frozen doggie doo can’t be tracked in. Expand Much easier to pick up when they are poopscicles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:44 AM, leo2000 said: Hmm what you guys thinks of what these guys opinions on the Mid Atlantic forum lol. They agree with me, Isotherm and others. Bob Chill says EPS kicking up the -EPO bigly and quicker than the 0z run. Totally different look d13+ in our parts compared to 2+ runs ago. GEFS may win another model war. Psuhoffman EPS seems to have caved again to the gefs timing of the cold. Gets the cold into the east by the 24th. Now we just need a wave on that front! Love that warmups are brief and cold returns ahead of schedule so far this cold season. Expand I’m not sure what this is supposed to mean when the GEFS went warmer before that. I think it just proves models are volatile in the long range? Until then enjoy a couple of good rain events and hopefully some dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:44 AM, leo2000 said: Hmm what you guys thinks of what these guys opinions on the Mid Atlantic forum lol. They agree with me, Isotherm and others. Bob Chill says EPS kicking up the -EPO bigly and quicker than the 0z run. Totally different look d13+ in our parts compared to 2+ runs ago. GEFS may win another model war. Psuhoffman EPS seems to have caved again to the gefs timing of the cold. Gets the cold into the east by the 24th. Now we just need a wave on that front! Love that warmups are brief and cold returns ahead of schedule so far this cold season. Expand I mean overall you'll find that even ensembles have a bit of an untethered firehose problem at the end of the run. What's more, comparing one 12z run to one 00z run is not particularly useful. It's often the case that 12z and 00z can have a bit of a yo-yo back and forth for a few runs. Finally the GEFS can win some, but more often than not the EPS is superior because of how it is constructed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:43 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nothing else to discuss. There is zero chance of a significant snow event for at least like two weeks. Expand We could have been discussing more the bn cold we have had the last 3 weeks in all of the region. Just because there wasn't a significant snow event didn't mean we move right to "warmupville". We have discussed the cold, but I would bet there have been a lot more posts about the warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 The cold is pretty useless. Yay for pond ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 12:54 AM, 78Blizzard said: We could have been discussing more the bn cold we have had the last 3 weeks in all of the region. Just because there wasn't a significant snow event didn't mean we move right to "warmupville". We have discussed the cold, but I would bet there have been a lot more posts about the warm up. Expand Cold is boring...nobody rubs one off to cold and boring and pond ice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 On 12/10/2018 at 1:04 AM, #NoPoles said: Cold is boring...nobody rubs one off to cold and boring and pond ice... Expand Warmth in December is even more boring. But to each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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